cuz he clearly had a source that told him about the august direct and he might have seen snippets of it (nintendo could have busted that source though). that and everyone expecting all the newcomers to be ballot based is just asking to be disappointed.
I think they clearly had a source with the E3 Direct, because they listed bullet points what would happen, and got pretty much everything right, save a couple mistakes. But the August Direct is where they became a mixed bag. I posted my reasoning earlier:
Loz's claims:
CORRECT: The Nintendo Direct will come around August
VAGUE: Info will be shown from the title screen to the menu options.
WRONG: Three modes will be shown besides All-Star Mode.
OBVIOUS: Tournament mode is returning.
DEAD WRONG: The new mode will be revealed and it will be the primary way to unlock characters.
And my criticisms are not about the message (I think it's fairly obvious to try to keep expectations realistic, something I struggle with myself), but the messenger itself. Loz after the E3 Direct has been vague, stating the obvious, or was clearly wrong. Not to mention after "leaking" Skull Kid, they began wearing their bias on their sleeve (which is fine for someone speaking their opinion, not for someone trying to be a reliable source), talking non-stop about Skull Kid on Twitter, and "Legend of Zelda 13" should probably not be a reliable source for anything Zelda related to begin with.
Loz seems to me like someone who got info on E3, but wanted to remain in the spotlight so they drummed up their favorite character in the hopes that people would start talking about them more. And that's exactly what happened--while Skull Kid was popular, Loz is what open the floodgates for Skull Kid hype. Before hiding in a private Discord, where anybody could photoshop something they said, and we would have no means of verifying it personally. It's their right, but it's also my right to not pay any attention to them if they're going off in hiding.
I personally think Skull Kid has a fair chance, but for other reasons. His popularity in the Brawl era, missing AT, Moon assist (this one's shaky tho), and Skull Kid being on Reggie's desk (not the best evidence, but it's there). Not chairs, and definitely not Loz.