Final pool has finished, and it was a clean sweep from Maister. Interestingly, 0mart
reversed 3-0 ShinyMark
. I would have thought ShinyMark would have brought out his Lucina against Maister, but he did not. Maybe if he gets the runback tomorrow, he can fare better or pull out his counterpick pockets.
1st Maister
2nd 0mart
3rd ShinyMark
4th Andrik
Matchups tomorrow:
WB Quarters (group records shown in games unless noted):
Nair^- Cloudy. Honestly feels like the most even quarterfinal. Cloudy played steady throughout, going 8-5 - defeating Yei and Chag, but also a very narrow 2-3 loss to Capitancito - and will be assumed to have the MU advantage. But at the same time Nair^ went 9-3 in his group, upset Sparg0 and gained valuable matchup experience from said upset. The two will probably be studying a lot of each others' tape, Nair will look out for what Cloudy does differently from Sparg0 while Cloudy will look to avoid Sparg0's mistakes in that set (incl. an early airdodge in game 1's last stock that Nair^ capitalized on with an up smash) and capitalize on Nair's habits.
Maister - Sonix. Maister emerged from his group with a clean sheet, and a 9-0 game record. Sonix did play really well too, a 7-3 game record and the only losses coming from his set with MKLeo. Maister's looking like the favorite, but Sonix might have the slight MU upper hand. Either way, this looks to be a very scrappy quarterfinal considering how the characters play.
Capitancito - Sparg0. Capitancito not only went 9-3 but also inched past Cloudy in a 3-2 nailbiter. Sparg0 went 8-5, with another nailbiter in the form of his 2-3 loss to Nair^. Sparg0 should be favored not only because he's the more well known name, but also due to assumed MU... buuuut, like Nair^ Capitancito defeated another Aegis player and gained valuable MU knowledge from that set. Going to be back and forth, with Sparg0 looking to avoid stray hits / edgeguards and Cito seeking to minimize the damage he gets where he can.
MKLeo - 0mart. Leo went 9-4 with three different characters - showing his versatility. 0mart went 2-1 in sets and 6-6 in games in his group - the UB clinching victory was a really close 3-2 set vs. ShinyMark. Leo's the clear favorite here, although 0mart will likely look to turn this into a very scrappy series. Might be a bit difficult to do not only since Joker's considered favored vs. Snake going by assumed
MU consensus, but also since one of Leo's biggest strengths is his ability to anticipate opponents' movements.
(The winners of each set are guaranteed Top 6 and thus qualification to the global finals)
LB Round 1:
Yei - MtKat. Yei went 5-9 in his group, sweeping Chag but going 1-3 vs. both Cloudy and Capitancito. MtKat went 0-9, with 4 of those 9 losses being two stock and the rest one stock. Feels like Yei is favored (outside of MU, but Yei did win vs. a Palu main), however I don't wanna count out Mtkat here since Mtkat might know a bit more about Yei's habits than Yei does his.
WaKa - Andrik. WaKa went 4-6, including a sweep vs. AlanDiss but got 0-3'd by Sonix. Andrik finished with a 2-9 record, with a lot of close losses. This one is going to be volatile as all hell, since both WaKa and Andrik play characters that want to get as much % off of one confirm as possible. WaKa might have the potential MU favor since Andrik will have to approach, but this is not a surefire set to call.
BigBoss - Chag. BigBoss finished 6-6, including a very close 2-3 loss to Sparg0 to start off the day. Chag struggled noticeably to a 1-9 record, with his lone win coming off of two-stocking Cloudy in their game 3. Despite the records this feels very difficult to determine - Chag's a very strong player still, and Palu is considered to have a decent-to-strong MU with ROB. BigBoss for his part might come into the set with better form though.
ShinyMark - AlanDiss. ShinyMark went 5-7, with the 2-3 loss he took to 0mart winding up sending him to losers. AlanDiss finished 2-9, with his two game wins coming notably vs. MKLeo's Byleth. Mark's coming into this one slightly favored IMHO, but Alan is a capable player himself and the character MU is pretty much dead even.