I'm not even going to bother to try to pick this apart entirely. Because there's a lot of huge flaws in what you said.
First, yes, the situation is dire because it doesn't matter if Nintendo likes promoting DQ or not. It wouldn't be the inherent causation of using Erdrick. He is still unknown in the West. This is where the comparison to Lucas isn't good. If Lucas was first going to get in as DLC, he'd be very risky. But because Nintendo owns him, they don't spend a giant amount of money to acquire the character. This is the opposite for Erdrick. He's absolutely more risky than Corrin, who was already risky to begin with. What you completely removed in context, and a very important point, is that Fire Emblem is far more mainstream than Dragon Quest is as a whole. This means a FE character wouldn't be as "surprising" or nearly as risky. I agree the choice for a 6th FE character is a problem too, but that wasn't even remotely the point I was getting at. Which again, you entirely ignored. I didn't bring up those points because there was a reason Corrin also sold overall fairly well. The risk paid off because they at least were using a 1st party franchise. If it didn't pay off, it'd be a fairly small loss compared to the huge amount of licensing needed. That was the actual point I was getting at. I didn't mention licensing yet, so I can see why that was misunderstood. I should've specified that more. However, the fact you keep cutting out pieces of my post to completely read over the point is kind of an issue here.
"(though a decent amount of sales, but being yet another Fire Emblem character means people at least knew what the series was far more. Fire Emblem is more mainstream in the West than DQ is by far. One is definitely not niche in comparison)" was a pretty important point being made. I was not even getting at why Corrin was an actual problem in itself. I didn't list the other stuff because it wasn't relevant to the actual point I was making. The point I was even making is how he was not risky, not why he was an arguably bad pick. I don't know if you misunderstood, but please stop cherrypicking my posts. That's not fair and vastly paints my argument different from what it actually is.
I'm not going to argue whether Persona is more niche or not. But that wasn't the comparison I was making. What I was saying that DQ was niche in the West, but also that when it came to literal whos, the DLC rosters also came from either a more mainstream franchise(Fire Emblem) or were a veteran with a huge amount of fan demand(I did not entirely mention the fan demand part, so my bad on that). I definitely didn't say a lot of this clear enough, and I apologize for that.
I won't go into the reasons why Corrin wasn't popular, though. That had nothing to actually do with what I said. But I will say you beyond misread my point about Random Encounters. Unless you were literally just saying "here's something you didn't say about it" like with the Corrin thing(though again, I wasn't actually making a point about why Corrin was bad, but why he was risky. The other points you mentioned are absolutely true, too. I just didn't see it as majorly relevant to the point of it being risky either. But yeah, I can see where you're coming from with Erdrick supposed being more acceptable than Corrin. I disagree, of course), it looked more like you were making a snide comment while missing that I was praising their updates to the random encounter formula. I admit the way I went about it was backhanded praise, but it looks like the point was missed. So I'll say it a bit more clearly; DQ got more popular because they updated how Random Encounters work. I like that it helped the series do better, even if I prefer the old style.
I hope that clears up where the confusion was. Cause I definitely said some confusing points and I apologize for that.
It really wasn't towards you directly. More of a call out to a lot of poor comparisons since 1st parties and 3rd parties are entirely different beasts for DLC. Was more of a general statement. I didn't even reply to you earlier either. I guess you could consider it that it looked like I was throwing arguments you made into there. I apologize for the misunderstanding of that too.
The duality of tone in this post makes my head spin a bit, but I know there’s no I’ll intent in you.
I’m sorry if I seem to be cherry picking, but it’s a loooong post you got there, and since I know it was partly and indirectly not quoting me, I went for the biggest flaws.
But let’s get the things I agree with you out of the way first, ok?
- Yes, Erdrick is a bigger gamble than Lucas and Marth because it’s no surprise to anyone that Square Enix was hard to deal with... for Cloud at least. Dragon Quest is under a different management, circumstances MAY not be the same. (After all, there are three games where Mario and DQ characters crossover).
- Fire Emblem is more mainstream in the west.
Yes, and it should be. Also, it started somewhere. And it started with Melee.
And that’s it. Off to the rest:
I jumped in on your reasoning for Corrin being hated because it’s pretty much benching on he only (or biggest) reason to keep Erdrick away.
But since it’s now clear that being unknown was the least of its problems (and not a real issue if we look at every other unknown character in the history of Smash)
Sorry if I’m picking random points, I’ll try to address a few more. I really don’t have that much tine, I get interrupted a lot, and I lose track of what I was going to say.
When you say people at least knew Corrin was from FE, and you say that like it’s a good thing. I know it may not be the majority, but plenty people would prefer a brand new IP than another FE character. So I guess I have beef with that generalization.
I want to emphasize a bit more on the Persona comparison that I WAS making (so please don’t dismiss it) because since Joker happened in spite of that, Erdrick too could happen, in spite of that as well.
I already forgot a major point I was going to bring up, since I can’t have 5 minutes of peace over here, so I’ll just leave it at that.
Point is, DQ having sold almost exactly half what Final Fantasy has sold, puts it, imo, in a middle ground where it’s not as popular nor as niche.
Hopefully that changes soon when E3 markets it in full force.
Well, that’s about it with the time and focus I have right now.