I just finished reading the last pages and i just wanted to share some thoughts on Vergeben and other leakers' credibility.
I think it can be useful for speculation's sake to monitor a leaker's credibility by noting which of their predictions were wrong/true, the context of the predictions etc. Tho i'm pretty sure some people have and will continue to misinterpret the significance of Vergeben's mistakes. In other words. i feel like a totally reasonable assessment of the situation could easily degenerate into an illogical conclusion :
Vergeben was wrong, his credibility took a hit,
> he's more likely to be wrong for DLC predictions
> he
will be wrong for DLC predictions
> he won't be right ever again
> all insiders are wrong
Maybe it seems like an extreme case of 'jumping to conclusions' but i have the feeling that something along those lines could realistically happen.
Anyway as i stated before, imo, insiders info should always be at least considered but never 100% discarded or 100% trusted.
That's my 2 cents a.k.a. the boring (but logical) middle ground