Hi everyone. Back on a third time. I saw the Vergeben post as soon as it's up. And how sad it was. To bring forth to this matter. He doesn't know if Chief is coming or not. And that's due to the fact that if his old source is being reliable or not. Just to at least bring in some happiness, there is something to give hope to. At least 2 things in fact.
1. The unknown source from the Switch dataminer - I explained this in my previous post. But to explain it again. The Switch dataminer receives 4 codes which had to be decrypted. One of the first lines was funky and assumed it was bait. The 4th code was hard to decrypt. But the other 2 were fine and revealed both Metroid 5 and Chief. One of the 4 codes ended up being true due to being revealed at E3, known as Metroid Dread (Which before the title was shown, the first thing they reveal first was Metroid 5, then renamed).
What gives his source to have ANY credibility is that 1 of the 4 things becoming true. It wouldn't be bait because if it were bait, why leak Metroid 5 into the codes and then have it actually revealed and happened? And not only that, it wasn't listed as Metroid alone, which a lot of people are gonna assume it's either a new game, a port, remake, or spinoff. No. It LISTED as Metroid 5 alone, which ended up being happened.
Chief really shouldn't be bait. Not by both leakers and Nintendo themselves either. If it were Nintendo, that would just complicate their relationship. And would contradict their relationship. And not to mention, why Chief specifically? Why not mention any other character like Sora or Crash? Or someone who's more known in Japan, since people claimed Chief isn't popular there. Why not mention one of their own characters like Toad, Pokemon, or Bandana Dee? On their end, it would be confusing. If it were leakers, it would give less credibility to their other source, like Metroid 5. Which DID happened as I mentioned.
Not to mention the dataminer heard the unknown source claimed to be "down the line" meaning not mostly at E3.
It's unknown what's going down with this source currently. But the codes/tweets were deleted because it wasn't being verified, With no way of knowing. But I'm certain it has credibility due to 1 of the 4 being real.
We could also speculate Verge having the same source as the dataminer, but I doubt it kinda since Verge claims to know this source for a while. It's unknown how long the dataminer knows the source, but I doubt their source are the same.
2.
Amiibo Theory - Do you remember amiibo theory? The one made by the famous PapaGenos lol? Well to remember Amiibo Theory accurately, here is the video made by him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz2TYQj2qY4
To recap amiibo theory, the amiibo website shows the dates of when the wave of amiibos will be releasing. Somewhere closes to their release date (max period 30 days BEFORE / lowest 2 or 1 day BEFORE or AFTER ) coincides with any of the DLC fighter's presentations. This is only for Smash waves by the way. This is important to know because when Kayuza revealed or at least 30 days before the E3, the amiibo website was not updated for any Smash waves. There are updates on the amiibo websites however since both the Metroid 5 Samus and EMMI amiibos are on both regions (NA and Japan vers.) So it seems they aren't forgetting any of the Smash amiibos by accident. The last time they show any amiibos was with Steve's presentation, showing the end of FP1.
Since then, none of the amiibos from FP2 are being shown as of yet. FP1 amiibos were shown first at Min Min's presentation, but that's because before FP1 amiibos was shown, Richter and Dark Samus amiibos were shown for the last base game roster amiibos at Byleth's presentation (before Min Min was release). With that last comment in mind, It doesn't seem like they are waiting till FP2 is complete. However. there's a strong case the next wave of amiibos (start of FP2), are not at Kayuza presentation. Likely because the next wave of Smash amiibos is not up on the website, which would be first before any of the DLC's presentations.
Why is this important you may ask? Well only for two things. Timing and correlations. The timing is to know when is happening. The easiest way to predict when the next Smash presentation is through amiibo theory, which as I mentioned previously, can happen before 3 weeks or after 3 weeks. It's just the site has to be first to know. That's how people are able to predict when's the next Smash presentations easily.
Now the second and the most important part for Chief speculation is correlations. The next wave of amiibos SHOULD be Min Min and Steve at least. Or at least Min Min, but I doubt it would be only Min Min. The most they showed is 2. The thing is, Steve is part of Microsoft like Chief. So let's say Chief WERE to be CP11, it would make SENSE to have Steve amiibo shown along with Chief. Microsoft to Microsoft.
Although there are doubts for this to be accurate. Like for example, Heihachi Mii showed alongside Min Min's presentation. The thing is, both of those characters are both fighting characters in a fighting genre. THAT's the correlation between the two. Although yea, companies are different between the two and it would make sense to have a Tekken Mii next to a Tekken character. The other thing is, there is more than 1 Bandai Namco Mii. And is also appearing as a mii again, Lloyd. Since Lloyd is part of Bandai, it makes sense to have it on Kayuza's presentation. And nobody is expecting Lloyd to be a playable fighter (2 Bandai's in a row) nor is it going off of CP10 presentation. That's both TIMING and CORRELATION. It is possible to have amiibos shown at the presentation first though because I believe it did happen before. But unsure, however. I believe the amiibo website should always go first. But there should always be a correlation of some form between the fighter and subject (Mii or amiibos). Mii theory does play a part in this kinda.
So to conclude the second point, if there aren't any amiibos shown at Kayuza's presentation (or at least Min Min only shown and not Steve). It's likely it's going to be at CP11's presentation, which correlates very well with a certain Microsoft character.
Finally, I want to counter a recent argument of people claiming that "E3" was Chief's last shot. It's not. They reveal big-name characters in the past before in regular Nintendo Directs or have separate directs. For example like Cloud. Cloud was revealed for Smash 4 at a general Nintendo Direct. And Steve was revealed in his own Smash direct trailer separately 3 days before his presentation. At E3, they also reveal smaller characters before too like Palutena, Villager, etc... The only thing I can confidently say is that Nintendo doesn't care if they reveal big-name fighters in a regular direct. That's probably the only thing they don't care for. And plus Chief's slogan of "finishing the fight" makes him have a chance at least. Can you name one character who has a business-marketing slogan like "finish the fight" like Chief? That's at least give him some chance towards being CP11. Not to mention the fall collaboration between the two companies happening. Which could be ANYTHING, but not game pass.
In conclusion, we may have taken a hint from Vergeben, but in truth, he doesn't know if Chief is CP11 or not. It may be a hit for us, but it's not over yet. That's ONE of MANY things we have in our favor. And still, it gives us a fighting chance unlike other big-name characters who have nothing to support them at the moment. Do not give out hope. It's not over till it's over. We have to finish the fight. Stay safe everyone. I will try to keep posting more to bring more light to this. Finish the fight.