The latter. Obviously posts can be faked, I just don't think there is enough conclusive evidence to denounce his post as fake when I see the other side of the coin being just as likely.
No. It really seems quite faked. I'll point it out to you harder:
Initial thoughts on page 1:
Maven's approach to Kaladin is comparatively worse than Kaladin's response. I see no importance by antagonizing Kaladin in such the way he did and the vote immediately after isn't even really all that great if we're even speaking in RVS standards. Kaladin looks more confused than guilty and Maven's whole pressure doesn't really sit right with me. Dislike maven alone for this page. J still null even if he voted maven which I think was a decent one to say the least. Other players who posted on this page don't leave me a lasting impression.
Soup pretending he doesn't understand how early game looks as a reason to have reads of any kind to grab some free "I'm here, I have opinions" points.
I want you to go back to Page 1 right now, and tell me what a reasonable level of "opinion" to have from it is. It's not this much.
Initial thoughts on page 2 (yes this will be how I format this):
TKK's first post gives me bad vibes, mostly because it's the type of post usually made by a scum who just wants to provide content without having the means to actually scumhunt. I am aware that the day has barely started, but talking about voting mechanics where it isn't even prevalent just seems rather pointless. So far in the day all he's done is make a joke, and now this. Would say as somewhat of a stretch that Cyber's post afterwards wasn't two partners agreeing on a moot point.
You're really picky for someone reading a part of the game 12 hours after role PMs go out.
Now I'mma do an exercise here, and I want everybody to play along while reading. Here's a post from page 2. I want you all to read it, and think about it and whether it means anything.
This is a pretty crappy RVS.
I'll go ahead and say that there is no scumhammers going on, goons are not good, and J needs to finally accept that IT'S WINTER.
Okay, read it good? Now let's see what Soup said about it.
Side note: TTK's #43 isn't all that good either. Too anxious for his own good.
FoS: TheKingofKoopas
Man, raise your hand if the first thing you thought when your read that was "Koopa is pretty anxious, maybe he's scum?". If you didn't: that's good, because I don't think that's a reasonable thing to say, let alone throw out a FoS over. I guarantee that Soup doesn't
actually think this is noteworthy in any way, and instead Soup is looking for reasons to say anything at all to make that first post a little longer.
(I feel more justified saying this when: Jumping ahead into the future when Soup is questioned by Koopa about this exact stance, Soup responds with:
Did you not read the post I made as to why I felt it was anxious?
The fact he didn't just say why and instead checked the question back to his first post which doesn't elaborate pretty much guarantees to me that this comment was entirely worthless to Soup in his own mind before he ever said it. Hence, I call it fake.)
I know maven will tell me that his first interaction with Kaladin was RVS but I still don't like the means that he is going about town-reading Kaladin for. Lack of assurance and the whole "is it me or Kaladin's post the most townie" doesn't make me feel better about him on top of the fact that he shows hesitance in his previous statements by immediately saying "not that he is townie." That doesn't really make any sense and I'm surprised J didn't pick up on this as it's quite literally a contradiction.
Soup admitting he's reaching at random RVS posts, then throwing FUD about it J's way because man, saying you think someone is the towniest to you, but not definitely town once people ask you to clarify in the first day of a mafia game is such a contradiction that we should be worried! Entirely unreasonable filler opinion.
Initial thoughts on page 3:
Maven continues to leave a bad taste in my mouth. He's playing very sloppy and his first post confuses just as much as the one he made about Kaladin in RVS. If you're going to say 'yeah I did all that intentionally for reactions' (which is what it pretty much boiled down to without all the unneeded posturing) then the least you can do is make something out of it. Instead, maven somehow manages to change his mind again in the span of ~10 posts and say that Kaladin is null. The conclusions he's reaching right now do not line up with what he is saying.
I look at J's posts and think: "wow, what a J post. that's something J would do, is make that post." That's pretty much a very sarcastic way of saying that I think J isn't of concern right now and I like to wait see what he does over what he's saying. I will say he seems to be somewhat pressuring maven even if it's not in the same angle I am.
Here's where the fluff comes to a head to what I think Soup's initial posting goal actually was: Talking about Maven's attempt to see if anyone would instantly bite on replacement wifom as a way to get things moving. The first few paragraphs of his intro post are filler lead-up FUD on the slot so he can say "what you did was bad because it didn't work and you couldn't get anything out of it.". Instead of giving credit to the slot for attempting something that failed, he condemns it because ultimately Maven concedes that Kaladin is fairly null, and that meant to him that he "didn't make something of it.". This is scummy to me, even if taken independently of my other points. I don't see a world where Soup comes in to a Day 1 mafia game and sees Maven admitting that his attempt was pretty lame and a wash means that "the conclusions he's reaching right now do not line up with what he's saying". I implore all of you to re-read Page 3 if you think otherwise.