so yeah my schedule this week just got absolutely ****ing steamrolled, I'm going to be insanely busy from now until the 11th or 12th and I really have no way around it. definitely not going to have time for an in depth re-read by EoD today so right now I'm just focusing on doing an eido iso and trying to parse some WW mate ideas from that to help yall pick. just gonna end up sheeping town consensus pick for the mate at EoD unless yall do something really crazy so yeah don't expect a heavy lift from me this day phase though I can understand wanting to just yeet me on that basis alone and I'd be a hypocrite if I asked for mercy on the inactivity front so yeah, just want to be upfront so yall can treat my slot accordingly. like I said, IRL bull**** should be over by the 12th latest so if I get to see a D3 ill def pick up the pace before that EoD assuming this just stays 120/24 until games over
This started quick
Vote: Chaco
eido is new to the game but has good instincts and I don't think he'd shy away from mate voting in RVS, not putting much weight on this though
Who knows who here? I'm at work so can deep dive in to this thread more tonight, but a good start for me is to figure out the pre-existing relationships between people.
Swiss
Rhand
you two know each other well?
this actually reads as genuine curiosity here, I think eido is actually hunting in a sense here, trying to understand the early swiss/rhand interactions. if eido were mates with either of these slots I think he asks this question in private. almost def not ww!swiss or ww!rhand
Swiss
any examples of games you've played?
unvote
vote: Whysper
I'm voting randomly for now.
You said Whysper can die too. Is that something you're able to elaborate on? It seems strong.
more real attempts to read swiss here, unless eido got crazy good at theatre really fast and is pulling a turbo early interact strat with a player he's never played with before this game. my money isn't on the latter. looking back this switch to whysper is weirder than it came off at first glance, second RVS vote is just bizarre and he's baiting someone to give him a reason to wagon
This is my second game. First game was Apex here.
Whysper doesn't have much play thus far. I'll update you as their play develops. Right now it's a random vote. Let me know if you have any insights on them. The game is early for me and I'm observing who knows who, playstyles etc.
lol more baiting someone else to justify the vote for him, this is a
weird way to bus, prob not a mate in the whysper slot
Swiss
Are you able to link me a game you've played?
again actually trying to read the swiss slot, or just the craziest clunkiest theatre I've seen in a lot time but yeah no way swiss is the mate
@Chaco You able to give more on your thoughts about Gorf? I'm referring to your post here:
Its weird he proclaims to not want to control the game, when he literally is the reason we are where we are. Thank you but I can't take all the credit, Gorf has been productive too. This is me being hands off btw.
smashboards.com
What's different about it?
I think he's also actually trying to get info to inform a potential meta read on gorf here, prob not ww!gorf
man the more and more I read eidos post the more I realize he was just tunneling swiss and his interactions and looking to posture himself based on town consensus, weirdly myopic and like playing "wait and see," but again its way too myopic of swiss for swiss to be a mate
lot of attacking the wiisp slot early, not that ww!wiisp makes any sense given the cop claim instead of seer, plus as capable I think eido is of bussing I don't see him going this hard on his mate this early
I'll come online later tonight but my head is here:
Swiss / Wiisp / Scarlet / Mao / Gorf
Frozen / Rhand / Wam / Chaco / ExLight
3DSNinja / Gellnick / Whysper
Not ordered. Comfortable with the top row.
Middle row feels ambiguous. I'm thinking about this row.
Bottom row straight up inactive. Gellnick still stands out to me here.
first real reads list, big middle section is very obviously meant to hide something imo, make a weird fake read "blend in" or to keep a slot open for him as an option down the line. doubt mate is in bottom group because they're all inactives at that point in the game so he's just picking easy targets
Fine with Eido at the moment as well, forgot to add that before.
weird for chaco slot to stick it's neck out for eido here, like he says he forgot to include it in an earlier post where he was saying he was townreading mao, rhand, swiss and gorf and he thought it was important enough to make a whole second post to make sure we knew he liked the eido slot, hmmmm
Who are you referring to here in the bolded?
You got any insights in to how you feel the Mafia would have played around Swiss' attack on you?
this also feels genuinely curious, prob not ww!rhand
@gellnick How did you come to the conclusion that Rhand is confidently Town? All you've mentioned of the read is that he's done nothing wolfy. I'm talking about these 2 quotes specifically:
some aggro on gellnick slot here, picking an inactive to sink his teeth into? again Im not seeing eido doing early bus here so prob not the mate, also he aggros mao for townreading the gellnick slot so I think he was legit trying to build some momentum on that slot and turn the conversation there
Rhand has felt most alive in the thread when he has been pressured. Is that normal behaviour from him?
It's concerning to me because now that he's been given space from Swiss, it doesn't feel like he's doing anything productive with it.
Rhand
Did you get back to me on this?:
ok first off lemme Unvote now let's go Yeah, he took an i from my name! I had to replace it with a y instead. :) oh boy Wiisp and Whysper I'll try to not confuse you two So let's all claim now was that serious because I kinda hate this suggestion Eido - anyone with a join date later...
smashboards.com
and again more attempts to actually read rhand
Reading this all through, I don't support the Swiss/Wiisp wagons.
I'm leaning in this group right now:
Wam / Exlight / Scarlet / Rhand / Gellnick / Chaco
3DSNinja (Osie) / Whysper
It's not ordered. If I had to refine this, I would hit one of Scarlet/Chaco. I would hit Gellnick. I would hit Whysper.
The Scarlet/Chaco fiasco is weird. Chaco reads like he has a backdoor answer to everything, and felt nervous when responding to Scarlet's pressure. By nervous I mean over-talking his feelings to survive the pressure. I appreciate others have said he is Townie, so I'm up for talking this through if anyone has any insights.
I like Scarlet's push on Chaco because it was against the grain. They feel fixated in that area as time went on. I don't know too much about them outside of this and need to see more content now.
Gellnick's reads a little too careful for my liking right now and overall don't like his break in to the game. He is not on the same team as Rhand, but this quote pinged me as potential Traitor language:
Do Gellnick / Rhand have a history of playing together? The hard-town reads they both have is something I'm thinking about.
this is probably his most important post and Im going to have to re-read this a few times and the surrounding context to really digest it, pinning for later
Yo this is challenging. I don't think we're looking at Scum Wiisp here. How does scum claiming cop right bring an advantage to his team? A fake cop claim means the real cop now knows who he is, and already gets a head start building connections, right? The real cop wouldn't even have to target Scum Wiisp anymore because they have the free guilty. All they have to do is flip and Wiisp dies. It's simpler logic for me to assume Wiisp is telling the truth.
If the player numbers were tighter and Scum were inching closer to the win, I could see a strat that involved coming out as the cop and forcing some sort of do-or-die situation for Town, but it doesn't feel like that's what's happening right now.
What do people think?
slight TMI here re: the confidence that wiisp is not fakeclaiming, as WW eido gives 0 ****s about the cop living anyway
unvote
vote: Whysper
Chaco/Gellnick/Whysper for me.
crazy to me that eido's two RVS votes were in his top 3 picks at this point wow
I'm signing off for a bit. Will check back later.
Currently I would vote Chaco (UP) / Gellnick / Whysper / Wam / Rhand.
Unvote
Vote: Utopian
I'm still thinking about ExLight. I'm leaning towards not supporting the lynch right now. Their early game is in-your-face and random, like they're riding solo and don't care about their appearance. The 8 pages of squaring up to everyone is so emotionally strong I'm not convinced it's made by Scum (at least not by the Mafia team).
#HBC | Gorf
Can you summarise or quote your ExLight points to me again? What do you think of my points above? ^
and again voting within whysper/chaco(UP)/gellnick, I think eido is just trying to avoid looking inconsistent at this point and is just cemented in where he is willing to go, I think this looks good for these three slots to not be mates
Can we just go Gellnick?
unvote
vote: Gellnick
I can switch to Wam too
lmao same pattern, though tossing wam into the ring is interesting and opportunistic and further reinforces my idea that these 3 picks of eidos prob arent the mate
I gotta leave soon. It's late for me. Who we going?
Unvote
Vote: Wam
so yeah thats what I have so far, by PoE I'm saying mate prob isn't rhand, swiss, wisp, UP/chaco, whysper slot, or gellnick slot, not exactly ground breaking but it narrows the field, going to try to build from that to have a solve pitch by EoD
Final Vote Count
Wam (8) - rhand, osie, gellnick, exlight, wiisp, eido, utopian, Gorf
utopian (2) - wam, mao
exlight (1) - swiss
swiss (1) - whysper
Not Voting (1) - scarlet
Wam Hammered!
given the opportunistic nature of eido's wam vote I wouldnt be surprised to see the mate with him on wam wagon though which really cuts against my PoE, maybe my vision of eido's early game approach is just scuffed af ughhhhhhhh fml