I personally attribute no weight to any insider claims about DLC until something of actual value is uncovered or something turns out to actually be true. Not even two weeks ago the narrative was 'Geno and Sephiroth are absolutely the furthest along in the running', and the consensus was 'the VGAs will either have no Smash and Metroid, or the SE rep', and now it's switched to 'everyone is mos def in agreeance it's Erdrick' and it was made clear nobody really had any idea what was going on at the VGAs.
I'm inclined to believe Verge, given he was 100% right about base game, but his DLC claims grow increasingly shaky and reek of trying to lead people on like loz18 did way back after he ran out of good info (plus, Verge 'knowing' Minecraft all the way back in June makes less and less sense the longer we go without any kind of info). The only original claim Hitagi has ever made was Katalina, and that only proved they had inside information with another game, not Smash. I'm willing to give xenother the benefit of the doubt in regards to 'it may or may not be the 22nd' and won't turn on him if nothing happens, but at the same time have no stock in it, it's an (almost purposedly) ambiguous statement.
We don't have nearly enough concrete information to actually say we know for certain who the Square Enix character is. Hell, if the VGA blowout taught us ANYTHING, there may not even BE one. I got grinched hard enough to know that the only thing that should be believed is irrefutable, overwhelming evidence of in-game content.
The existence of this topic is great, this is a topic that should be debated, but how so many can act like the future is already set in stone in regards to who the SE character is (or if there even is one at this point) when the VGAs proved everyone knew a lot less than they let on is beyond me.