7NATOR
Smash Master
- Joined
- Feb 13, 2016
- Messages
- 4,089
Okay guys, So unlike most people in Smash Speculation, and i bet even most of the Shadow Supporters here, I do think Shadow has somewhat of a shot to get in as DLC. I won't say it wouldn't be an uphill battle, there are alot of candidates to fill in the 5 slots in the Fighter Pass, however I do think Shadow has merit to be one of the DLC Characters, so here it is.
So Going into FP2, I do think Shadow got more merit as a character then he did going into the base roster of Smash Ultimate, and FP1. FP1 was probably being decided sometime around 2017- 2018. I think when considering Shadow, who's an Assist Trophy character, We should also consider some advantages he got since becoming an Assist for the 3rd time. so let's take a look
-Sonic Forces and Team Sonic Racing are games that have Shadow featured prominently, especially Forces that had (Free) Shadow DLC. this is the first Time Shadow's been playable in a decade in Mainline Sonic game. While I will say Forces did not go as good as Mania (which is the best selling Sonic game in 25 Years) both Critically and Reception wise, It still did do good in Sales as Sega have said. I believe the same goes for Team Sonic Racing, especially in Europe. Plus even then, Shadow being playable in Forces was one of the things that people Really liked or found cool about the game, along with the Character creator and the music and such.
-He's still featured prominently in Sonic Media, like the Twitter stuff and such. Mobile Games, which are very popular. Sonic Boom the Cartoon was popular (even despite getting a bad timeslot for Season 2) and Shadow was a main focal point of Both Season finales.
-In terms of Smash, Probably the biggest Merit for Shadow is that his Popularity for Smash Exploded during the base game speculation. He's always had a notable Fanbase, but like with Skull Kid, Isaac, and Waluigi, the Fan demand came to the highest it's ever been. While Waluigi's Backlash might have been the biggest, Isaac, Shadow, and Skull Kid all got Backlash for their Assists Returning (Especially since Skull Kid wasn't even revealed in the direct, they did him dirty).
Now that that's established, here's some other stuff
-The Sonic Movie was Looking to come out soonish when FP2 was being decided. Both the First Intial Trailer came out. We know that the Trailer got Very Popular for the wrong reasons, however it was also stated the Design would be fixed. this all happened when the Fighter Pass was beind decided. Unforantly we can't use the Amazing performance of the Actual movie to it's credit, since the movie came out in February and the Fighter Pass was being decided then. I think the thing with this is that the fact Sonic was getting a movie in the first place shows that Sonic is looking to be more relevant than he was at the time of Base roster Selection
-Even without the movie, Sonic Mania, The Sonic Boom Cartoon, Sonic Forces (to an extent), The Comics, Mobile games, Animations, were in help of Making Sonic Relevant.
-The Sonic 30th Anniversary is Next year, so we should see a New Sonic game
I'm mentioning this because I will just say that Sonic was in a Much Better Position around this time than before Ultimate Base roster was being selected. The latest games for Sonic around this time were Sonic Boom. Say what you will about Forces, But Forces has much more merit to it than Sonic Boom Rise of Lyric, and Forces also has Mania too.
The TL:DR is that Sonic as a Franchise has more merit of getting another character going into FP2 than it did for Base roster. that's pretty much the gist
So with that being said, the question we need to ask is if Nintendo/Sakurai is willing to Pick Sonic. Well we need to look at the Advantages and Disadvantages of Another Sonic Character in Smash
Pros
-Sonic is a Relevant, Iconic franchise that Nintendo Fans are VERY Familiar with.
-Tails, Knuckles, Shadow, and Eggman are Iconic characters that Casuals know, while also being characters that have seen lots of requests for in Smash.
-Sega Still has probably the best relations with Nintendo of any 3rd Party
-The Licensing costs for another Sonic character might be in it's favor. Just recent Ninjala was able to attain a Sonic Event. I imagine Licensing another Sonic character will cost money, however I don't expect it to be something outrageous. Plus there is the fact that Other Sonic characters are already in Smash in some form. While the Licensing for stuff like Assists, Mii Costumes, and Spirits are different from a Full fighter, I think the Transisiton from those might be much easier from a Licensing standpoint than Working with Completely new company
The Licensing point is important to note because there's a likely chance that FP2 might not have as much High Priced characters as FP1, or maybe just around the same amount. Diminishing returns are a big factor into this, as typically Later Season passes do not do as good as beginning Season passes since less people are probably playing the game as it goes on longer. There's also the fact that this type of Extra DLC (that hadn't seemed to have been Planned) is not typical of Nintendo.
The Biggest characters of FP1 I would expect from a Licensing Standpoint is Hero and Banjo (Hero the more expenive one of the two, due to the music Rights especially and having to work with 3 Companies). I do think this should be considered when talking about Characters like Crash, Master Chief, and Sora. this is not to say they are impossible, Far from it. However I do think this Licensing thing must be something taken into consideration, as I expect characters like Sora, Chief, and Crash to be very expensive. There's also nothing saying they couldn't make an exception for Smash, but it is something to consider
Cons
-Another Sonic character really wouldn't bring in a New Audience to Smash, Since Sonic himself is already in.
-Sega technically already got in a new character, with Joker, even though that's more Atlus's Character, but Sega owns Atlus.
-There's other Prominent Sega Characters, With Arle being the most prominent, as she's been very requested in Japan for awhile now and is sometimes considered "The Japanese Sega Mascot"
Those are just some of the Pros and Cons, there's probably more under the surface. In the case of Shadow Himself getting in, here are the Pros and Cons
Pros
-Very Popular Iconic character, that's been very requested for Smash
-From a Development Standpoint, would be easier to create since he Could use Sonic as a base, while still having really unique moves
-Despite Looking like Sonic, Shadow has potential from Moveset that not only separates him from Sonic, but from the rest of the cast. Space Time Manipulation is an interesting concept that could be done, With his Chaos powers. there's also other Sonic related abilities like the Boost, Light Speed dash, and Black Tornado, His Skate Shoes, and also Guns
-The Head of Sonic Team, Takashi Lizuka's favorite character is Shadow the Hedgehog
-Sakurai might also have a thing for Edgy Characters. Look at Meta Knight, Dark Pit, and also his comments on Iori. there's more to this i believe as well
Cons
-The Similarities to Sonic however can't be ignored, and could be Detrimental to the possibility of Shadow being in FP2
-Of the 4 Main Possibilities of a 2nd Sonic character, Shadow is probably the most divisive one.
-In terms of Assist characters, Isaac and Waluigi are characters that pose massive competition. there's also Skull Kid, Bomberman, and Shovel Knight
-Perhaps might be hard to balance, with the Time Manipulation, combined with Shadow's other abilities, being a hard mix to balance with such a Fast character like Shadow
There's probably more in each category. I just wanted to go on ahead and state this. yes
So Going into FP2, I do think Shadow got more merit as a character then he did going into the base roster of Smash Ultimate, and FP1. FP1 was probably being decided sometime around 2017- 2018. I think when considering Shadow, who's an Assist Trophy character, We should also consider some advantages he got since becoming an Assist for the 3rd time. so let's take a look
-Sonic Forces and Team Sonic Racing are games that have Shadow featured prominently, especially Forces that had (Free) Shadow DLC. this is the first Time Shadow's been playable in a decade in Mainline Sonic game. While I will say Forces did not go as good as Mania (which is the best selling Sonic game in 25 Years) both Critically and Reception wise, It still did do good in Sales as Sega have said. I believe the same goes for Team Sonic Racing, especially in Europe. Plus even then, Shadow being playable in Forces was one of the things that people Really liked or found cool about the game, along with the Character creator and the music and such.
-He's still featured prominently in Sonic Media, like the Twitter stuff and such. Mobile Games, which are very popular. Sonic Boom the Cartoon was popular (even despite getting a bad timeslot for Season 2) and Shadow was a main focal point of Both Season finales.
-In terms of Smash, Probably the biggest Merit for Shadow is that his Popularity for Smash Exploded during the base game speculation. He's always had a notable Fanbase, but like with Skull Kid, Isaac, and Waluigi, the Fan demand came to the highest it's ever been. While Waluigi's Backlash might have been the biggest, Isaac, Shadow, and Skull Kid all got Backlash for their Assists Returning (Especially since Skull Kid wasn't even revealed in the direct, they did him dirty).
Now that that's established, here's some other stuff
-The Sonic Movie was Looking to come out soonish when FP2 was being decided. Both the First Intial Trailer came out. We know that the Trailer got Very Popular for the wrong reasons, however it was also stated the Design would be fixed. this all happened when the Fighter Pass was beind decided. Unforantly we can't use the Amazing performance of the Actual movie to it's credit, since the movie came out in February and the Fighter Pass was being decided then. I think the thing with this is that the fact Sonic was getting a movie in the first place shows that Sonic is looking to be more relevant than he was at the time of Base roster Selection
-Even without the movie, Sonic Mania, The Sonic Boom Cartoon, Sonic Forces (to an extent), The Comics, Mobile games, Animations, were in help of Making Sonic Relevant.
-The Sonic 30th Anniversary is Next year, so we should see a New Sonic game
I'm mentioning this because I will just say that Sonic was in a Much Better Position around this time than before Ultimate Base roster was being selected. The latest games for Sonic around this time were Sonic Boom. Say what you will about Forces, But Forces has much more merit to it than Sonic Boom Rise of Lyric, and Forces also has Mania too.
The TL:DR is that Sonic as a Franchise has more merit of getting another character going into FP2 than it did for Base roster. that's pretty much the gist
So with that being said, the question we need to ask is if Nintendo/Sakurai is willing to Pick Sonic. Well we need to look at the Advantages and Disadvantages of Another Sonic Character in Smash
Pros
-Sonic is a Relevant, Iconic franchise that Nintendo Fans are VERY Familiar with.
-Tails, Knuckles, Shadow, and Eggman are Iconic characters that Casuals know, while also being characters that have seen lots of requests for in Smash.
-Sega Still has probably the best relations with Nintendo of any 3rd Party
-The Licensing costs for another Sonic character might be in it's favor. Just recent Ninjala was able to attain a Sonic Event. I imagine Licensing another Sonic character will cost money, however I don't expect it to be something outrageous. Plus there is the fact that Other Sonic characters are already in Smash in some form. While the Licensing for stuff like Assists, Mii Costumes, and Spirits are different from a Full fighter, I think the Transisiton from those might be much easier from a Licensing standpoint than Working with Completely new company
The Licensing point is important to note because there's a likely chance that FP2 might not have as much High Priced characters as FP1, or maybe just around the same amount. Diminishing returns are a big factor into this, as typically Later Season passes do not do as good as beginning Season passes since less people are probably playing the game as it goes on longer. There's also the fact that this type of Extra DLC (that hadn't seemed to have been Planned) is not typical of Nintendo.
The Biggest characters of FP1 I would expect from a Licensing Standpoint is Hero and Banjo (Hero the more expenive one of the two, due to the music Rights especially and having to work with 3 Companies). I do think this should be considered when talking about Characters like Crash, Master Chief, and Sora. this is not to say they are impossible, Far from it. However I do think this Licensing thing must be something taken into consideration, as I expect characters like Sora, Chief, and Crash to be very expensive. There's also nothing saying they couldn't make an exception for Smash, but it is something to consider
Cons
-Another Sonic character really wouldn't bring in a New Audience to Smash, Since Sonic himself is already in.
-Sega technically already got in a new character, with Joker, even though that's more Atlus's Character, but Sega owns Atlus.
-There's other Prominent Sega Characters, With Arle being the most prominent, as she's been very requested in Japan for awhile now and is sometimes considered "The Japanese Sega Mascot"
Those are just some of the Pros and Cons, there's probably more under the surface. In the case of Shadow Himself getting in, here are the Pros and Cons
Pros
-Very Popular Iconic character, that's been very requested for Smash
-From a Development Standpoint, would be easier to create since he Could use Sonic as a base, while still having really unique moves
-Despite Looking like Sonic, Shadow has potential from Moveset that not only separates him from Sonic, but from the rest of the cast. Space Time Manipulation is an interesting concept that could be done, With his Chaos powers. there's also other Sonic related abilities like the Boost, Light Speed dash, and Black Tornado, His Skate Shoes, and also Guns
-The Head of Sonic Team, Takashi Lizuka's favorite character is Shadow the Hedgehog
-Sakurai might also have a thing for Edgy Characters. Look at Meta Knight, Dark Pit, and also his comments on Iori. there's more to this i believe as well
Cons
-The Similarities to Sonic however can't be ignored, and could be Detrimental to the possibility of Shadow being in FP2
-Of the 4 Main Possibilities of a 2nd Sonic character, Shadow is probably the most divisive one.
-In terms of Assist characters, Isaac and Waluigi are characters that pose massive competition. there's also Skull Kid, Bomberman, and Shovel Knight
-Perhaps might be hard to balance, with the Time Manipulation, combined with Shadow's other abilities, being a hard mix to balance with such a Fast character like Shadow
There's probably more in each category. I just wanted to go on ahead and state this. yes