I'm so split with Geno after this Fighter Pass Vol. 2 announcement.
Just a little backstory so you guys don't think I'm cheering against Geno: I want Geno in Smash since Melee, I was there for the Sonic and Tails fakes and all. I got every character I wanted in the game - Mewtwo, Diddy, Wolf, Squirtle, Sonic, Villager, Ryu, Cloud, Ridley, K. Rool, Banjo. Yes, all of them, including Mewtwo in Melee (I'm old), some were doomed impossible. Now the only character I really want is our boy. Also, all I have to say is, of course, my opinion and I'm sharing to listen to you guys on where I might be mistaken.
With FP1 I was confident Geno wasn't in because of 2 things: Stage and Spirits. There were 2 SMRPG Spirits in the game, Geno being one of them, and as for a stage, I thought it was unlikely to make a SMRPG stage, not much on that. But with Piranha Plant being a standalone DLC and having characters without stages in Smash 4, but having music, I thought he could come later as a separate DLC character. Specially with Beware the Forest's Mushrooms not in the game, despite a Geno spirit battle (also, he's represented by Sheik, with no Mii Costume to be seen).
And then came Sans (and now Cuphead), a premium Mii costume with a song. Not only that, all the characters in FPv2 have a stage and spirit board.
But I honestly think that there's no way, after Sonic, Cloud and Banjo, and the Geno Mii Costume from 4, we are left with only a Geno Spirit.
So this is how my mind is working rn:
Best case scenario - Geno is an extra character thrown in the game outside the FPv2 (say Cacomallow is real and we get him with Doomguy), along with Beware the Forest's Mushrooms. I don't think this is likely tho, the only precedent was Piranha Plant, but he was kinda free. The reason I say this is the best case scenario is simply because we get 7 characters.
Second best case scenario - Geno is one of the characters in FPv2, with bunch of SMRPG music and spirits. This is where my mind betrays me, I honestly don't see this happening and have no reasoning simply because I can't see SMRPG getting this much attention.
Other good scenario - Geno is one of the characters in FPv2, but comes with an unrelated stage, say it's another Mario stage or a classic Smash stage that was cut. I have no idea about the spirits tho.
Worst case scenario - This is sadly the way I'm leaning towards, we get a premium Geno costume with Beware the Forest's Mushrooms.