I agree.
I think we can pretty much somewhat predict most of the base game newcomers as i'm sure the cut off is probably 2024 for the base game as i previously said.
DLC newcomers is what is almost certainly impossible to predict right now, i think we'll definitely get some characters from popular 1stparty 2025/2026 games that aren't even anounced now, peraphs even a 3rd party game that explodes on popularity when Nintendo is chosing the DLC, which may or may not be even released right now.
I feel almost certain we’re getting new Pokémon, Fire Emblem, and Xenoblade to represent new games in the next Smash.
Either Noah or Mio feel guaranteed, Pokémon could opt for a Gen 10 rep instead, and Fire Emblem could end up going with Alear or capitalising on a rare opportunity and adding a popular older favourite since that was one of Engage’s main focuses.
It feels like the right time for picks such Bandana Dee and Paper Mario with recent releases.
I can see Xenoblade and Splatoon getting the Kid Icarus treatment from Smash 4, where we get a unique fighter and an echo fighter.
Sylux is likely pushed to being DLC. Prime 4 may have come a bit late here. Geno may also be in this boat if Square plays ball.
Animal Crossing also feels likely to get a character, although it may be a lower priority.
And I think they’ll pander to the 2000’s kids with a now-retro character. Likely Isaac since he’s pretty well demanded, and Advance Wars failed to meet expectations, it seems.