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Official Newcomer/DLC Speculation Discussion

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Michael the Spikester

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Probably the Backlash some ARMS fans would give them for not giving them their favorite character(Like Not everyone has the same favorite character)
Would it really matter anyways? They'd just be prolonging the inevitable and that'd be tame compared to the backlash of Waluigi. Besides no matter what there's always going to be backlash among the community.
 
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GoodGrief741

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Don't know what was simply stopping them from just telling us who it was aside from coming from ARMS. No gameplay or trailer needed.
Well, you can't exactly just have a name on black text and let that be the announcement. While what we had yesterday is nowhere near the ideal reveal, it at least managed to spur conversation and keep the community posted for the June release date. That's at least better than just saying "Oh yeah, next Smash fighter is X" and leaving it at that.
 

Idon

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Don't know what was simply stopping them from just telling us who it was aside from coming from ARMS. No gameplay or trailer needed.
The mystery is what gets people talking, and that's good marketing even if it is for something that's very likely.
Would also lessen the impact if they had the trailer with Springman coming out with a splashcard when we knew about him 2 months in advance. As far as I know, only echoes get that "oh by the way, this is a character" and if you're special enough like Ken, you might still get your own trailer anyways.

Honestly, I think overthinking this is just another case of "drink your ovaltine" type over-speculation where despite everything you put into trying to justify someone else, it's going to be the boring obvious answer.
 
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SKX31

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- Fox doesn't do anything he does in Smash in his own game. It's an entirely made up moveset, though I believe he and the other space animals are designed around the functions of their Arwings/Wolfens
Well, Fox apparently got his Shine from the Arwing:



:4pacman:

Don't know what was simply stopping them from just telling us who it was aside from coming from ARMS. No gameplay or trailer needed.
They might not have been fully confident the character was trailer-ready. Given recent events it wouldn't be surprising.
 

Miifighters4Smash5

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Would it really matter anyways? They'd just be prolonging the inevitable and that'd be tame compared to the backlash of Waluigi.
Honestly; Because of how toxic His Fans have gotten; I can't say I want him in anymore. . . Seriously; IF Sakurai doesn't want to make Waluigi Playable; he's not GOING TO put him in the game
 

Michael the Spikester

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The mystery is what gets people talking, and that's good marketing even if it is for something that's very likely.
Would also lessen the impact if they had the trailer with Springman coming out with a splashcard when we knew about him 2 months in advance.

Honestly, I think overthinking this is just another case of "drink your ovaltine" type over-speculation where despite everything you put into trying to justify someone else, it's going to be the boring obvious answer.
Even though it might be the obvious and meaning those three months of speculating was for nothing? Nah if it were Spring Man I feel they would had revealed it right away.
 

blackghost

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with is arms rep
what i think will happen most to least likely
1. ribbon girl- chunli to spring man ryu she has three jumps and is a mascot. very likely to happen. i dont think we will see an upgrade
2. minmin popular character (first r second to twintelle impossible to know for sure) interesting base arm kit and uses martial arts already
3. dr. coyle very diverse movest potential, villain
4. twintelle can reuse assets from other characters to make and is a very popular


what i want to happen
1.twintelle
2. minmin
3. dr. coyle
4. background twintelle onstage
 
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Idon

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Even though it might be the obvious and meaning those three months of speculating was for nothing? Nah if it were Spring Man I feel they would had revealed it right away.
I just said why that's not the case.

It doesn't matter if the speculation is for nothing. People are talking about it, and they'll continue to talk about it right up till the trailer drops in June.

That's the point of the mystery, not giving ARMS fans hope they'll pick Helix or whatever.
 
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Opossum

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Honestly; Because of how toxic His Fans have gotten; I can't say I want him in anymore. . . Seriously; IF Sakurai doesn't want to make Waluigi Playable; he's not GOING TO put him in the game
Dude I'm just gonna say...you have a Geno hat in your avatar. Stones in glass houses and whatnot.
 

HansShotFirst20

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Reading all the posts that don't expect Spring Man because of the mysterious reveal, reminds me of when people said the SNK character wouldn't be Terry because he wasn't as cool as Nakoruru. That didn't go well for those people, and Terry ended up being a cool character whose moveset and personality won people over.

I think it's just likelier that Nintendo created mystery out of nothing for no reason and we're just heading into an anticlimactic reveal. Would be far from the first time that Smash had one of those.

Not saying it'll be just Spring Man, but to expect a solo character that isn't him, or a group of alts that doesn't include him, is unrealistic imo.
Except the circumstances are totally different between the SNK leak and the ARMS announcement. That the next character was going to be from SNK wasn't publicly announced, but leaked. There was no intentional vagueness in the erroneous 'announcement' of an SNK rep, whereas Nintendo specifically left some mystery as to who the ARMS rep was gonna be, in doing so implying that it is not the most obvious ARMS character that will be represented, or at least that the game will not be represented in the most obvious way.
 

Tako Tuesday

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Another thing I'd like to add, I think when it comes to ARMS, one of the main appealing aspects of the game is the characters themselves. If we only got Spring Man, It seems we'd be missing out on a big part of the game's appeal.

See, Inkling got 8 unique skins, showing off the customization of Splatoon which is a big part of the game. Sure, the ARMS characters have different playstyles from one another, which would be so simple to implement like Inkling's skins, every ARMS fighter still has one thing in common: Arms.

Of course, Smash is also known for taking many creative liberties with its characters, so I don't think ARMS fighters having their own abilities is enough to stop them from including more than one from the game, especially since, like I said, every fighter can use Arms, the main aspect of the game.
 

RileyXY1

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Another thing I'd like to add, I think when it comes to ARMS, one of the main appealing aspects of the game is the characters themselves. If we only got Spring Man, It seems we'd be missing out on a big part of the game's appeal.

See, Inkling got 8 unique skins, showing off the customization of Splatoon which is a big part of the game. Sure, the ARMS characters have different playstyles from one another, which would be so simple to implement like Inkling's skins, every ARMS fighter still has one thing in common: Arms.

Of course, Smash is also known for taking many creative liberties with its characters, so I don't think ARMS fighters having their own abilities is enough to stop them from including more than one from the game, especially since, like I said, every fighter can use Arms, the main aspect of the game.
Except some characters like Twintelle, as her hair extends, not her arms.
 

Staarih

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While I’m not too keen on thinking about Nintendo and its business in relation to Smash, it is kinda clever to leave us hanging with the question of ”who of these characters is/are going to be in Smash?” while also simultaneously giving a free trial of ARMS and organizing an online tournament, as if to let us (especially those not familiar with ARMS) get to know all the characters and be introduced to them. Creates a fun kind of buzz up with people picking favorites until the revelation.
 

EricTheGamerman

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Yeah and many people weren't too happy on that from what I recall...
And plenty of people are happy with that and recognize that there was literally no other way Dark Samus was getting in at this point. You're not going to please anyone, but if you can please some of the audience with an inclusion, you might as well do it as long as it doesn't present too many issues and problems to you as the developer or break some sort of guidelines in creating a playable version of the character.
 

Miifighters4Smash5

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Dude I'm just gonna say...you have a Geno hat in your avatar. Stones in glass houses and whatnot.
I'm not Toxic; I At Least Leave Sakurai Alone; and don't try to attack him or Harrass him on Social Media for Not Putting in my Most Desired Character in the game
 
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DarthEnderX

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tbf I don’t think a character can have more than one echo.
No reason they can't. Just no one has yet.

without even going into ninjara and springman, min min and ribbon girl arent even the same body type.
Neither are male and female Wii Fit Trainer. What's your point?

Yeah and many people weren't too happy on that from what I recall...
Would they have been happier if it had remained an AT?
 
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Scoliosis Jones

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I think we're all overlooking something quite important with Smash as a whole, and as a concept.

One thing the series thrives on is bringing in new experiences with every fighter. We've been introduced to make new gameplay ideas through the base roster and first wave of DLC. Sakurai has already mentioned that the ARMS fighter is going to require entirely new mindsets to work.

Here's something to think about. ARMS itself plays by totally different rules. Each character, even if they are unique within ARMS, fits within ARMS' formula.

If Spring Man is the ARMS character, he would ironically be among the most unique fighters potentially ever added to Smash. He may be the "middle of the road" mascot, but can anybody else in Smash as we currently know it do what he can? By default, Spring Man is easily one of the most unique series protagonists they could add.

This idea that he's "not unique" applies to ARMS, but I don't think it's that strong of an argument when looking at Smash as it currently stands. He'd be incredibly unique in the Smash landscape.
 

Megadoomer

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Dude I'm just gonna say...you have a Geno hat in your avatar. Stones in glass houses and whatnot.
Geno's not an assist trophy and not owned by Nintendo, which seem like they'd make his situation very different from Waluigi's.

Though "if Sakurai wanted them in the game, he would have put them in already" isn't the best argument to begin with - even if we ignore licensing issues with third party characters, concepts like time constraints or having to run a concept by Nintendo, Intelligent Systems, the Pokemon Company, etc. and get approval would likely play a part.
 

osby

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I'm not Toxic; I At Least Leave Sakurai Alone; and don't try to attack him or Harrass him on Social Media for Not Putting in my Most Desired Character in the game
Waluigi fans can be annoying but they haven't attacked at Sakurai aside from a couple of people, which can be said for a lot of fandoms.
 

Miifighters4Smash5

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Geno's not an assist trophy and not owned by Nintendo, which seem like they'd make his situation very different from Waluigi's.

Though "if Sakurai wanted them in the game, he would have put them in already" isn't the best argument to begin with - even if we ignore licensing issues with third party characters, concepts like time constraints or having to run a concept by Nintendo, Intelligent Systems, the Pokemon Company, etc. and get approval would likely play a part.
Thank you!
 

GoodGrief741

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Even though it might be the obvious and meaning those three months of speculating was for nothing? Nah if it were Spring Man I feel they would had revealed it right away.
Nintendo put out a box that had every character announced for Ultimate so far, and two conspicuous empty spaces. Lo and behold, there were just two characters left to reveal.

Sometimes the obvious answer was right in front of us all along.
Except the circumstances are totally different between the SNK leak and the ARMS announcement. That the next character was going to be from SNK wasn't publicly announced, but leaked. There was no intentional vagueness in the erroneous 'announcement' of an SNK rep, whereas Nintendo specifically left some mystery as to who the ARMS rep was gonna be, in doing so implying that it is not the most obvious ARMS character that will be represented, or at least that the game will not be represented in the most obvious way.
Yeah, I'm not saying that anyone was intentionally vague with the SNK leak, just that when faced with several possibilities, people tried to explain why it wouldn't be the obvious one, and it was the obvious one.

I've already said above why this instance of mysterious reveals might not be intentional either (though this might have been their plan all along!), I don't like to repeat myself so please go back and read that.
 

3BitSaurus

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Main characters dont have to be vanilla or plain in design guilty gear and others have proved that to be false.
...Dude, try comparing Sol to any other character in GG. Sure, he has Install, but characters like Bedman, Kum and Zato-1 have way crazier mechanics. The reason Sol isn't bland mechanically is owed - at least partially - to the complexity of GG's systems themselves, not because he's complex for his game. Big difference there.

the idea that the nintendo characters would draw the attnetion that third parties did is just not true, you gotta leaveth ebubble and go see what non-ninnteodfans think to get a more accurate picture of how these characters will be received. It'll be clear when the Arms character comes out and you see peoples reactions,especially when many people were behind characters like 2b or dante
Honestly, this kinda thing makes me realize how much people have started to take third parties for granted. And this is coming from someone whose current top 10 is about 80% third parties.

Like... this is no different from saying that Capcom characters would be received poorly in a Capcom Vs. game or that people would be mad that Tekken is introducing a new original character instead of a guest one.
 

Trevenant

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Another thing in Minmin's favor is being the most popular character based on the Final Party Crash or whatever it was called. Just like Isabelle is and supposedly why she was chosen over Tom Nook.
If it were Spring Man I feel they would had just revealed him already. Why those months of trying to surprise us which it seems they're trying to do only for it to be the obvious?

The way I see this is the Isabelle treatment. She's the most popular Animal Crossing character and so was obviously chosen over Tom Nook. The same I could see her given Minmin being the most popular ARMS character.
Really isn’t the Isabelle treatment as there wasn’t much of a treatment in the first place. Isabelle wasn’t prioritised over Tom Nook because she was popular, I doubt she was even prioritised. She was probably just passively added as she was literally the mascot of Animal Crossing and was probably fairly easy to develop as she borrowed a lot of assets from Villager and still had lots of unique attributes sewn in. If they really wanted to prioritise Tom Nook they probably would have added him by now as he has been the most major and prominent character within Animal Crossing aside from Villager so as he wasn’t added then that suggests Isabelle didn’t really contest with him.

Guys Smash never really paid much attention to canon height anyways lets be real
Otherwise, Kirby would be 8 inches, Olimar would be microscopic, Bowser would be like twice the size of Giga, and let's not forget that some characters can change size (I'm looking at you, Mario Bros)
They're just added in a way that makes sense for the game itself and for playstyle, and very rarely is the size of a hitbox considered in comparison to another - I think the only examples are Daisy and Dark Samus, which are marginal at best
Captain Falcon...

Yes but keep in mind Vergeben told us who it was before his reveal. That and the SNK thing was accidentally leaked in the first place.

Plus Nintendo has been taking more measures to prevent leaks from occurring.
I don’t really see how that relates.

Except some characters like Twintelle, as her hair extends, not her arms.
Just don’t include Twintelle then.
 
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Opossum

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Geno's not an assist trophy and not owned by Nintendo, which seem like they'd make his situation very different from Waluigi's.

Though "if Sakurai wanted them in the game, he would have put them in already" isn't the best argument to begin with - even if we ignore licensing issues with third party characters, concepts like time constraints or having to run a concept by Nintendo, Intelligent Systems, the Pokemon Company, etc. and get approval would likely play a part.
I'm not sure how you managed to miss the point this badly but the point was that someone shouldn't make sweeping toxicity generalizations about a fandom while being in a fandom notable for its toxicity.
 

blackghost

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...Dude, try comparing Sol to any other character in GG. Sure, he has Install, but characters like Bedman, Kum and Zato-1 have way crazier mechanics. The reason Sol isn't bland mechanically is owed - at least partially - to the complexity of GG's systems themselves, not because he's complex for his game. Big difference there.



Honestly, this kinda thing makes me realize how much people have started to take third parties for granted. And this is coming from someone whose current top 10 is about 80% third parties.

Like... this is no different from saying that Capcom characters would be received poorly in a Capcom Vs. game or that people would be mad that Tekken is introducing a new original character instead of a guest one.
the discussion on bland main characters wasnt about gameplay but design. sol is not basic looking character. he is middle ground in terms of gameplay but he isnt a "basic karate man" like many other fighting game mascot characters.

that comparison doesnt work at all. no one is taking 3rd parties for granted. i havent seen anyone upset with tekken's choices outside of confused when negan showed up. but guest characters have always drawn more attention just look at mortal kombat since 9. half of those characters arent even good but people were still paying more attention to them than the reutrn of nightwolf or sindel.

No reason they can't. Just no one has yet.

Neither are male and female Wii Fit Trainer. What's your point?

Would they have been happier if it had remained an AT?
not really the case. they kinda are. one is male and one is female. but body type wise they are very similar,. but they also modified the male model to fit the female model. smash has changed characters' bodies plenty overtime or from thier source games. bayonetta had her proportions changed, male wii fit did as well, zss had a rather infamous change, and others.
 
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Megadoomer

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I'm not Toxic; I At Least Leave Sakurai Alone; and don't try to attack him or Harrass him on Social Media for Not Putting in my Most Desired Character in the game
I think it was one or two people who did that; you can't judge entire fandoms by the actions of a few of their members.
 

Tako Tuesday

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I think we're all overlooking something quite important with Smash as a whole, and as a concept.

One thing the series thrives on is bringing in new experiences with every fighter. We've been introduced to make new gameplay ideas through the base roster and first wave of DLC. Sakurai has already mentioned that the ARMS fighter is going to require entirely new mindsets to work.

Here's something to think about. ARMS itself plays by totally different rules. Each character, even if they are unique within ARMS, fits within ARMS' formula.

If Spring Man is the ARMS character, he would ironically be among the most unique fighters potentially ever added to Smash. He may be the "middle of the road" mascot, but can anybody else in Smash as we currently know it do what he can? By default, Spring Man is easily one of the most unique series protagonists they could add.

This idea that he's "not unique" applies to ARMS, but I don't think it's that strong of an argument when looking at Smash as it currently stands. He'd be incredibly unique in the Smash landscape.
I completely agree with this. Though the main reason I'm advocating for more than just Spring Man though is because I like the cast of ARMS so much.

With a cast as varied the ARMS cast, It's hard to just pick one that I'd want in Smash. I like Spring Man, and he's the mascot of the game so I think he should get in to represent the game. But Min Min is my favorite from the game, so I also want her in.
 

Megadoomer

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I'm not sure how you managed to miss the point this badly but the point was that someone shouldn't make sweeping toxicity generalizations about a fandom while being in a fandom notable for its toxicity.
My mistake; I thought you were commenting on the "if Sakurai doesn't want Waluigi in the game, he's not going to include him" part and applying that to Geno.
 

HansShotFirst20

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Nintendo put out a box that had every character announced for Ultimate so far, and two conspicuous empty spaces. Lo and behold, there were just two characters left to reveal.

Sometimes the obvious answer was right in front of us all along.

Yeah, I'm not saying that anyone was intentionally vague with the SNK leak, just that when faced with several possibilities, people tried to explain why it wouldn't be the obvious one, and it was the obvious one.

I've already said above why this instance of mysterious reveals might not be intentional either (though this might have been their plan all along!), I don't like to repeat myself so please go back and read that.
My point is that in the SNK leak, there was no reason not for it to be the obvious one, as the fact that the newcomer was from SNK was revealed unintentionally. Now, however, Nintendo has intentionally set up a mystery as to who the newcomer is, which is, in and of itself, a reason for it to not be the obvious choice. The two situations are incomparable. If the character were Springman, Nintendo would likely have said something along the lines of 'the next character is from a series new to the Switch', to conceal who the actual newcomer is while also narrowing down the playing field to build speculation. One does not push speculation like that and just reveal it was the obvious choice all along. Remember that Sakurai and his team dislike letting people down -- cite his apologies for the lack of Rex & Pyra and acknowledgement that fans would be disappointed in Byleth.
 
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Tako Tuesday

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not really the case. they kinda are. one is male and one is female. but body type wise they are very similar,. but they also modified the male model to fit the female model. smash has changed characters' bodies plenty overtime or from thier source games. bayonetta had her proportions changed, male wii fit did as well, zss had a rather infamous change, and others.
You just proved exactly how they could include multiple ARMS characters, despite arguing against it before.
 

3BitSaurus

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the discussion on bland main characters wasnt about gameplay but design. sol is not basic looking character. he is middle ground in terms of gameplay but he isnt a "basic karate man" like many other fighting game mascot characters.
Ah, I see. Apologies then - I thought you were talking about my post on the matter, which was focused on gameplay aspects.

that comparison doesnt work at all. no one is taking 3rd parties for granted. i havent seen anyone upset with tekken's choices outside of confused when negan showed up. but guest characters have always drawn more attention just look at mortal kombat since 9. half of those characters arent even good but people were still paying more attention to them than the reutrn of nightwolf or sindel.
When people are basically saying reworded versions of "Nintendo characters wouldn't be hype enough for DLC! They wouldn't sell!", in a crossover fighter that is still about 85% Nintendo characters, then yeah, I'd say people have started taking third parties for granted. Your comparison to MK isn't really fair - especially with Spawn, who was requested for some time, if memory serves. But my point is: the people who play these games still care a lot about their Nightwolfs and Sindels, so even if they got no Spawn or Joker, they would for the most part be satified with just getting more MK characters.

So saying "the reactions will be bland" for a Nintendo character... feels like trying too hard to appeal to an audience outside the consoles. Keep in mind, ARMS and Spring Man wouldn't be my first choices either, but to be honest, the negativity I'm seeing towards first parties in general is kinda baffling by this point.
 

Hadokeyblade

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Ah, I see. Apologies then - I thought you were talking about my post on the matter, which was focused on gameplay aspects.



When people are basically saying reworded versions of "Nintendo characters wouldn't be hype enough for DLC! They wouldn't sell!", in a crossover fighter that is still about 85% Nintendo characters, then yeah, I'd say people have started taking third parties for granted. Your comparison to MK isn't really fair - especially with Spawn, who was requested for some time, if memory serves. But my point is: the people who play these games still care a lot about their Nightwolfs and Sindels, so even if they got no Spawn or Joker, they would for the most part be satified with just getting more MK characters.

So saying "the reactions will be bland" for a Nintendo character... feels like trying too hard to appeal to an audience outside the consoles. Keep in mind, ARMS and Spring Man wouldn't be my first choices either, but to be honest, the negativity I'm seeing towards first parties in general is kinda baffling by this point.
I think the reason people think Nintendo characters wouldn't bring the hype anymore is that at this point all the A or B tier Nintendo franchises have a playable character, and in the case of Zelda and Kirby they have the main cast playable already.

They'd basically be adding lower tier Nintendo characters or recent Nintendo character. Byleth and Springman falling into the latter category.
 

3BitSaurus

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I think the reason people think Nintendo characters wouldn't bring the hype anymore is that at this point all the A or B tier Nintendo franchises have a playable character, and in the case of Zelda and Kirby they have the main cast playable already.

They'd basically be adding lower tier Nintendo characters or recent Nintendo character. Byleth and Springman falling into the latter category.
...I honestly can't see a problem with the former, really. One of the reasons I love crossover fighters like Smash and MvC is because they introduced me to "C-tier characters" from Nintendo or Capcom.
 

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...I honestly can't see a problem with the former, really. One of the reasons I love crossover fighters like Smash and MvC is because they introduced me to "C-tier characters" from Nintendo or Capcom.
The fact that each character has to carry a $5.99 DLC pass on their backs and also be a source of continued media attention for the game. A c-list character ain't doing that. The lower 'list' characters tend to go into the base-game.



Also inb4 the next character actually is Springman and the whole 'the next character is from ARMS' deal was a cheap move to get the Smash scene interested in ARMS to move units.
 

EricTheGamerman

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Geno's not an assist trophy and not owned by Nintendo, which seem like they'd make his situation very different from Waluigi's.

Though "if Sakurai wanted them in the game, he would have put them in already" isn't the best argument to begin with - even if we ignore licensing issues with third party characters, concepts like time constraints or having to run a concept by Nintendo, Intelligent Systems, the Pokemon Company, etc. and get approval would likely play a part.
Eh, I don't really think the situations are that different. Seemingly every time that Sakurai has asked for Geno, he has gotten him in some capacity, and at the very least has successfully done so twice for Smash 4 DLC and Ultimate. Waluigi and Geno both seem like characters Sakurai hasn't had any trouble getting, but just has simply never prioritized as a full playable character. Waluigi passed up in favor of characters with more interesting gameplay mechanics like Rosalina, Bowser Jr., and Piranha Plant while Geno has been passed on in favor of including major franchises such as Final Fantasy and Dragon Quest in Smash.
 

UberPyro64

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Reading all the posts that don't expect Spring Man because of the mysterious reveal, reminds me of when people said the SNK character wouldn't be Terry because he wasn't as cool as Nakoruru. That didn't go well for those people, and Terry ended up being a cool character whose moveset and personality won people over.

I think it's just likelier that Nintendo created mystery out of nothing for no reason and we're just heading into an anticlimactic reveal. Would be far from the first time that Smash had one of those.

Not saying it'll be just Spring Man, but to expect a solo character that isn't him, or a group of alts that doesn't include him, is unrealistic imo.
The difference is, that was a leak, not an official announcement by Nintendo. It's not going to be Spring Man. I'm confident in that.

Also, here's my newest Fighter Pass Vol. 2 Prediction:
 
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