Nobody cares what you feel about anything. Everyone has their own opinions and nobody is really going to convince you that Geno has a chance aside from you. What many people (myself included) have a problem with is that you'll often present your opinions as if they're facts, whilst also assuming that everyone who speculates about Geno's chances is presenting their own opinions.
https://smashboards.com/threads/geno-♪-return-of-the-starsend-savior.446378/post-23753599
As I've gone over in this post, when people present their arguments based on what we know, ie. the Mii Costume List and the CacoMallow Post, they're not presenting their opinions, they're aren't saying that they're real because they feel it's real, but rather because they have a lot of things going for them. Their analysis and speculation is most entirely objective and impersonal.
I don't say that the Mallow, Smithy, and Chocobo Costumes/Hats on the Mii Costume List are legit because I just feel it is, I say that because the person who made these lists has gotten most everything else they've claimed correct. Statistically speaking, these three costumes/hats are most likely also legit. You would then counter by saying that it's possible that those three costumes/hats were faked by the person who made the list, perhaps added in specifically to troll Genobros. You have nothing to back up your claim with aside from your opinion on the matter, but in your mind not only is that sufficient counter, it is also a comparable kind of statement compared to what I've said. As I have laid out, that is not the case.
All of my posts are, or at the very least try to be, entirely objective in their analysis, as I feel that debate is fun and there's little fun to be had in only presenting my opinions. You can't call an opinion wrong per se, since again anyone can hold whatever opinion they want to. However when you make objective claims based on evidence you can create theories and compare them to other people's, discuss your points and come to a more coherent conclusion. You may be proven wrong time and again, but in the end you will be better off for it, as it will allow you to make better arguments in the future. As
Fatmanonice
so eloquently put it, it is the core of the scientific method.
And I think that may help to explain why you have such a problem with people's speculation and why you make the arguments that you do. If you were to take in the objective information you would have to open yourself up to the possibility that Geno is potentially coming to Smash, possibly by the end of next year. This goes in direct conflict with your cynical viewpoint that Geno has no chance of getting in Smash, which leads you to looking for anything you can point to that could mean that Geno may not come. Any negative or worst-case scenario is considered more likely in your eyes, any inconclusive information spells doom to you, any outlier is the rule unless they work against you.
You call this being "realistic" when everyone can clearly see it for what it really is: Bias. Pure, unfiltered bias. This kind of outlook is miasma to all speculation or theory crafting that muddies the water and prevents us from coming to any sort of a conclusion. It's the heart cutting ahead of the mind, saying that their ideas aren't worth it because said ideas undermine their viewpoints or just plain make them upset. Atheism debates would always be chock full of this stuff, with christian types countering any claims or evidence provided by those of no faith with "But the Holy Bibble, though..." as a form of argumentation. It wasn't helpful then, it isn't helpful now, and it will never be helpful. All it will ever do is shut ideas down and prevent any discourse from taking place.
And it makes people not want to even bother coming up with any sort of theories or speculation, because they know that any time they do, they have to deal with an insufferable child who whines and cries and ruins everyone else's good times because he didn't get what he wanted. Perhaps I should take this opprotunity to elaborate on what I mean by that, and thankfully this will be relatively short. I call you a bratty child because of how you reacted to the November 1st Direct, namely your inability to let it go.
I understand not being happy with it or any of the characters that were revealed during it, in fact I myself was also very disappointed by it, and I would easily rank it at the worst Smash Direct of all time, but at this point the fact that you're still seething from it, still so asspained by it, still overflowing with sodium chloride that I can see it falling out of the screen, that you're continuing to let it influence how you interact with people in this thread and others, is nothing short of childish. It is tantamount to a child not getting a toy they wanted for christmas and not only proceeding to make everyone's day miserable as a result, but every single day afterwards miserable as well. This is like that child becoming an adult, 35 years old, who still feels the need to bitterly complain about how they didn't get that toy they wanted 30 years ago.
It's whiny, it's obnoxious, and everyone is sick and tired of hearing about it. It's gotten so bad that people keep asking you why you're even still here if you appear to be having little-to-no fun, don't feel like talking about anything related to the thread topic or Smash in general, don't want to make memes, and don't even think the character for whom this thread is named after has a shot of getting in whatsoever. Seriously, why are you even here? If I had no faith in Geno getting in, I wouldn't be hanging around here. If everyone in this thread kept asking me why I was still here, I would've left a long time ago. If everyone in this thread always had problems with me and took time out to explain to me in extreme detail as to what issues they had with me, I wouldn't go away for a few days and come back as if nothing ever happened. If I had nothing to say, my lips would be sealed. If I had no fun being here, I'd leave and do something more worth my time.
Do you just like having people call you out on a regular basis? Is it fun for you? Are you just that thick-headed and stubborn that it doesn't bother you? Or are you just delusional enough to think that everyone's issues with you aren't your fault or aren't real? Not gonna lie, smug snipe posts like this kind of give me that impression of you. That and your pretentious "Wise Old Sage" attitude, "Oh, I'm not the naive little child that I used to be, I've GROWN, I've become so much wiser. Now I don't have any hopes or expectations for what's to come, because life is meaningless and we're all cogs in the machine! WAKE UP, SHEEPLE!".
So to sum up, nobody cares about your terrible takes, your biased perspective adds nothing to the conversation, you're a petty child who needs to let it go, and you're not any smarter or more mature than anyone else.