Alright folks, I'm posting another roster. This one is a little different from ones I've previously posted. This is probably the last one I'm posting pre-E3, and I will update it accordingly once we get the new information, as I think having any sort of information will change expectations everywhere and for everyone.
First, this is different from my previous rosters for a few reasons. Wolf is no longer there, there are placeholder icons for newcomers and 3rd parties. This roster is a mix of expectation and what I'd like to see. What I'd like to see is based on a mix of expectation and gameplay possibilities.
Some notes:
This roster is based on a mindset that this game is being built off of Wii U. Characters have been ported over and updated with visuals, hitboxes, animations, etc. This is based on my mindset I posted yesterday regarding the timetable and the situation Nintendo was in, as well as looking to the future. I'm posting this before I had a link to the comment, but I'm sure you can find it. If you're interested in more about it, I can link you to it.
Other notes:
We know Inklings are in.
With Tropical Freeze happening and a new game potentially around the corner, I think Dixie could very well get added this time. She hasn't appeared as an AT or anything in Smash up to this point, and I think with her establishment as the "3rd Kong" in the series, I think she's got the best shot of anyone from the series. Next in line might be Cranky or Funky. I think K.Rool would be great, but he's been absent for quite awhile. I don't think he'll get into Smash until he actually shows up in mainline DK games.
While I do desire Decidueye, I just think he'd be a great fit. I understand the desire for Incineroar, but personally I think Decidueye gives an opportunity for not only gameplay differences, but visual as well. There's simply something that seems weird to have two of the same type on the roster at this point as far as Pokemon. Mimikyu is another option that could happen, but based on the suggestions I've seen from some fans on a gameplay level, I'm not entirely sure it would work as well as some think. I think there's potential, and I won't rule the little dude out, but I'm sticking to Decidueye.
Not really a newcomer, but I think Ice Climbers are pretty much coming back. I removed Wolf this time, and with him it seems to be a Roy situation with last game. Everyone kinda figured Roy would be brought back because of "fan demand" and it didn't happen on the base roster. I think something similar could happen here. I played a ton of Wolf when I played Brawl all those years ago, so I'd love to see him return. I just have my doubts.
I think Celica would make for a great character in Smash. Something about Fire Emblem makes me think Corrin was an early newcomer as we are heading into this game, with the final DLC being handed out on what seems like yesterday. I think the icon will change to be Female Corrin, but that's effectively negligible.
Takamaru could make for a fun Samurai-like fighter. I've always thought of him using Shurikens like Genji from Overwatch, in that he could throw 3 at a time at a fixed speed. There are other gameplay ideas, but I think he'd be pretty cool. There is the fact that Sakurai seems wary to add Japan exclusive characters, but who knows?
Isabelle. I get the sneaking suspicion that Animal Crossing will get a character in this game, and it's mainly because Animal Crossing has become a titan series for Nintendo. One thing that makes me reconsider is just the fact that she IS a peaceful character, and Villager does use a "kitchen sink" type moveset. But knowing Sakurai, I think he's given her a look and could probably come up with something cool.
Rex & Pyra. When it comes to Xenoblade, I think there are two main options. There's Elma from XCX, and then the dynamic duo of Rex & Pyra. When I consider the development of Smash Switch, and the probable visits Sakurai made to various studios, something makes me think he'd be given the option of Elma or Rex. Xenoblade 2 started development in 2015 and was released just last year. XCX was released in 2015. It is my humble opinion that the smart thing to do, to be especially current, would be to look at Rex & Pyra. This especially fits into the mindset I am following as far as the goals of this game. If it's meant to be more current, I've got a feeling it's Rex & Pyra.
Dillon, while from a minor/niche series, would be epic imo. He's already been in as an AT, and with a mix of spin dashes and Torb Turret use, I think he'd be incredibly fun to play. He's got the gameplay opportunities, but he's probably a dark horse candidate.
Spring Man. This one is a bit tricky because it's been hinted that nobody from ARMS is in Smash. This is simply another pick in the "looking ahead" roster choices. I'm not sure when ARMS began development, but there IS the chance Sakurai could have had the mindset of, "This game will release in 2018, what will be out by then, and what looks interesting/not so interesting". I think Spring Man would be great, and would almost definitely be the inaugural ARMS character, but this is probably my shakiest prediction.
The Smash Bros. icons and Newcomer icons are there because I will not predict further. I will not try to predict which characters will be easiest to clone, or which 3rd parties will be chosen, or what the "off the wall character nobody expected" will be, because frankly there isn't much of a way to do that. What I will say on 3rd parties is that I think Crash and Spyro are out of contention simply based on timing.
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If there are any questions, I'd love to answer them. If you have any constructive criticism/feedback, I would also like to hear it. Chances are that the day of the reveal, I'll reflect and make another prediction. By no means am I looking to necessarily get things 100% right and seem like a "Smash speculah god".