Before, Ace Attorney being so exclusive to Nintendo systems felt like...definitely a plus, but also not that big a deal with characters like Joker and Cloud making it in, but after yesterday's Banjo reveal and all the interviews of Microsoft reps and others agreeing that Banjo was born on Nintendo and is now home... Before I was pretty sure, but now personally, I have no doubts that if a Capcom character is making it, it's Phoenix.
"Back where they belong" "Spiritual home" sentiments like this noted in this interview:
https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/banjo-kazooies-creators-discuss-smash-bros-inclusion/
And even Phil Spencer acknowledging that Banjo was born on the Nintendo 64, making the deal much easier than for a character like Master Chief:
https://kotaku.com/xbox-boss-phil-spencer-says-banjo-in-smash-was-an-easy-1835418742
Resident Evil was apparently born on the playstation and then ported to a Sega console, plus I personally don't think Resident Evil would be at home with Smash? Zombies and guns, not trying to be mean, the series can be plenty charming I'm sure, "Jill Sandwich" and all that, but it just doesn't seem...mmm..."whimsical" enough for Smash?
Dante is a popular choice, but the fact that Kamiya tweeted a poll to vote for who people might want in Smash
after the DLC had already been decided is a clear deconfirm for me. Sure, he took it down soon enough, but if Dante was in I believe he'd be one of the first people to know, Smash reaches out to original creators after all... Well, maybe some Capcom business people knew first and then Kamiya found out later, but yeah, can't be sure, I
guess.
Monster Hunter, I'm more personally guessing here, but...their creators flat out said "no" to their inclusion in MvC3
https://www.siliconera.com/2011/03/...-didnt-want-the-hunter-in-marvel-vs-capcom-3/ and I can't find an exact interview (ugh, their so old) but I kinda remember the reasoning being that since the character is so customizable, they didn't want to make a set version and demean other peoples' Hunters, I don't wanna spread misinformation, I don't have that evidence, but that memory is definitely effecting my feelings! And hey, maybe they changed their minds by MvCi, but with how lazy and money-driven that game is overall, Monster Hunter was a must (sold for 8 bucks even though being obviously ready for base roster) and I personally guess that Capcom twisted Monster Hunter creators arms a bit or begged or whatever to get them. SO!!! My point! Is that for Smash, and other similar appearances, the Monster Hunter creators would really prefer the Hunter not make an appearance at all. I think Sakurai respected that and Rathalos is perfect Monster Hunter representation enough that everyone could be happy with!
...so!!! That's why personally, I'm naively thinkin Phoenix ain't got thaaat much competition haha
Edit:
If the choice comes down to something like that, I trust Sakurai to pick Phoenix, he prioritizes bringing something new to the series with each character!
https://kotaku.com/smash-bros-creator-explains-how-characters-get-on-the-1644208199 It's very important to be unique. I'm sure you could make a Resident Evil moveset unique enough, I guess... (can you?) but no one outside the series can fight like an Ace Attorney!