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Official Newcomer/DLC Speculation Discussion

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Guybrush20X6

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Found this while looking for Shantae art on Twitter. Don't believe it but thought it was worth sharing.

There was a problem fetching the tweet
 

Cutie Gwen

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The real is why didn’t they test tomorrow, the 17th?
Man you really think that's the biggest issue and not how awfully convinient it is they just so happened to fiddle around with the url, found a date, recorded footage to show that it exists instead of spreading it first and finding out Nintendo got rid of it right before they'd spread it to others?
 

Guybrush20X6

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Well I do know from experience that some people will mash in URLs to see what works and that now and then you'll get someone who skips protocols to get lunch quicker.

Still don't believe this but let's entertain it. We don't have much else over the next two weeks.
 

Cutie Gwen

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Well I do know from experience that some people will mash in URLs to see what works and that now and then you'll get someone who skips protocols to get lunch quicker.

Still don't believe this but let's entertain it. We don't have much else over the next two weeks.
Oh it's absolutely a thing, it's what happened to UMvC3, but everything else surrounding this is sus as ****
 

Calamitas

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Speaking of rumors with very little to back them up, there's this now:


Clearly, this means that the Groose is loose as FP7.
 

Hydreigonfan01

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This seems interesting, wonder if it'll be another shadow drop or in an actual direct?
Also as a Xenoblade fan I'm just waiting for the Xenoblade X remaster, please Nintendo.
Waiting-Skeleton.jpg

Edit: :ultgreninja:'d by a few seconds
 
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D

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Honestly, I kinda want to pass the "full year since the last Nintendo direct" milestone.

If we waited this long, we may as well stick it out for a couple of weeks to reach the fourth.
It’s roughly 17.53somethingsomething days/hours away so it’s not like we’ll have to wait long.

Ah how the time flies.
 

chocolatejr9

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I was browsing the Geno thread again, and MAN are yhey taking this Zelda rumor in stride.

It also helps that it's yet another evergreen rumor that seems to finally be coming true.


Yet another 2018 rumor coming true in 2020?!? Golly, it's an epidemic!

Also, the Polish Amiibo leak in early May already added a ton of backing to this so I kind of figured that this rumor's kill switch was likely to be September anyways:


Boy, sure would be a shame if a certain duo of Mario characters heard in insider circles since 2018 came true too...
Apparently, this helps support a rumor of both Geno AND Waluigi coming this pass. Don't exactly know how, though.
 

CannonStreak

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I was browsing the Geno thread again, and MAN are yhey taking this Zelda rumor in stride.


Apparently, this helps support a rumor of both Geno AND Waluigi coming this pass. Don't exactly know how, though.
Can you say overconfidence? :troll:

But seriously, whatever the Zelda thing leads to, it could be good.
 
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chocolatejr9

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Can you say overconfidence? :troll:

But seriously, whatever the Zelda thing leads to, it could be good.
I can type "overconfidence", does that count? Or should I give a dictionary definition too?

Although now we have to watch out for any "leaks" that mention this. I swear, it's like the cycle never ends...
 

Cutie Gwen

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I was browsing the Geno thread again, and MAN are yhey taking this Zelda rumor in stride.


Apparently, this helps support a rumor of both Geno AND Waluigi coming this pass. Don't exactly know how, though.
I see no point to bring up one of the most infamous conspiracy theorists on this site even if it's for a quick laugh
 

Cutie Gwen

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How is it much of a conspiracy, may I ask?
"One old rumour might end up being true. This means a completely unrelated rumour must be true" alongside other stuff like Byleth being planned for base game, this year supposed to be having Master Chief, Geno and more confirmed in Smash at this year's E3, "Sorry guys my source mixed up this high profile Japanese company with an indie Western company, they thought that Yacht Club's game was the new Ninja Gaiden, honest mistake!" and more. There's just no point into bringing up a total rando who claims he has sources but isn't a leaker despite saying stuff that's supposedly not out in the open yet
 

CannonStreak

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"One old rumour might end up being true. This means a completely unrelated rumour must be true" alongside other stuff like Byleth being planned for base game, this year supposed to be having Master Chief, Geno and more confirmed in Smash at this year's E3, "Sorry guys my source mixed up this high profile Japanese company with an indie Western company, they thought that Yacht Club's game was the new Ninja Gaiden, honest mistake!" and more. There's just no point into bringing up a total rando who claims he has sources but isn't a leaker despite saying stuff that's supposedly not out in the open yet
If you are talking about that one guy, I fail to see how he is a conspiracy theorist. I am sure he knows himself to be more of a guy than a leaker, as in one who may want to say his thoughts more than what his sources may tell him, as sources can only do so much. I don't see how he is bad, especially if I am seeing this as exaggeration. There is a lot of things you do not know about one person, and people just tend to jump over people like him and make up things even if they aren't true. What you may see in him may not be true about him at all. We shouldn't jump to conclusions about what we don't know about anyone.

That said, he may overhype things sometimes, and he may be forgiven too easily and overhyped as being things he is not by others, but to who I spoke with, they don't always agree with his theories, and he appears to be a good friend. There can be more to him or anyone than what you may see initially.

That said, sources say different things, and if he has them, his sources may be among the most of imperfect ones. Doesn't make him bad.
 
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Cosmic77

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I was browsing the Geno thread again, and MAN are yhey taking this Zelda rumor in stride.


Apparently, this helps support a rumor of both Geno AND Waluigi coming this pass. Don't exactly know how, though.
I'm sure there's more to his logic than I'm seeing in this post, but how could insiders hear rumors of Geno and Waluigi getting in Smash back in 2018 when the second Fighter's Pass couldn't have been more than an idea they were considering if the first pass did well?

Also, connecting one unrelated rumor to another is the equivalent of saying, "Star Fox Grand Prix is real!! The Geno rumors were true!!"
 

cosmicB

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Rumors taking a while to really pan out is completely valid. Game development is hard and sometimes stuff gets out in the planning stages, which could be a half a decade before release in some situations if not longer, assuming it doesn't get cancelled outright. But just because one rumor turns out to be true doesn't mean all of them are.

Really, most every rumor that involves an entity other than Smash has... nothing to do with Smash, even if we keep this discussion confined to Nintendo. No, Devil May Cry coming to Switch doesn't mean Dante, Crash 4 coming to Switch doesn't mean Crash, Halo collection doesn't mean Master Chief, a Golden Sun revival doesn't mean Isaac, etc. That's purely speculation and nothing more.

Also, Waluigi heard in 2018 is the most nonsensical leak bait there is to the point I can't believe anyone fell for it. No, Nintendo didn't suddenly see the negative reception to his assist trophy reveal and then go "wow, we better put this demanded character in so the death threats will stop!" That isn't and will never be the philosophy behind character picks. If Waluigi somehow escapes his assist trophy destiny, it will have been decided on much later.

What COULD and most definitely will/has happen is characters rejected for pass 1 got looked over again when deciding pass 2, but those decisions exist in a realm separate from any 2018 rumors because we have zero indication of who will be picked based on that information. Plans change and information gets outdated extremely quickly.
 
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XorahnGaia

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I'm sure there's more to his logic than I'm seeing in this post, but how could insiders hear rumors of Geno and Waluigi getting in Smash back in 2018 when the second Fighter's Pass couldn't have been more than an idea they were considering if the first pass did well?

Also, connecting one unrelated rumor to another is the equivalent of saying, "Star Fox Grand Prix is real!! The Geno rumors were true!!"
To be completely fair to him whenever he brought this fact up ( which it's something that he does a lot) he always specifies that these rumors have been a thing "since" 2018, which implies that Waluigi and Geno have been constantly been heard for 2 years straight among "insider circles".

But then again, considering the individual we're talking about here, I wouldn't be surprised if behind the scenes this "since 2018" could amount to just the NoA guy bringing Waluigi and/or Geno near the game's launch and the Paragon/Cacomallow hoaxes being a thing the following year.
 

Miles of SmashWiki

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Didn’t he also say there was a strong possibility of FP5 being a Western character, possibly Dragonborn?
This just made me realize that there's a possibility that some % of the Doom or Skyrim-type rumors might have had a legitimate basis in "Nintendo and Bethesda are talking about Smash!"... when said collaboration could very well end at the Vault Boy costume. (Or said rumors were always guesses at best, but still.)
 

Cosmic77

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To be completely fair to him whenever he brought this fact up ( which it's something that he does a lot) he always specifies that these rumors have been a thing "since" 2018, which implies that Waluigi and Geno have been constantly been heard for 2 years straight among "insider circles".

But then again, considering the individual we're talking about here, I wouldn't be surprised if behind the scenes this "since 2018" could amount to just the NoA guy bringing Waluigi and/or Geno near the game's launch and the Paragon/Cacomallow hoaxes being a thing the following year.
The point I was getting at is that insiders were somehow hearing about Geno and Waluigi being in Smash before the second pass was even set in stone. What are the odds that several people had been hearing rumors of characters who wouldn't be announced until more than two years later for a second wave of DLC that may or may not have happened?

"Since 2018" is what kills this for me.
 

Guybrush20X6

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Of all dates, August 28th does make a lot of sense for an announcement as it's the Thursday just before the business quarter ends.

But let's wait and see what happens. Wonder if we'll get some new spirits before then.
 

Rie Sonomura

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Of all dates, August 28th does make a lot of sense for an announcement as it's the Thursday just before the business quarter ends.

But let's wait and see what happens. Wonder if we'll get some new spirits before then.
Aug 28 falls on a Friday though and it would be Saturday the 29th in Japan time
 
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At this point I'm kind of tapped out from rumors. It always feels like it'll be ages before Nintendo actually announces anything substantial, so it's exhausting trying to keep up with every random thing that may or may not come to fruition during the wait.
 
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