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Official Smash Ultimate Discussion

Almost one month has passed since release. In retrospect....

  • This is by far the best Smash ever. Like, I don't even know how they will top this.

  • Pretty freakin' good; I have a few qualms over things like internet play, balancing issues, etc.

  • It's ok, but [insert Smash game here] is better.

  • I'd rather play Parcheesi.


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osby

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By the way and just to be clear... I'm just joking here, I'm not some kind of villain that wants people to suffer, I hope everyone that worked in this game had a lot of fun.
It's their job but I also hope so. I also hope people can appreciate the effort put into the game, now that we don't have Sakurai keep telling us with daily updates.
 

RileyXY1

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This leak is fake. Given the state that Konami is in, I highly doubt that any Konami character will be in the game.
 

Lukingordex

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Please play Mother 3 first, don't ruin your experience by asking for spoilers.

If you don't understand japanese, you can easily find fan translations of the game in various languages, just google it.
 

mario123007

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Someone made a mock-up of that theme to what it could sound like in-game. Honestly it sounds awesome:
Yeah, I remember I posted this a while ago.
Hope the official one can sound even more better.
>When you make a fake leak for giggles and a week later it's the most discussed thing in Smash.

Um... examples? I kind of forgot lol.

But that Yoshi face lol, that should be a meme... too bad Luigi's death stare got more spotlight...
 

Zeox

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Please play Mother 3 first, don't ruin your experience by asking for spoilers.

If you don't understand japanese, you can easily find fan translations of the game in various languages, just google it.
Before playing Mother 3, one should play Earthbound first, it makes all the experience better.
 

Arcadenik

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Even if Sakurai likes something, don't always bet on it being something he shows blatant favoritism to. Once I learned that he had a cat, I thought Mewtwo would be treated like Sakurai's baby. Boy, was I wrong.
Sakurai having a cat didn't help Meowth get in Smash either. :dizzy:

At least Mewtwo is in Smash.
 

Slavic

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Before playing Earthbound, one must learn to walk. Before one can walk, one must learn to crawl. Before crawling, you must master the wavedash.
 

Zippo

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Found it. Yeah, he claims Snake is back too. Intriguing.

You guys could start using google or something, whatever, here I got it for you:
The condescending tone isn't really necessary, but thank you!
 
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RileyXY1

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I don't think that Ridley, Goroh, and Porky will be in either. Ridley is out for being too big and F-Zero and Earthbound are dead franchises so they don't need any more reps. Also, having no cuts may leave the roster bloated with too many characters
 
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P.Kat

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Decidueye's popularity is nothing compared to Rowlet's. If they bring something new to the table, the typing shouldn't be a hinderance if that type already has a playable Pokemon in Smash. And starters shouldn't be blocked off because a starter of the same type is already in Smash. Decidueye wouldn't get in because he's a grass starter. He'd get in because of gameplay potential. Decidueye plus a returning Charizard and Greninja would just be a neat coincidence they completed "the starter trio."

Pokken is irrelevant to Smash. That game wasn't obligated to put Greninja and Jigglypuff in as playable characters. Why should Smash be obligated to put in Decidueye because he's in Pokken? What about the likes of Machamp, or Gardevoir, or Suicune, or Blaziken, or Pikachu Libre? Ignoring their individual popularity, they all have an equal shot of getting in.
Gardevoir and Suicune does have a fair chance to make in Smash seeing how they were Pokéballs for two to three games in row and have a good amount of popularity. Blaziken just looks dynamic and awesome enough with moves to match to be given entrance to Smash.

Pika Libre pretty much speaks for herself, just imagining giving the likes of DK, Bowser, and Ganondorf suplexes, and stunners all day everyday. Heavyweights being toss around by her who specializes in grapple moves and mechanic that would be amazing.

They could make her Side B be charging rushdown move like Volt Tackle but she gains momentum and power by showing an animation of her leaning into the ropes just like a wrestler.

And that's the bottom line, cause Stone C- I mean Pika Libre said so :)
 

papagenos

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I dont believe the leak per se, but i do think it has some merit over other leaks, not credibility but merit worth discussing.

first off i'll just say the mysterious nature of a riddle for a leak gets people talking and the fact it was taken down a few times adds some initial notoriety, so thats partly why its still being discussed, it simply got on everyones mind.

but its an odd leak to fake as it has snake returning after the bad blood between konami and kojima, sora from kingdom hearts so it connects to disney and then characters like goroh, medusa, and porky who very few people are guessing at. so this would seem like a leak that should get discarded immediately however upon further analysis these are all characters that COULD actually make sense to choose if you follow a certain train of thought:

wolf and ice climbers everyones guessing at so no debate there for or against this leak.

simon is an odd choice because of the whole kojima and konami thing with snake so sakurai even going to them for anyone would be strange BUT we have the one leak from a somewhat credible leaker, vergeben, saying simon is in and THEN later saying snake, where as the imgr leak had both from the get go. so yes imgr could have been "piggybacking" onto the one somewhat credible leak but the imgr leak went out on a limb with adding snake and now vergeben agrees. snake coming back makes sense if you assume snake was heavily requested on the ballot so sakurai went to konami to get him back and then got simon as well despite the kojima fued.

ridley gets chosen this time due to the ballot so sakurai decides to bring back another "boss" from brawl, porky, which could also be due to earthbound on the SNES classic OR even the fact that sakurai has a history of shaking up the industry with smash characters. fire emblem basically came to the west after he added it to melee and kid icarus was revived after he added pit to brawl, this could be his attempt to make mother 3 relevant again and bring it to the west finally as fans have been begging for it for years. obviously not the only reason to choose porky but it could be part of it and would be a very sakurai move, and again porky is a character with a history in smash as a boss. If sakurai was racking his brain to come up with how to get ridley to work to please fans he may have also been thinking about how other bosses could work from brawl and this time hes got it and so we are getting porky too.

goroh was the first assist trophy revealed, and f-zero is also a game on the super nes classic so theres some relevancy here. earthbound and fzero have also both been a part of smash since the original 64 so its not that crazy to finally give them some more characters even if very few people are guessing they would get anyone. if those "lesser" known series that have been in smash since the begining got anyone, goroh and porky would be those choices as they are already smash relevant included in the series in some form in the past, theres a precedence for them here and again few are guessing at them despite that. Goroh was also in the opening to melee so if we get ridley/goroh/wolf we have ALL the characters that people thought might be in melee because they were in that opening cinematic, they have a precedence in smash for a long time so despite few guessing at them they have been rubbing shoulders with our smash crew for a while.

medusa is from kid icarus and sakurai obviously has a slight bias or at the very least can do as he pleases with characters from that series so if hes looking for "villians" for some unknown "mode" or theme this game might be going for she fits. past games never had a theme but sakurai does something new EVERY smash and when you guess at what happened last time you are always blind sided by sakurai mixing up his game. Also kid icarus is on the nes classic so again relevancy here with how well those systems sold, medusa has been the kid icarus enemy from the start.

the imgr leak guesses geno AND mallow and nintendo tweeted about BOTH of them in a "which team are you on" question. nintendo NEVER mentions mario rpg let alone those two square/nintendo joint ownership characters and to mention both when nearly everyone who would guess at geno or fake a leak with him would NOT tack on mallow but this leak did and nintendo mentioned BOTH characters recently. also mario RPG is another game on the SNES classic, so once again somewhat relevant. Geno also had music cut in brawl, got a newcomer splash art when his costume was shown off in smash 4 DLC ect... obviously im bias here but the dude has a lot going for him.

chorus kids is an odd choice but we know it was part of the gematsu leak back in the day so almost certainly a character that was planned and scrapped for smash4, probably due to the 3ds limitations, and its highly likely we could see them in this iteration, not surprising to leak them at all so doesnt really tip the scale for or against the leaks credibility.

K Rool and DIxie are both highly requested and with Wolf/K Rool/and Ridley almost all certainly being high on the smash ballot the idea of doing heros vs villians this time might be sakurais way of acknowledging that fans seem interested in that "flavored" theme with all the villians they heavily requested.

takamaru is being guessed by lot so of people as our retro rep, his games more relevant due to being released in the west, he got a mii cotume so he fits with k rool and inkling in that regard and he was an assist trophy so he fits with little mac and goroh there as well, hes a pretty safe guess so nothing to weigh in on the leaks credibility here but he makes sense.

mimikyu and elma are our "newer" reps but they both make a lot more sense than some reps most people guess at for more current stuff like rex/pyra or an ARMS rep or something as they "fit" the time frame better for when sakurai would finalize the roster. their games would be relevant at that time so they would be characters sakurai would choose at that initial stage. xenoblade 2 and ARMS or some future pokemon all might not have been on sakurais radar at all, and even decidueye seems more popular after sun and moons fans had time with it while gamefreaks pushed mimikyu harder as part of the marketing so would have probably requested he get in smash to sakurai over others who might have become "fan favorites" but at a slightly later date.

now finally sora whos such a terrible choice for a "fake leak" as that means disney square and nintendo all have to get along and just seems like it would be a mess BUT surprisingly a bunch of stuff has recently come up in favor of sora. specifically the odd series of events surounding the smash player zero. he who won the smash invitational last time (so that makes him kind of the "official" leader of professional smash players in the eyes of nintendo and stuff), he out of the blue starts streaming kingdom hearts and almost immediately after hes done laying through the games he gets invited to an early KH3 event...why?? why did a smash player out of the blue stream KH and then much starnger still immediately get to go look at KH3 early?? and then even though zero is retired and says he didnt want to do anything with smash 5...he gets invited to E3 again a few weeks after the KH event and says yes to going. i mean of course he would be invited and yes this isnt the typical thing to say no to just to stay "retired" but theres a "link" there with the KH stuff thats at the very least interesting... Then the youtuber HMK posts a video talking about the chances of sora in smash and his conversation with a disney executive actually seems to dismiss the "impossibility" of negotiating with disney, seems if it came up theyd say yes ( https://youtu.be/CV76QegRezE ) so suddenly sora, a character who you'd be foolish to add to a fake leak and expect anyone to take you seriously has some actual evidence backing him right as we lead up to E3. If square is still involved with smash (and i think they will be) they might very well want to push sora in smash as KH3 is approaching release and im sure the smash ballot has KH pretty heavily requested despite its perceived implausibility due to the negotiations with disney.

theres also a lack of mario/zelda characters in this leak which is again not what youd expect to "fake", EVERYONE guesses captain toad and hes not here. but this could also make sense as geno might be the "mario" rep (at least in the base roster) and a lack of a zelda rep could be explained with the BOTW link we saw. if link or zelda and maybe even ganon got overhauled it would feel like the series got attention without a newcomer so to not include a zelda rep actually isnt that crazy even in favor of instead getting earthbound and fzero reps, cause it would still feel like all the series got somewhat equal attention if several zelda characters got reworked. mario having cappy added to him somehow could also explain the lack of mario reps while the series still gets attention and so maybe save the newcomers for DLC as captain toad will sell better than say medusa, so you put your time into her on the base roster and save the mario newcomer for the DLC. some of the oddities of this leak make sense when you really pull it apart.


So there ya go my lengthy analysis of the imgr leaks credibility. no it doesnt have a ton of credibility but it has a lot of odd choices, a few things like guessing snake before vergeben while also "piggybacking" on what he leaked first. while that isnt that hard to assume (simons in so theres a good chance to guess at snake too) its at least remained consistent there. these odd choices also line up the more you think about them and it would take a crazy amount of thought to post a seemingly strange roster that instead of crumbling under scrutiny actually becomes more acceptable, this is often how final smash rosters feel, stuff you wouldnt guess at really (wii fit trainer) but when you look at it from a certain perspective or train of thought it makes sense. Its mostly just something to discuss before E3 but i see a lot of people saying thats the only reason we are discussing it but theres a bit more too it then that, plenty of random leaks on the internet to discuss this one at least has a few special things about it that make it a little more practical to keep in mind and take semi-seriously for now.
 
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Fenriraga

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This leak is fake. Given the state that Konami is in, I highly doubt that any Konami character will be in the game.
Given the state Konami is in, I believe Konami WANTS a character in the game. They're trying so hard to win back public affection... to horrible results. Like, really, they've just been digging their holes deeper. But they ARE trying.

It's more Sakurai's relationship with Kojima that makes it a weird gray area. For Snake at least. But I feel like Sakurai also knows that sometimes he has to put business before personal reasoning.
 
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P.Kat

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I just want Lucario in Smash Switch, i've mained him since brawl, and has been my fav character since day one after buying brawl, but appart from that, Lucario is unique, i don't see anyone else who has the Aura mechanic in game, and of they remove rage, it will be 1000 times more noticible ( forgive my Enlish, its pretty bad )
I'm with you on that.
 

SirCamp

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Honestly if we assume Konami wants a character in Smash, wouldn't they push for Bomberman? I mean Bomberman actually just had a game out, so would be the most relevant in terms of marketing for them right?
 

Imadethistoseealeak

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Honestly if we assume Konami wants a character in Smash, wouldn't they push for Bomberman? I mean Bomberman actually just had a game out, so would be the most relevant in terms of marketing for them right?
There's an article where Sakurai mentions Castlevania was one of his biggest insperations growing up.

If these rumors turn out true I think it's more likely Sakurai went to Konami for Snake (or vice a versa) and negotiated Simon as well due to his love and respect for the series.
 

UserKev

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Please play Mother 3 first, don't ruin your experience by asking for spoilers.

If you don't understand japanese, you can easily find fan translations of the game in various languages, just google it.
I ruined any surprises for Mother 3 I could have had so many times.
 

?????????????

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I never feel...uh..."comfortable," I guess, talking about Bomberman's chances, cause I really like Castelvania and think of it as a huge historical Nintendo masterpiece like Mega Man, and Bomerman games are just kinda..."eh, okay" to me?

So my opinion will be super biased.
 

Cosmic77

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If Vergeben is right and Ice Climbers and Snake return, and if Wolf comes back too, that would leave us with only Pichu, Young Link, Ivysaur, and Squirtle.

I don't know, but this just doesn't sound feasible. We have to make cuts at some point, and by adding all but four cut veterans back into Smash, I feel like Sakurai would be setting fans up for unrealistic expectations should there be a sixth Smash game. By that point, we'd be talking about a roster that could possibly exceed 90 characters.
 

True Blue Warrior

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If Vergeben is right and Ice Climbers and Snake return, and if Wolf comes back too, that would leave us with only Pichu, Young Link, Ivysaur, and Squirtle.
Even if he's right about Ridley, the Ice Climbers, Snake and Simon Belmont being playable in Smash Switch, he won't be right about no cuts happening.
 

NobleClamtasm

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I never feel...uh..."comfortable," I guess, talking about Bomberman's chances, cause I really like Castelvania and think of it as a huge historical Nintendo masterpiece like Mega Man, and Bomerman games are just kinda..."eh, okay" to me?

So my opinion will be super biased.
I feel the same about way Rayman. I love Rayman Legends, but I'm not sure if he can quite stand up there among the other legendary 3rd Parties like Megaman, Ryu, Cloud and Pacman. Bayonetta is an obvious exception since she came from the Smash Ballot.
 

WaddleMatt

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I actually feel no cuts to be plausible. The Switch isn't a massive upgrade from the Wii U compared to other consoles like GCN - Wii or Wii - Wii U. I think it could happen.
 

papagenos

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Even if he's right about Ridley, the Ice Climbers, Snake and Simon Belmont being playable in Smash Switch, he won't be right about no cuts happening.
the last game, with DLC, fit on the 3DS and taking what was in smash 4 and porting the assets to the switch seems like something that can be done easily as so many wiiu games have become switch ports... i dunno i think no cuts isnt that crazy this time at all.
 

Slavic

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I certainly think a cutless roster is doable, but boy howdy is it not what I'm hoping for. I certainly think the hyperinflated FE roster warrants at least some amount of cutting, especially if Sakurai wants any different representation in that series.
 

MasterOfKnees

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If Vergeben is right and Ice Climbers and Snake return, and if Wolf comes back too, that would leave us with only Pichu, Young Link, Ivysaur, and Squirtle.

I don't know, but this just doesn't sound feasible. We have to make cuts at some point, and by adding all but four cut veterans back into Smash, I feel like Sakurai would be setting fans up for unrealistic expectations should there be a sixth Smash game. By that point, we'd be talking about a roster that could possibly exceed 90 characters.
At some point I think Smash has to shift its focus to something other than new characters, which will probably be for the inevitable Smash 6. It's going to be incredibly difficult as characters are by far the most hype part of Smash, but it just can't keep on adding ~15 new characters every time, it's simply not feasible in the long term, and not just because the roster becomes bloated, but also because good options are thinning out rapidly. Like, if they were to make cuts for that hypothetical Smash 6 it probably wouldn't be worth it when the newcomers are all C or D tier stuff.

What it might shift its focus to I have no idea, but I do know that it can't keep up the same formular for much longer. I don't feel like cutting veterans is the solution either, I think Smash 4's DLC showed us quite clearly that cut veterans become huge favorites amongst the fanbase, so I don't feel like newcomers will be able to fill the gaps they leave behind, people will just want the cut characters over them instead.

I don't think it's a problem yet, so it's not something we need to have extensive discussion about now, but it'll be very interesting to see what speculation will look like for the next game.
 
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WaddleMatt

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I certainly think a cutless roster is doable, but boy howdy is it not what I'm hoping for. I certainly think the hyperinflated FE roster warrants at least some amount of cutting, especially if Sakurai wants any different representation in that series.
Why not just add them intead of replace then. Sakurai does not like cutting characters because he knows they all have their fans.
 

?????????????

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I certainly think a cutless roster is doable, but boy howdy is it not what I'm hoping for. I certainly think the hyperinflated FE roster warrants at least some amount of cutting, especially if Sakurai wants any different representation in that series.
I actually do believe the number of Fire Emblem characters is justifiable. It's a series that's regularly run since NES, each installment has entirely new characters, and the series has gained much more prominence and exposure in it's recent years.

I actually think it's harder to justify the cuts. Marth, Ike, and even Roy are recurring Smash veterans now, and Robin and Corrin are so unique by comparison, I wouldn't want them to go. There's Lucina, but...she's just such a well-liked character in Fire Emblem!
 

SvartWolf

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Okie, this one is coming a bit earlier, but i dunno if i will be able to post it later.


Rondo of blood ost! Richter, such wooos (sorry, today i dont have too much time :c)

 

Zeox

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I dont believe the leak per se, but i do think it has some merit over other leaks, not credibility but merit worth discussing.

first off i'll just say the mysterious nature of a riddle for a leak gets people talking and the fact it was taken down a few times adds some initial notoriety, so thats partly why its still being discussed, it simply got on everyones mind.

but its an odd leak to fake as it has snake returning after the bad blood between konami and kojima, sora from kingdom hearts so it connects to disney and then characters like goroh, medusa, and porky who very few people are guessing at. so this would seem like a leak that should get discarded immediately however upon further analysis these are all characters that COULD actually make sense to choose if you follow a certain train of thought:

wolf and ice climbers everyones guessing at so no debate there for or against this leak.

simon is an odd choice because of the whole kojima and konami thing with snake so sakurai even going to them for anyone would be strange BUT we have the one leak from a somewhat credible leaker, vergeben, saying simon is in and THEN later saying snake, where as the imgr leak had both from the get go. so yes imgr could have been "piggybacking" onto the one somewhat credible leak but the imgr leak went out on a limb with adding snake and now vergeben agrees. snake coming back makes sense if you assume snake was heavily requested on the ballot so sakurai went to konami to get him back and then got simon as well despite the kojima fued.

ridley gets chosen this time due to the ballot so sakurai decides to bring back another "boss" from brawl, porky, which could also be due to earthbound on the SNES classic OR even the fact that sakurai has a history of shaking up the industry with smash characters. fire emblem basically came to the west after he added it to melee and kid icarus was revived after he added pit to brawl, this could be his attempt to make mother 3 relevant again and bring it to the west finally as fans have been begging for it for years. obviously not the only reason to choose porky but it could be part of it and would be a very sakurai move, and again porky is a character with a history in smash as a boss. If sakurai was racking his brain to come up with how to get ridley to work to please fans he may have also been thinking about how other bosses could work from brawl and this time hes got it and so we are getting porky too.

goroh was the first assist trophy revealed, and f-zero is also a game on the super nes classic so theres some relevancy here. earthbound and fzero have also both been a part of smash since the original 64 so its not that crazy to finally give them some more characters even if very few people are guessing they would get anyone. if those "lesser" known series that have been in smash since the begining got anyone, goroh and porky would be those choices as they are already smash relevant included in the series in some form in the past, theres a precedence for them here and again few are guessing at them despite that. Goroh was also in the opening to melee so if we get ridley/goroh/wolf we have ALL the characters that people thought might be in melee because they were in that opening cinematic, they have a precedence in smash for a long time so despite few guessing at them they have been rubbing shoulders with our smash crew for a while.

medusa is from kid icarus and sakurai obviously has a slight bias or at the very least can do as he pleases with characters from that series so if hes looking for "villians" for some unknown "mode" or theme this game might be going for she fits. past games never had a theme but sakurai does something new EVERY smash and when you guess at what happened last time you are always blind sided by sakurai mixing up his game. Also kid icarus is on the nes classic so again relevancy here with how well those systems sold, medusa has been the kid icarus enemy from the start.

the imgr leak guesses geno AND mallow and nintendo tweeted about BOTH of them in a "which team are you on" question. nintendo NEVER mentions mario rpg let alone those two square/nintendo joint ownership characters and to mention both when nearly everyone who would guess at geno or fake a leak with him would NOT tack on mallow but this leak did and nintendo mentioned BOTH characters recently. also mario RPG is another game on the SNES classic, so once again somewhat relevant. Geno also had music cut in brawl, got a newcomer splash art when his costume was shown off in smash 4 DLC ect... obviously im bias here but the dude has a lot going for him.

chorus kids is an odd choice but we know it was part of the gematsu leak back in the day so almost certainly a character that was planned and scrapped for smash4, probably due to the 3ds limitations, and its highly likely we could see them in this iteration, not surprising to leak them at all so doesnt really tip the scale for or against the leaks credibility.

K Rool and DIxie are both highly requested and with Wolf/K Rool/and Ridley almost all certainly being high on the smash ballot the idea of doing heros vs villians this time might be sakurais way of acknowledging that fans seem interested in that "flavored" theme with all the villians they heavily requested.

takamaru is being guessed by lot so of people as our retro rep, his games more relevant due to being released in the west, he got a mii cotume so he fits with k rool and inkling in that regard and he was an assist trophy so he fits with little mac and goroh there as well, hes a pretty safe guess so nothing to weigh in on the leaks credibility here but he makes sense.

mimikyu and elma are our "newer" reps but they both make a lot more sense than some reps most people guess at for more current stuff like rex/pyra or an ARMS rep or something as they "fit" the time frame better for when sakurai would finalize the roster. their games would be relevant at that time so they would be characters sakurai would choose at that initial stage. xenoblade 2 and ARMS or some future pokemon all might not have been on sakurais radar at all, and even decidueye seems more popular after sun and moons fans had time with it while gamefreaks pushed mimikyu harder as part of the marketing so would have probably requested he get in smash to sakurai over others who might have become "fan favorites" but at a slightly later date.

now finally sora whos such a terrible choice for a "fake leak" as that means disney square and nintendo all have to get along and just seems like it would be a mess BUT surprisingly a bunch of stuff has recently come up in favor of sora. specifically the odd series of events surounding the smash player zero. he who won the smash invitational last time (so that makes him kind of the "official" leader of professional smash players in the eyes of nintendo and stuff), he out of the blue starts streaming kingdom hearts and almost immediately after hes done laying through the games he gets invited to an early KH3 event...why?? why did a smash player out of the blue stream KH and then much starnger still immediately get to go look at KH3 early?? and then even though zero is retired and says he didnt want to do anything with smash 5...he gets invited to E3 again a few weeks after the KH event and says yes to going. i mean of course he would be invited and yes this isnt the typical thing to say no to just to stay "retired" but theres a "link" there with the KH stuff thats at the very least interesting... Then the youtuber HMK posts a video talking about the chances of sora in smash and his conversation with a disney executive actually seems to dismiss the "impossibility" of negotiating with disney, seems if it came up theyd say yes ( https://youtu.be/CV76QegRezE ) so suddenly sora, a character who you'd be foolish to add to a fake leak and expect anyone to take you seriously has some actual evidence backing him right as we lead up to E3. If square is still involved with smash (and i think they will be) they might very well want to push sora in smash as KH3 is approaching release and im sure the smash ballot has KH pretty heavily requested despite its perceived implausibility due to the negotiations with disney.

theres also a lack of mario/zelda characters in this leak which is again not what youd expect to "fake", EVERYONE guesses captain toad and hes not here. but this could also make sense as geno might be the "mario" rep (at least in the base roster) and a lack of a zelda rep could be explained with the BOTW link we saw. if link or zelda and maybe even ganon got overhauled it would feel like the series got attention without a newcomer so to not include a zelda rep actually isnt that crazy even in favor of instead getting earthbound and fzero reps, cause it would still feel like all the series got somewhat equal attention if several zelda characters got reworked. mario having cappy added to him somehow could also explain the lack of mario reps while the series still gets attention and so maybe save the newcomers for DLC as captain toad will sell better than say medusa, so you put your time into her on the base roster and save the mario newcomer for the DLC. some of the oddities of this leak make sense when you really pull it apart.


So there ya go my lengthy analysis of the imgr leaks credibility. no it doesnt have a ton of credibility but it has a lot of odd choices, a few things like guessing snake before vergeben while also "piggybacking" on what he leaked first. while that isnt that hard to assume (simons in so theres a good chance to guess at snake too) its at least remained consistent there. these odd choices also line up the more you think about them and it would take a crazy amount of thought to post a seemingly strange roster that instead of crumbling under scrutiny actually becomes more acceptable, this is often how final smash rosters feel, stuff you wouldnt guess at really (wii fit trainer) but when you look at it from a certain perspective or train of thought it makes sense. Its mostly just something to discuss before E3 but i see a lot of people saying thats the only reason we are discussing it but theres a bit more too it then that, plenty of random leaks on the internet to discuss this one at least has a few special things about it that make it a little more practical to keep in mind and take semi-seriously for now.
That was such a great comment, nice job!
Even if the imgur leak is fake, is a good fake, cheers to the guy that made it!
 

osby

Smash Obsessed
Joined
Apr 25, 2018
Messages
24,013
I dont believe the leak per se, but i do think it has some merit over other leaks, not credibility but merit worth discussing.

first off i'll just say the mysterious nature of a riddle for a leak gets people talking and the fact it was taken down a few times adds some initial notoriety, so thats partly why its still being discussed, it simply got on everyones mind.

but its an odd leak to fake as it has snake returning after the bad blood between konami and kojima, sora from kingdom hearts so it connects to disney and then characters like goroh, medusa, and porky who very few people are guessing at. so this would seem like a leak that should get discarded immediately however upon further analysis these are all characters that COULD actually make sense to choose if you follow a certain train of thought:

wolf and ice climbers everyones guessing at so no debate there for or against this leak.

simon is an odd choice because of the whole kojima and konami thing with snake so sakurai even going to them for anyone would be strange BUT we have the one leak from a somewhat credible leaker, vergeben, saying simon is in and THEN later saying snake, where as the imgr leak had both from the get go. so yes imgr could have been "piggybacking" onto the one somewhat credible leak but the imgr leak went out on a limb with adding snake and now vergeben agrees. snake coming back makes sense if you assume snake was heavily requested on the ballot so sakurai went to konami to get him back and then got simon as well despite the kojima fued.

ridley gets chosen this time due to the ballot so sakurai decides to bring back another "boss" from brawl, porky, which could also be due to earthbound on the SNES classic OR even the fact that sakurai has a history of shaking up the industry with smash characters. fire emblem basically came to the west after he added it to melee and kid icarus was revived after he added pit to brawl, this could be his attempt to make mother 3 relevant again and bring it to the west finally as fans have been begging for it for years. obviously not the only reason to choose porky but it could be part of it and would be a very sakurai move, and again porky is a character with a history in smash as a boss. If sakurai was racking his brain to come up with how to get ridley to work to please fans he may have also been thinking about how other bosses could work from brawl and this time hes got it and so we are getting porky too.

goroh was the first assist trophy revealed, and f-zero is also a game on the super nes classic so theres some relevancy here. earthbound and fzero have also both been a part of smash since the original 64 so its not that crazy to finally give them some more characters even if very few people are guessing they would get anyone. if those "lesser" known series that have been in smash since the begining got anyone, goroh and porky would be those choices as they are already smash relevant included in the series in some form in the past, theres a precedence for them here and again few are guessing at them despite that. Goroh was also in the opening to melee so if we get ridley/goroh/wolf we have ALL the characters that people thought might be in melee because they were in that opening cinematic, they have a precedence in smash for a long time so despite few guessing at them they have been rubbing shoulders with our smash crew for a while.

medusa is from kid icarus and sakurai obviously has a slight bias or at the very least can do as he pleases with characters from that series so if hes looking for "villians" for some unknown "mode" or theme this game might be going for she fits. past games never had a theme but sakurai does something new EVERY smash and when you guess at what happened last time you are always blind sided by sakurai mixing up his game. Also kid icarus is on the nes classic so again relevancy here with how well those systems sold, medusa has been the kid icarus enemy from the start.

the imgr leak guesses geno AND mallow and nintendo tweeted about BOTH of them in a "which team are you on" question. nintendo NEVER mentions mario rpg let alone those two square/nintendo joint ownership characters and to mention both when nearly everyone who would guess at geno or fake a leak with him would NOT tack on mallow but this leak did and nintendo mentioned BOTH characters recently. also mario RPG is another game on the SNES classic, so once again somewhat relevant. Geno also had music cut in brawl, got a newcomer splash art when his costume was shown off in smash 4 DLC ect... obviously im bias here but the dude has a lot going for him.

chorus kids is an odd choice but we know it was part of the gematsu leak back in the day so almost certainly a character that was planned and scrapped for smash4, probably due to the 3ds limitations, and its highly likely we could see them in this iteration, not surprising to leak them at all so doesnt really tip the scale for or against the leaks credibility.

K Rool and DIxie are both highly requested and with Wolf/K Rool/and Ridley almost all certainly being high on the smash ballot the idea of doing heros vs villians this time might be sakurais way of acknowledging that fans seem interested in that "flavored" theme with all the villians they heavily requested.

takamaru is being guessed by lot so of people as our retro rep, his games more relevant due to being released in the west, he got a mii cotume so he fits with k rool and inkling in that regard and he was an assist trophy so he fits with little mac and goroh there as well, hes a pretty safe guess so nothing to weigh in on the leaks credibility here but he makes sense.

mimikyu and elma are our "newer" reps but they both make a lot more sense than some reps most people guess at for more current stuff like rex/pyra or an ARMS rep or something as they "fit" the time frame better for when sakurai would finalize the roster. their games would be relevant at that time so they would be characters sakurai would choose at that initial stage. xenoblade 2 and ARMS or some future pokemon all might not have been on sakurais radar at all, and even decidueye seems more popular after sun and moons fans had time with it while gamefreaks pushed mimikyu harder as part of the marketing so would have probably requested he get in smash to sakurai over others who might have become "fan favorites" but at a slightly later date.

now finally sora whos such a terrible choice for a "fake leak" as that means disney square and nintendo all have to get along and just seems like it would be a mess BUT surprisingly a bunch of stuff has recently come up in favor of sora. specifically the odd series of events surounding the smash player zero. he who won the smash invitational last time (so that makes him kind of the "official" leader of professional smash players in the eyes of nintendo and stuff), he out of the blue starts streaming kingdom hearts and almost immediately after hes done laying through the games he gets invited to an early KH3 event...why?? why did a smash player out of the blue stream KH and then much starnger still immediately get to go look at KH3 early?? and then even though zero is retired and says he didnt want to do anything with smash 5...he gets invited to E3 again a few weeks after the KH event and says yes to going. i mean of course he would be invited and yes this isnt the typical thing to say no to just to stay "retired" but theres a "link" there with the KH stuff thats at the very least interesting... Then the youtuber HMK posts a video talking about the chances of sora in smash and his conversation with a disney executive actually seems to dismiss the "impossibility" of negotiating with disney, seems if it came up theyd say yes ( https://youtu.be/CV76QegRezE ) so suddenly sora, a character who you'd be foolish to add to a fake leak and expect anyone to take you seriously has some actual evidence backing him right as we lead up to E3. If square is still involved with smash (and i think they will be) they might very well want to push sora in smash as KH3 is approaching release and im sure the smash ballot has KH pretty heavily requested despite its perceived implausibility due to the negotiations with disney.

theres also a lack of mario/zelda characters in this leak which is again not what youd expect to "fake", EVERYONE guesses captain toad and hes not here. but this could also make sense as geno might be the "mario" rep (at least in the base roster) and a lack of a zelda rep could be explained with the BOTW link we saw. if link or zelda and maybe even ganon got overhauled it would feel like the series got attention without a newcomer so to not include a zelda rep actually isnt that crazy even in favor of instead getting earthbound and fzero reps, cause it would still feel like all the series got somewhat equal attention if several zelda characters got reworked. mario having cappy added to him somehow could also explain the lack of mario reps while the series still gets attention and so maybe save the newcomers for DLC as captain toad will sell better than say medusa, so you put your time into her on the base roster and save the mario newcomer for the DLC. some of the oddities of this leak make sense when you really pull it apart.


So there ya go my lengthy analysis of the imgr leaks credibility. no it doesnt have a ton of credibility but it has a lot of odd choices, a few things like guessing snake before vergeben while also "piggybacking" on what he leaked first. while that isnt that hard to assume (simons in so theres a good chance to guess at snake too) its at least remained consistent there. these odd choices also line up the more you think about them and it would take a crazy amount of thought to post a seemingly strange roster that instead of crumbling under scrutiny actually becomes more acceptable, this is often how final smash rosters feel, stuff you wouldnt guess at really (wii fit trainer) but when you look at it from a certain perspective or train of thought it makes sense. Its mostly just something to discuss before E3 but i see a lot of people saying thats the only reason we are discussing it but theres a bit more too it then that, plenty of random leaks on the internet to discuss this one at least has a few special things about it that make it a little more practical to keep in mind and take semi-seriously for now.
Nice explanation, now it sounds a bit more reasonable but İt's still pretty bizarre and would require Sakurai to make more than a few explanations. Though I'm still cold towards the newcomers and even if I can warm up to them... I hope we didn't spoiled ourselfs so early.
 

P.Kat

Smash Champion
Joined
Jul 13, 2016
Messages
2,066
Location
Skypeia
I am currently working on proving this wrong, please give me a bit!

But in a big summary, I plan on having Eevee be a summoner who summons her evolutions for her smash attacks and her special attacks, which I think would be really fun.
I came up with something like that for Eevee, but it was so long ago this thread I don' t if I could find it just so you could check it out.
 

True Blue Warrior

Smash Hero
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Oct 4, 2013
Messages
9,727
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United Kingdom
NNID
TrueBlueSM
3DS FC
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Why not just add them intead of replace then. Sakurai does not like cutting characters because he knows they all have their fans.
My best guess why people don't think that is that they are opposed to a 7th FE character. Though at this point it really doesn't matter if FE gets a newcomer for Smash Switch since a new game means that Sakurai being liberal with FE in Smash 4 shouldn't affect whether or not a FE newcomer is a good idea for this game nor should it (but it will) affect the reception said FE newcomer gets, not because of how potentially interesting the character is on its own terms but because people still haven't gotten over FE getting 6 characters in Smash 4.
 
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