Even if they were easy guesses (and I don't think they were, for a variety of reasons) that's not the point. The point is he got 8/11 right and none wrong. The sum is greater then the parts here.
This entire time I've been basing my opinion of the leak that the leaker knew the first 3 and the other chars were thrown on there to screw with us. I made this opinion because the first 3 were nearly impossible to guess and the others (save "Chrous Men") were a range of the most
obvious choices that could be in the game. That has always bothered me about the leak.
so disregarding the first three and Chorus Men, who exactly is hard to guess? I mean, if you assume that the leak was a guess of a bunch of chars (with no penalty of the chars NOT being in the game because the final roster is unknown, and they're unlikely to be deconfirmed), what kind of list would YOU put together?
-Mii: They've been in EVERY Nintendo family/party game at a higher rate than they were before Brawl. Even the people who didn't want them (including me) acknowledged that they were likely.
-Pac-Man: Like I said, this was EVERYBODY's first thought when we learned about Namco developing the game
-Little Mac: Highly requested and expected since Punch Out Wii..
-Pokemon from X and Y: This falls into "Well duh" territory. There has been a new pokemon in EVERY smash game, and X/Y were brand new. Sakurai also hinted at an X/Y announcement in the PotD.
-Palutena: Again I submit that this is the most easily guessable char inclusion in the entire game, for a huge number of reasons. Any fake leaker that didn't include her was an idiot, imo.
-Shulk: Xenoblade was a huge new franchise and Smash is a marketing tool. The likelihood of this guess was also increased with the timing of the Xenoblade creator tweeting about the Smash Direct BEFORE the new leaked chars came out.
-Chrom: The trend since Melee has been that the Lord of the newest FE game is included. Chrom is an easy guess, especially when Ike wasn't confirmed.
Go back to the timing of the Smash direct, and have everybody make a list of 8 chars that they
expect (not want)
, and I imagine the list would look VERY similar to this one, with a few other chars like Ridley and K Rool thrown in at times. My expected list would probably have included every one of these
What I've been saying this whole time (and I said when the betternet leak got a few things in a row right) is that the inclusion of an obvious character doesn't exactly do anything to the validity of a leak... The first 3 were nearly impossible to guess. I give you that. The others just...aren't. I still say if Marshal/Chorus Men is revealed, that seals it for me, but NO OTHER char from this list does.
Think about it, if it were all a guess past the first 3, it doesn't HURT the leak to include a bunch of chars to be safe and get a few right, knowing that there's a low probability of Shulk/Chrom/etc being downright deconfirmed any time soon.