I relate a lot to
Ovaltine
because Smash speculation can be really draining. It's hard not to get emotionally invested when you spend a lot of time on it. I get the pessimism because sometimes it feels hopeless and it's exhausting to be hopeful. I too have chronic depression and, even though I'm medicated, it ebbs and flows and online forums make you feel as if you can be more blunt about how you feel. It's kind of hard for this fanbase because 1. we're super old not only in our support and the fact that a lot of us are 25+, 2. tons of "oh, so close" moments over the years, 3. lots of "impossible" characters being added in this game and the last, 4. Sakurai's statements, and all that. We're in a weirdly unique situation as a fanbase and it's hard to be a front-runner for it.
Ovaltine has very quickly become a leader in this community and, based on my own experience, that's a weirdly stressful position to be in too. All this said, I get that they're not super optimistic because, in some sense, you also take responsibility for other people's expectations too. It's not logical but, you kind of take blame for the state of things if they don't go right and that's a bit of a weight too. In a way, it's almost like a political campaign but you have even less control over how things turn out.