DIsagree. Suda51 was a big name when NMH released about 10 years ago. Now, most people don't care about NMH or Suda51. The fact that the reveal of the new game was during a segment dedicated to Indies is telling. Suda51 and his games aren't what they use to be. I don't think Travis would ever gotten anywhere on the poll as I don't think most people care for the character.
This really just sounds like a narrative crafted to suit your argument, because that isn't the level of engagement and interest I've witnessed since the trailer. Or a narrative gauging interest based on before the trailer, in which case you've got a series with seven years of dormancy. Of course a dormant character generates less fervour, especially a third-party one. Look at Bomberman's arc. (and also had it been released in place of Bayo 2 as I posited, it would've been revealed in 2013 and released 2014). Moreover, people not caring about Suda51 anymore isn't true. Lollipop Chainsaw was more played than NMH, and Let It Die was more played than Lollipop Chainsaw. How many of Suda's pre-NMH games are even well known? One or two?
If you look on
any comment section regarding NMH you will see a very noticeable contingent always raising Travis joining Smash, even when Smash has nothing to do with the topic at hand. Travis might not be the most well known third-party out there, but he's one that has always,
always had a vocal fanbase when it comes to Smash. And the ballot really only gave wings to those cult favourites who previously garnered little hope. He was divisive, sure, but look who we ended up getting.
Had the timing been different, I do think he would've been a strong contender. And fwiw the ballot was created so Nintendo could hear the fans, not themselves. The method of reveal is generally unimportant, it's the buzz the character creates. NMH3 has made a bigger buzz than most of the games Nintendo revealed at E3. Hell, games like Stardew Valley and Owlboy have more buzz surrounding them than most of the indies Nintendo actually showed in the Direct.
Rayman is becoming the quintessential Smashboards character. A character everyone "backs" but is never going to get in. He's yesterday's Krystal (which somehow that thread is still popular which floors me).
I don't know if Rayman is going to be included in Smash, but these kind of unfounded definitive statements really make it so easy for you not only to eat crow, but for people to remember you eating that crow. I mean, case in point, your predictions regarding third parties have conflicted greatly with reality.
I'm honestly not trying to be mean or anything, but on the chance you are right, is it really worth being famously wrong so many times? To me it just seems there's no need to speak so concretely, it doesn't lend to your credibility or clairvoyance.