Modders have successfuly replicated the jiggle physics on a version of the Mallow costume without crashing the game. There was a great deal of misinformation around what was and what wasn't possible at the time, and we've seen enough evidence to cast more than a reasonable amount of doubt to the validity of Cacomallow.
Then why have we not seen a mod that even comes close to what we see in the images in terms of quality? More to the point, why is it that every single recreation of these hats can never get the Cacodemon Hat to perfectly encircle the Mii's face like it does in the post? To my knowledge there have been two attempts at recreating the Cacodemon Hat: A model made in Blender (middle) and an actual in-game mod (right), and neither of them can make the Cacodemon Hat perfectly encircle the Mii's face.
If this is just a mod, and modding something like that is so easy, why hasn't it been done? Why hasn't someone been able to replicate this little detail? It should be a pretty simple thing to do, but yet nobody has done it. Hmm, curious that.
At best, we're getting a character in April (and that's a long shot), which puts Cacomallow at 6 months old and one character removed since they didn't come with Byleth and it's more likely we're waiting until like June/July for that first Volume 2 character from Sakurai's request for us to wait patiently and the overall release calendar taking so much time compared to Volume 1. The further removed we get from the original "leak," the much less likely it is to be real because there's no real reason for them to have produced and tested these costumes so long ago.
The costumes are nowhere in sight, nor does it make sense for Mii costumes to be made so apparently incredibly in advance of whatever character they're coming with and in testing for this to leak at all.
Hero and Banjo both got revealed during the E3 Direct, and both of them were complete enough for use in the gameplay sections of their reveal trailers. During the Banjo presentation, Sakurai noted that he was recording that about two days after the Hero presentation, which was most likely recorded a few days before Hero's actual release. What this means is that Hero and Banjo were in a decently playable state well before their releases in late July and early September, respectively. Furthermore, in a NintendoLife interview from 2014, Sakurai went on on record stating that developing a character from conception to release is about a year. What this would mean is that Banjo would've began development anywhere from September to December of 2018.
http://www.nintendolife.com/news/20...ays_to_play_super_smash_bros_for_nintendo_3ds
"I get the planning for each character done remarkably quickly. For example, after learning about Greninja and its abilities one evening, by late night I had already completed the design for that character’s moves and features.
The process, however, of actually creating a character often takes well over a year, where we are constantly working on the model, the animations, the audio and the balancing. For the game balance we have a testing team playing almost every day and we make adjustments based on their results. I was working from morning to night with my responsibilities as director, so I was only able to spend Wednesday evenings and weekends on the balance."
So why do you think that Mii Costumes would be any different, exactly? What makes you think they wouldn't negotiate and produce these costumes well ahead of time and release it long after? Is it because Mii Costumes are easier to make than a fighter, so they wouldn't feel the need to make them in bulk? Do you think the copyright negotiations will run out at some point and they wouldn't be able to release them if they don't do it within a certain time frame? I'm not saying I'm super knowledgeable on game development, but I don't understand why you seem to think that game development is linear. It's not. Plenty of different things are made around the same time; the final boss of a game could be the first thing developed, or the first stage could've been made really late into development.
That's also not how the burden of proof works. It was one whoever leaked it to prove that it was real, not on the people observing it to prove it fake. Cacomallow had to do literally anything to prove it was real and it hasn't.
First off, no, that's actually
not how the burden of proof works at all. If an alleged leak image looks so obviously fake, as in they have many major details that look off, then the burden falls onto whoever is claiming that it's true. If this looks off compared to everything else, you have to be the one to prove that it's real. On the other hand, if an image looks pretty convincing, as in there's very little that can be pointed out that screams fake, then the burden falls onto whoever is claiming that it's fake. If this looks very high quality, you have to be the one to prove that it's fake.
The reason the CacoMallow Post has lasted so long in speculation is because there's not really much that you can point to about them that would prove that they're fake, unlike many other fake leaks made over the years. Usual things to look out for would be unintentional model clipping (ie. the hat itself so clearly clips through the Mii's head model, there's a clear seam in the hat, or there's noticeable clipping around the area where the hat encircles the face), or very low quality images and/or video that are used to mask clipping or bad texturing (the video footage isn't the most HD stuff out there, but the image we have is pretty clear all things considered, allowing us to get a good look at the hats, and they look pretty good).
And secondly, the CacoMallow Post was posted to 4chan, a website known for it's anonymous userbase. How exactly is this anonymous person going to prove it was real? And assuming they do come forward, why should people believe them anyways? Who are they? What are their credentials? It's frankly absurd for you to say that the burden of proof is on some random anonymous person who, assuming this is true, most likely went to 4chan specifically to avoid it coming back to him.
TL;DR The burdern of proof is on the one making the claim. The person who posted it didn't claim it was real or fake, they merely posted it, and if you're going to say that it's fake when it looks as convincing as it is, you'll need to try a lot harder than that.
Not to mention, ever willing to issue take downs Nintendo has literally not touched anything related to this effect even though we saw them insanely trigger happy with Pokemon Sw/Sh leaks at the same time.
Of course they were going to go out of their way to quash the SwSh Leaks, because it was
so beyond obvious that they were real at that point. There were in-game images of the new Pokemon, pictures from the guidebooks, and even
full livestreams of the game on most streaming websites! No **** they'd go out of their way to issue takedowns of that, that's the
actual goddamn game beyond a shadow of a doubt! The CacoMallow Post isn't conclusive one way or the other. Could it be faked? I'd imagine it'd be difficult, but yeah it could. But could it be real? Well given how real it looks, it very well could be. It's in such a grey area that there's really no reason for Nintendo to go full-on damage control and take down anything related to it.
And can you imagine what would've happened had they actually
did take down any videos or articles talking about it? Can you imagine what the fanbase would've thought about that? They would've gone
crazy with speculation about it. Everyone would think it was real because why else would Nintendo have taken it down?
WHAT ARE THEY HIDING?! It would've drawn so much more attention to it, something that Nintendo surely wouldn't want regardless if it were real or not. The best course of action for them to take is to simply ignore it and not do anything, because then people will forget about it and dismiss it as a hoax, basically doing their job for them. And given the attitudes of you and other people in this thread right now, it worked.
Now I'm not saying that it actually is real, and we should pay attention to it because of that. What I'm saying is that there still isn't enough evidence one way or the other, and it's poor form to dismiss it as you're doing right now.
There's literally nothing to corroborate these few seconds of video as anything outside of wishful thinking that it might point to a preferred outcome (and it didn't even really do that since Mallow and Cacodemon costumes don't actually have to imply anything about playable characters).
Well, except for the fact that these look pretty convincing. That may be a bit of a boon in it's favor. And with regards to their implications, I'd say there's enough there to reasonably say that they could be for a couple of fighters moreso than anything else. Let's start this section by assuming the CacoMallow Post is true. Starting with the Cacodemon Hat, Bethesda has yet to contribute anything to the game despite being a major developer (Konami and Ubisoft have already provided characters/spirits for the game), so given how DLC has worked thus far, at it's worst this hat is indicative that we will at least be getting a character from them. Doesn't have to be Doomguy, just a character from them in general.
And as for the Mallow Hat, well... why would this exist if they were bringing back the Geno Mii Costume? Why make a new costume/hat to go alongside an old, returning one? You'd think bringing back the Geno costume alone would be enough, surely? So far we haven't had this happen with any of the other returning third party Mii Costumes, we never got an Axl costume to go alongside the X and Zero ones for example, so why would Geno be any different?
Also, why have we not heard anything about the Geno Mii Costume returning, yet we've heard about a bunch of other returning costumes no problem? You'd think if his costume was coming back, the guy who made the Mii Costume List would've included that, it wouldn't have been hard for him to hear of it, surely. And I'm not accepting the excuse that he was just trolling about the SquareEnix costumes he listed, because that would make it the longest and most ineffective trolling ops in the history of trolling. Imagine going out of your way to make a post to troll someone that includes almost entirely real leaked information and only have the fake information revealed to be fake a year or so out from when you first shared it, at the point where most people would have forgotten about it.
This brings me to the oft-made claim that the Geno Mii Costume is getting an upgrade a la Sans and Cuphead, and that's why it wasn't on the Mii Costume List. Why on earth would you upgrade a costume you intended to just port from the previous game? What would be the point? And why just Geno? Why not do this with every other costume? Why not upgrade the X costume to give him a proper X face and add in a Mega Man X music track to go along with it? Why not upgrade the Tails and Knuckles costumes and add in Believe in Myself or Unknown From M.E.? Hell, who not make this the standard for all Mii Fighter Costumes going forward? If they're so easy to make, surely it wouldn't be much more difficult to do that, right?
Honestly, I really hate this argument. There's no precedent for costumes getting upgraded, there's no good reason as to why they would even go to that effort for not only just Geno, but any costume whatsoever, and it really misses the point as to why Sans and Cuphead were most likely given such treatment in the first place. That reason being that while they were very popular, they couldn't be added in as fighters due to the DLC having already been decided on beforehand (they never deviate from their decision once they've made it), so they did this instead to satify the fans. Now I'm not saying this could never happen at all, but I think you'd be more correct in assuming we'll be getting a Miriam Swordfighter Costume in the future.