I think looking at 3rd party characters by company removes pretty much anything that makes characters interesting and more or less says, “That doesn’t matter, it’s from X company!”
If Resident Evil, Devil May Cry, or Ace Attorney get in, Capcom will have 4 characters in the game. However, it’s 4 different characters from 3 different series, and each is a series recognized by millions around the world (that’s really the only reason sales matter). It’s not that sales mean a series is confirmed, it’s more that “more sales= more exposure”, and big success for particular genres.
I’m also not sure that I agree with a few other points, those being:
1) lack of music
2) not surprising reveal if from Capcom and Namco
3) big series aren’t as likely because the others aren’t as big
A lack of music, especially for a series like Resident Evil, ignores the potential for plenty of remixes similar to other series. A remix of the Save Room themes throughout the series, the boss themes, as well as credit music, etc.
For the second...why would a high interest series being added to Smash be a bad thing? A series that many, many folks that know of Resident Evil, have played Resident Evil, or have an interest in playing Resident Evil, potentially moreso than other series.
I realize i’m focusing on one series, but I think it’s a good example. You’ve got a series that:
1) is extremely popular
2) provides for unique gameplay, settings, and side content
3) defined a genre
These are typically huge points in favor of a series getting into Smash.
Into the last point, Dragon Quest is one of the largest Japanese-created video game series not yet in Smash. The other series similar in size/notoriety to Dragon Quest, or at least is among the remaining two Japanese-created series, which happens to be...Resident Evil.
Banjo-Kazooie, while not being a “AAA” series, is a 90’s icon and has survived long enough in the hearts of fans to generate the hype it has. It’s by no means a “nobody” in gaming, though certainly not being top tier.
In this case, unpredictable does not automatically mean “good pick”. A Capcom and Namco pick might be “predictable” to some, but it’s negligible if you ask me. There are fans out there of specific series that have nothing in Smash, but would like to see their favorite series get in. Resident Evil, Devil May Cry, even Ace Attorney all have fans of their own.
It’s not like anybody who likes the Capcom content in Smash already by default doesn’t want more Capcom content. It’s also silly to assume fans think that way as a whole. I’ve been over this in other threads, but Resident Evil and Devil May Cry are so unlike Mega Man and Street Fighter that they might as well be created by an entirely different company.
In my humble opinion, it should come down to what series offer the most through gameplay as well as unique content. Both Capcom and Namco have series that accomplish those in spades.
There really isn’t much “boring” about either of them.
(Also I don’t expect more than one character from any one company, but that’s just me)
Usually though, whenever anybody says a company has too many it’s because they just have a different preference...but they don’t say that.