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So, two cups of coffee and half an Addreall in my guts and I'm just kind of vibin' right now. Earlier I had mentioned that the Fall Direct would probably be in October because Nintendo told third parties to not send them stuff until September and that made me realize a ton of things. I've talked about how Sakurai is a stickler for schedules and the DLC flow for announcements and releases for both Smash 4 and Ultimate has essentially been:
February- April- June - September - November - December
Two month gaps are pretty standard and this seems deliberate. Upon looking at this again, Sakurai has already corrected the schedule in his own way.
-Min Min was supposed to be an April release, moved to June.
-If Covid-19 hadn't cavorked everything, 6 would have released in April, 7 and 8 would have announced in June, 7 would have released in June or July, and 8 would have released in September close to the Fall Direct.
-If we adjust things accordingly, this is what we now have: Min Min was a June announcement but a borderline July release. This made me realize that Sakurai's essentially adjusting the schedule like he did with the Fighter's Pass.
-Hero and Banjo were announced in June 2019. Hero was supposed to release in June but was delayed until July for some unknown reason. His release was essentially delayed a month and a half. Banjo still released on time in September.
-To adjust the schedule, Min Min was pushed back 2 months meaning 7's release likely was too. We already know "someone" is releasing in September this lines up, especially with Min Min being a nose hair away from being a July release, just like how Hero was practically an August release.
-If 7 is a (likely early) September release, going off the timescale of the Fighter's Pass, this means 7 and 8 went from being an early to mid June announcement to an early to mid July announcement. The gap between Hero and Banjo was roughly a month meaning if 7 is early September, 8 is likely an early to mid October release.
-If we follow this to a T, this also means that our Fall Direct announcement likely isn't 8 but is actually 9 and would be slated for a December release.
TLDR;
Fighter's Pass:
April- Joker
July/August- Hero (announced in June)
September- Banjo (announced in June)
November- Terry (announced in September)
Unborked Timeline Season 2:
April- Min Min
June/July- 7 (announced in June)
September- 8 (announced in June)
November- 9 (announced in September)
Probable Current Timeline:
June/July- Min Min
September- 7 (announced in July)
October- 8 (announced in July)
December- 9 (announced in October)