I'm aware, but I'm not taking that risk. Kary goes tomorrow, no questions asked, simply because he's shown the execute ability.
I'm working under the assumption that there are the maximum number of non-town factions left: 3
It would be illogical to do otherwise. Regardless of how you interpret JTB's ability, I'm not allowing any room for error. We know that mafia want Kary dead, it's just a matter of when end game would be. Closest possible end game is toMorrow.
If this is the case, lynching Kary can result in a game end due to the last two mafia being present against two town. Town's only hope is to lynch mafia, as I explained yesterday. Had we lynched Kary yesterday Circus or I would have been poisoned by JTB and the game would have basically been done. So, go me.
I'll repeat myself.
Overswarm said:
If Kary is actually mafia, claiming independent is not in mafia's best interests. You get no brownie points for being on that lynch and the open statement of "hey mafia let's alpha strike with this cool ability" isn't a guarantee, it's a trap. If it was a guarantee they'd just do it.
If we leave Kary alive, mafia has to kill Kary to win. All we have to do is keep Kary alive until we whittle down mafia's numbers. I know it's tempting to lynch the person who is claiming a non-town faction, but it doesn't help us in any way to eliminate that slot ESPECIALLY ON THE TERMS OF THAT SLOT.
Kary is indie. This is agonizingly clear. But who is TOWN?
Assuming there are two mafia remaining and a Kary indie, all I'd need to do is find a townie and then I'd have a 100% success rate. No need to be sloppy though, so I have to narrow it down to one.
Bardull has been pushing for him nonstop from the first opportunity. Again agonizingly clear.
Bardull said:
Sworddancer, however, is smarter.
Sworddancer said:
If Kary is indy then . . . idk. I guess if mafia wanted to take a gamble, which I doubt, this game would also be over. Otherwise OS is right about Kary's motivation, I guess.
Kary is not mafia executioner. If he was this game would be over. He would have to be mafia traitor for him to be part of the mafia fraction. Him changing up his claims makes me doubt this some. I'm really hoping that he's just trolling about his claim altogether tbh.
Bardull said:
My point is, is that if the numbers don't indicate Kary traitor (they don't) then this is extremely simple.
We need to figure out NAs.
Swords said:
I'm saying that if he was an executioner he could not be part of the main mafia fraction, and that he would have to be a traitor. If he was, then mafia would have ended this Day before anything else even happened.
You know he isn't mafia, Swords. If he was the mafia executioner the game would be over, you said it yourself.
If he's not mafia, he's independent because he sure as hell isn't town.
If we lynch mafia today, we can lynch Kary tomorrow, and then have a 3 man lylo of me, you, and Circus if the game isn't over by that point. I'll take that over rolling the dice.
Assuming there is one mafia left, Bardull seems like a likely choice. I could see a Circus/Bardull/PJB team, especially given the Bardull saying "PJB your claim doesn't work" and Circus barking at him for it and then suddenly backing off.
Seriously, go read the exchange. Read Bardull's posts. They aren't constructive, they're GO GO GO LYNCH KARY. He wouldn't even say who he thinks other scum would be except to say he wouldn't take me to lylo after I myself pressed him to give other scum!
Bardull said:
Sword. You have literally all the information you need to take a gigantic proverbial **** on Kary. Why aren't you voting Kary?
Bardull said:
Look, can we just end this dude? Everyone do what they think is best and just go with it.
Bardull said:
I don't see Kary not being lynched toDay. Lets just hardbody him and call it a day.
It's in Kary's best interests to have us lynch anyone but him. I'm not stupid and if this was Day 3 I'd just say "No, we lynch Kary."
But it's not Day 3 and we may not have a buffer. So we take the
safe route.
It's in town's best interest to lynch mafia. They are essentially the winningiest faction remaining.
Everyone but me has been pushing Kary, and I'm pushing for Kary tomorrow.
Ergo, mafia want to lynch Kary. Since we want TOWN to win, we lynch
mafia today. Lynch Bardull and get a mafia flip, then lynch Kary the next day, and then if the game isn't over lynch the final scum (for me that'd be Circus by PoE).
Bardull's insistence that we lynch Kary seems to be classic flailing to me. While I am understanding of the desire to lynch someone obviously not of your faction, I am completely dumbfounded by the fact that Bardull alone has decided "nope, not gonna listen to nothin" from the moment he discovered Kary was a lynch option.
No pause whatsoever and always some sort of ret-con explanation.
Everyone's voting for Kary? Oh, that's because they're bussing Kary.
Kary executes PJB? Oh, must be because he's trying to tell mafia he's the traitor, he's still mafia.
Following day everyone but me still going for a Kary lynch? Must be because... uh... Kary's mafia with Overswarm and they bussed PJB together?
Kary was mafia with an execute ability and they used it on their SCUM MATE instead of oh, say, anyone else? Still don't know his explanation for this one.
Sheesh.
Swords you know I'm right and I know you know it.
If I'm wrong, we lynch Bardull and he flips town or mafia. Then the next occurs anyway. We lynch Kary. Three man lylo. We lynch the final scum there or we lose.
If I'm right, we lynch Kary, game could end.
I'm not, even for a second, believing some other person's claimed ability to determine how many scum are left ESPECIALLY IN A RECRUITING GAME. There is so much we do not know about the setup that the only intelligent thing is to assume that every phase is as close to lylo as it can possibly be.
Lynch Bardull today, lynch Kary tomorrow, then lynch Circus if the game still goes on.
The game can be won by town in this fashion, but I need you with your thinking cap on.
If you want to make a case on Circus, go for it. I'll admit I kind of have rage blinders towards Bardull and his arrogant one-direction "don't lynch PJB, lynch Kary! He's obviously the threat!" BS, but I just don't see a Circus scum playing it so cool in the final stages. He'd be trying to attempt
something.