OS, the assertion that Kary was expecting to get lynched toDay is hogwash. He was forced into this position after 3 people claimed guilties on him...there's no way he could have predicted this to happen.
We lynch confirmed scum and move on. How is this even a question at this point???
Because
the numbers don't add up.
Kantrip's poisoned, right? So he's dead guaranteed?
4 mafia 4 town = game over. We already have a poison. THAT IS GAME.
Ergo, 3 mafia or less.
3 mafia, 4 town, 1 indie
or
3 mafia, 3 town, 2 indie
those are our options for toDay.
Do you notice how
none of those groups there add up to 5 on their own? Assuming Kantrip and Kary are of separate factions, there isn't even a single voting block that can join together for a lynch except for town and mafia.
Kary isn't lying when he's saying he's a kingmaker, especially with his execute ability. You still think Kary's mafia with an execute ability? Why would he lie
when we can't lynch without more than a single faction has?
It's a trap for mafia. The only reason he'd trap mafia is to get a recruit somehow, likely someone
in the mafia. Probably whoever hammers or votes first or something similarly ridiculous.
I repeat:
If Kary was mafia, and he get a million guilty results, his response would be "**** you?"
Given that Kantrip is decidedly indy AND is poisoned, we get to kill two birds with one stone by just No Lynching.
We remove the indy and tomorrow me, JTB, Circus, you, Swords, and Kary can all join together and lynch PJB. It'll only take 4 of us, so if Kary is indy (he is) we'd need only 3 town (which we have to have at this point) with Kary, without we'd need 4 town (which we almost certainly have).
That puts us
in a winning position.
If we lynch Kary today ALL WE WILL DO IS GIVE MAFIA A VICTORY. They lose both Kantrip and Kary, the only things preventing this from being an auto-loss for town.
Do the math.
If there's 3 mafia and we lynch Kary and Kantrip dies, there's 6 players left instead of 7. That's 3 on 3. Mafia wins, period.
If there's 4 mafia the game would be over today.
THERE ARE ONLY THREE MAFIA MEMBERS.
IF THERE ARE THREE MAFIA MEMBERS NO LYNCH GIVES TOWN THE POSSIBILTY OF SWINGING A LYNCH.
All you have to do is NOT VOTE.
Unvote for discussion at least so there isn't some sneaky alpha for pete's sake.
NO ONE VOTE. If you vote you are only helping mafia. Do the math it doesn't work out in any other way. There is
no mathematical way that Kary is mafia. None. Zero. Zilch. Nada. It is
impossible or else the game would already be over.
