i think the reason why all of us are saying these early dates is because we want it to be that way. Cause when you think about it, this game is arguably the most anticipated game for the Wii.
And you know how quickly a drought can come in the Generation wars. In Australia our droughts come through once a year, and some go on for like 4 to 5 months. Ninty has fallen behind on GCN and GBA, but they've caught up with the DS, and if they want to keep us interested in the Wii, then they have got to keep us on our tippy toes, or else we could see a Dreamcast. Though looking at what i've heard they're making for Wii, and all the third party support, Ninty will be getting lots of help this time. They just got to keep them coming, don't let a down moment happen. And the moment we see Smash Bros. coming we could settle down a bit, I'm hoping it doesn't come too early, I still want a chance to play Red Steel, Sonic Wildfire, Zelda: TP, Metroid 3, Project Hammer, Mortal Kombat: Armageddon, Super Mario Glaxy and so forth, not to mention catch up on all those FE games if they let us. But they just got to keep it coming. And for a game like Smash Bros. and the hype around it, and when was the last Smash Bros. again?(I've lost so much track cause it's been so long.) they can't keep it too long.
It is one of the few new(well not new anymore) franchises, that has gone well on Ninty's behalf. It is one of the best mulitplayers since Goldeneye(in my view.) It's coming as early as they can get it.
My best bet, is June 07. Anything later and you're really pushing the popularity and hype. I guess you could say Mario Kart and F-zero GX had late entries, and we didn't lose the hype there, but I guess that because wek now they're always gonna make racinggames, and most time they don't need hype, and they have a reasonable audience. whereas Smash Bros. Brawl, you announced it two years ago, and it says on the box
"Nintendo's best Multiplayer", I'm also seeing Player's Choice at EB, and I heard it was the first GCN title to go platinum.
It's just everytime I see the trailer or read a few threads and what most people think, I get so excited I just want it to be released tomorrow, so I could play the **** game. But then I would need a Wii wouldn't I?