I don't believe it for a minute. I know I'm late to this party, but I don't.
Granted, I really don't believe in any leaks unless they're gameplay footage, considering the Rayman leak of yesteryear, but he has a history of editing his
leak posts, (noted on reddit by the little *) and seems to get numerous
things incorrect.
Just skimming the Nintendo-only section on his
most recent of the two posts (that he's edited, mind you), he's said that the January 11th direct would likely focus on some of the following:
- Metroid Prime 4 ("It will have some presence in the Direct.")
- A new Animal Crossing game ("which should be covered in the Direct.")
- A new Pokemon game ("Pokemon Gen 8 should get covered and some kind of highlight in the Direct")
- GTA V port ("GTAV having a Switch port release and likely around Q3 and highlighted in the Direct is something I heard")
- Dragon Quest XI ("Dragon Quest XI should be appearing during the January Direct")
- Undertale ("Undertale coming to Switch and being announced in the January Direct")
And he got
nearly none of it right! He didn't mention:
- The World Ends With You Port
- Pokken DX
- Kirby Star Allies
- New Mario Tennis
- Ys VIII
- Luigi's Balloon World
- Mario + Rabbids DLC
- PAYDAY 2
- Celeste
- Tropical Freeze Port + Funky Kong
None of it. The only thing he got right was that Dark Souls Remastered was a thing,
BUT not only did he say he didn't think it would be in the January direct, but the fact that it was multiplatform was announced near minutes after the direct ended, whereas he though it may have been Switch exclusive. And even then,
rumors of the game had been spreading before he had ever even said anything about it. (
Absolutely no mention of the game in his original post...)
While some of those things eventually did come true (Undertale was announced later on in a March direct, a Wario game was announced as well), we still haven't seen anything else he said we would've seen four months ago. Alongside that, we're still missing other things like Injustice 2, Dragon Ball Fighter Z, Soul Calibur VI, Hearthstone (
which has literally been deconfirmed, by the way), Killing Floor 2, Nier Automata, amongst many others. No way in hell Fire Emblem 16 is having a May release date when we
STILL know nothing about it.
Even still, that's just looking at his Nintendo stuff. I have no goddamn clue how inaccurate is other stuff could be. I didn't bother.
Plus, there's always the case of "If it seems too good to be true, it probably is." Saying Ridley is going to be in Smash is a big *** claim (no pun intended). He's likely one of the most hyped up characters not already in the game, and the idea of Konami coming back to work on Smash
AND the Ice Climbers returning just add fuel to the hypothetical fire.
As far as I can tell, the sole thing he's gotten right was that
the TMNT and Enchantress would be in Injustice 2. But even then, something like that has absolutely jack all to do with Nintendo, the Switch, or Smash.
This whole leak is entirely a matter of "It has characters I like, so it must be legit!" The guy has an extremely incorrect leaking streak, a terrible reputation within the community, is known for constantly editing his posts to make himself look right, and anything he has gotten right has absolutely nothing to do with Nintendo. If the exact same guy said that the newcomers were going to be Bad Boxart Mega Man, Fire Flower Mario, and Raichu, no one would believe him.
Or at least, that's my take on it. He could be right. Who knows? Take everything with a pinch of salt.
Also I don't believe it because Simon Belmont and Ridley would make me extremely happy and Smash newcomers almost always let me down so I doubt it