So I have re-read and I'm gonna go back into some things. I stayed up all night and compiled some things that I felt I would like to go over and also to officially "make my mark" on the game. What is going to be in this post is my feels and notes throughout my re-read and also quotes I want to bring up to emphasize what I am talking about.
-Pg. 4 I dislike Laundry's push on Spak. It seemed like a newbie Spak being pushed into a corner (which I will continue to say.
This is the part of the argument I stopped being intrigued by the interaction and more just moving on to why Laundry was pushing it the way he did earlier. I also would like to bring up the fact that Rake liked this post for later.
-Early D1 WATT has been asking a bunch of questions that just seem to be of someone trying to look like they are scum-hunting. I just don't see much drive to find scum in the early phase.
This post is an example of how a good chunk of the questions WATT poised earlier. I look at these as a sort-of scum-tell because it is something I do as scum to try and feign my town meta of "Look at me, I'm doing things!" especially in early day phases. The reason I dislike this even more is because none of the questions have a solid follow up besides "kay thanks" or "okay" without any real follow up.
-
Pg. 5 Is an early phase page that makes me look at Ryu with a scratching noggin and also where a lot of my early *shivers* of scumRyu come along. Here is where a bit of Ryu buddying me comes along, but that's already been talked about quite to a bit of an extant by Laundy and Myself. On this page there is a post I would like to highlight:
Vote: Spak
my reads atm,
1. Wots All This Then? (Orboknown/Jdietz Hydra)
2. Gheb_01
3. Maven89
4. Kantrip
5. Spak
6. RosalinaSGS
7. FandangoX
8. Red Ryu
9. #HBC | Dancer
10. #HBC | Ryker
11. Rake the Macaroni Jabroni
12. Laundry
13. #HBC | J
green = town
light green = town lean
white = neutral
orange = mafia lean
red = mafia
Within this post, he posts quite a few reads based off of nothing and does not even explain them. Even his Spak lean did not even get much because in the previous posts he only stated that he wanted to "question" Spak, but where did the WATT town-lean come from? Rake? (especially since that seems to have changed drastically) When I questioned him about it, he leaned on the "it's a gut feel" read and to me it looked more like he was throwing arbitrary reads out to the people who seemed to be posting the most at the time.
**Point of Interest** I am liking Maven in the early game phase for calling Ryu out on his posts. I am leaning towards disliking Ryu a lot more on this read-through and liking Maven because of it. If Ryu were to flip scum, it would give Maven some good brownie points in my book.
Continuing in this line of thought going onto Maven and remembering why I disliked him early. He seems to be the sort of player that centralize a lot of the game around themselves especially with the wording. Plus he lashes out at people who vote him, but in a self-preservation way rather then a question as to figure out the "why" behind it." This is one of my tells of finding Indys and so far it has been pretty full proof. I think I have failed to explain that when I am talking about Maven, I am seeing him as one of my biggest Indy reads. He does not seem to make sense with who I am looking at for the scum-team. I will probably continue on this later if I deem it necessary but Indy's are the least of my concern honestly with nothing but a theory I have regarding them *which will be talked about later*.
-Laundry/Ryker fascination is curious to me and especially with the early interaction of Alex throwing Drew the crystal orb. If I had to bet on which of them are scum it would definitely be Ryker, but I do not think either of them are necessarily leaning scummy. Laundry would be one of my stronger town-reads this game. His play seems to be trying to find scum and instead of when scumLaundry tries to capitalize on easy pressure targets. Now this may seem contradictory to what I said earlier regarding his Spak push and that is what rose some early concern about his slot. However, him not pouncing on me early on actually leads into his favor because scumLaundry would have been all over my lynch to knock me out early rather than later. I don't agree to everything he does but I am not really seeing scumLaundry.
This post in particular is what makes me feel a bit more comfortable with Laundry. The Spak wagon was actually gaining speed at the time of this post so I feel that a scumLaundry would have continued his pursuit.
*thumbs up on the WATT vote* Which is where he went to next.
Ryker I will talk about when his posts come up more in the thread, but I wanted to comment on Laundry.
I finally found the post that made me curious about Sword's:
Expending on two thoughts of interest: Spak and J.
J is currently leaning scum to me as a feel he's maintained a presence without actually doing too much of anything. The three main points of concern is his weird attack on Maven, the "event votecount" he kept, and just a lack of original content. Already went over Maven. The "event votecount" thing isn't scummy by itself but coupled with a lack of original content it reads more like filler than genuine usefulness. I just feel like if J was town he would be more interested in that WoT vs. WL thing then he seems right now.
BTW J's stance on Spak is not original content. It's a purely logical stance that one could have arrived at as either alignment so it's not telling either way.
Spak is a conundrum to me as I feel like he's done a lot of things I don't imagine newbie scum would do but if he was anyone else I would lynch him in a heartbeat. Regardless of his alignment I'm convinced that he has worded his posts to deliberately garner symphony which raises a red flag with me. HOWEVER I've seen newb town do this as well as newb scum so I can't call it either way. Also again what newbie scum ADMITS to things like "trying to lay low" and "trying to redirect attention." If he's scum then he's a master manipulator so props to him for that but that seems unlikely.
Actually writing this post has made me feel slightly better about him. He can go up to a town lean.
Also for the recorded I have yet to form an opinion on WoT, which is a thing now I suppose.
Here is when people have come in and made cases for both slots already and this seems to be Sword's just taking what seem to interest the rest of town as the "majority" scum-reads and tacking on his $0.02 onto it. But let's break it down as to what I am talking about.
He constitutes one of my questions towards Maven as scummy when I was asking why he unprecedentedly brought up the fact of Alphas and not letting them take control of the thread which hadn't even really occurred in the thread. It looked like Maven was trying to throw FUD at Ryker for no reason whatsoever besides his entrance post. That struck a chord with me.
He actually tries to use my "ring vote-count" as a reason to look at me as being scummy but does not explain how. Besides it being a really weak reason, it looks like Swords is really reaching to try and come up with "original" content on me which he then in turns tries to call me out on in the next post by saying that my read on Spak at the time is just "logical" and someone else had already brought it up which was not the case actually. The only person to have said anything on Spak looking townie was Laundry and the consensus at the time was that Spak was looking scummy to WATT/Ryu/Rake/Maven/Rosa. The irony of his statement is that my read on Spak was not "un-original" but the opposite whereas his next scum-read is on, guess who? Spak.
There is a red flag in this post as well especially when Spak is being talked about. The red/bolded bit really worries me because Swords seems to not really care about finding scum, but it seems like he is trying to look for easy options on who to lynch which were at the time J/Spak and not much else. But the "regardless of alignment" is something he does for both of his scum-reads. He tries to qualify his responses with outs and excuses for after flips. I can say for certain that from my perspective this looks like what Swords is trying to do. Blanket statements like "regardless of what he flips, I can still call them out on this" is incredibly scummy to me because it is not full committing to the read and also giving an out.
So yeah as of pg. 8, I am standing by my Sword's scum read.
Continuing on pg. 8,
This post really irks me in it looking like opportunistic WATT hopping onto my wagon. The reason I say it is opportunistic is that WATT comes in and votes me after the dislike for my slot comes around enough for people to vote me. (Fanny/Dancer/Gheb's approval) Also going on at the time WATT's wagon is gaining steam with votes from Laundry/Rake/Gheb which makes me also have a theory. I am thinking currently of a WATT/Dancer scum-team makes a lot of plausible sense. Especially when combined with the course of actions in pg. 8 especially when looking at my slot from a Town perspective. WATT also was on the "let's follow Jmeta" train for D1 until I ask him a question and he starts being backed into a corner so he latches onto my slot.
Here is the vote-post from pg. 10
With 13 players in all, it takes 7 to lynch!
Vote Count 1.3
1. Wots All This Then? (3): Rake, Laundry, Gheb
13. #HBC | J (4) : Fandango, Dancer, Wots, Maven
Not Voting: Kantrip, Spak, Red Ryu
DEADLINE IS SET FOR AUGUST 7th, 12:00PM PST!
This post speaks volumes to me because especially under my theory, this is evidence of actions from Fanny starting the wagon for Dancer to jump onto with WATT being able to try and sway the wagon from me onto him. Currently, looking at a WATT/Dancer scum-team. I would also say that Dancer and WATT have a clear disconnect from each other that they have not been commenting on each other in the thread. Dancer did not comment to length on the WATT push which strikes me as odd because he had enough to speak in detail on myself and Spak when WATT was also a cause for concern slot. From these flips I get, a stronger townLaundry read (from his WATT push), an even stronger townSpak read (From Dancer/WATT's collective disgustingly opportunistic push), which puts me ahead in terms of reads for D3 if my theory is consistent.
I see Fanny posting, I am nodding along, I don't get the uber hard-on everyone has for that slot though. I mean a lot of what Fanny says is just "well yeah", but he is dogging my slot and not really doing much else. *shrug* I don't see him fitting into my puzzle of WATT/Dancer currently, but I keep re-reading his posts and keep saying "...and?". I think this may be a playstyle thing though, because in another game that Fanny himself brought up I was able to nail him in a heartbeat when he was scum. However, that was D4. I'm gonna continue to watch Fanny because everyone just seems to be okay with him being town. For now, town by association that I will want to re-look at later.
I am still not feeling Rake scum and it really makes me go "...?" to the people that are reading him as scum. I stand by my reasoning that no one has given me a reason to look at Rake yet and I stand by that even more on re-reading D1. Speaking of people who make me feel good is Kantrip as well. Rake and Kantrip just seem to have a similar way of making me think they are not scummy with just none of their posts just striking a chord with me. They are logical, coherent, feel like townies trying to find scum and not reeking of mal-intent from other slots this game that come to mind. Only problem I have with these slots, which is ironically identical, is their presence comes in short bursts and then they disappear for pages on end. However, when they do post I like them.
-Pg. 12; Found my next point of interest against Dancer.
Dancer said:
I'm less sure on J now. I'm not thick headed, if everyone tells me that J doesn't play Day 1 then I'll begrudgingly give him a pass for a lack of content. I still hold that what content he has made seems forced, attempted attack on Maven especially. It's one thing to not want to overextend, it's another to actually try to attack one for the reasons he did. Furthermore J has yet to explain why he did what he did, instead just stubbornly defending his lack of content.* HOWEVER I agree with WL that Maven's Ryker push was premature and his later jump onto J seemed week. I liked Maven previously but some of his recent actions have worried me and I'll be lying if I said that I was fully comfortable being on the same wagon with him. Still though my vote will sit here until J returns, as I don't know of a better place to put it atm.
I have formed an opinion on Fandangox however some people have actually started to mount a bit of an offense on him, and I want to play the J card and see how that goes before dirtying the waters. I don't want to interfere with anyone else's pressure.
Rosa has been a very low impact player so far this game and seems to have been playing it somewhat safe. I could easily see him as scum.
I can see the reasoning behind the RR case but I really need to read him over again to determine rather I actually think he's scum or just making weak plays.
WATT is another player that I REALLY need to read over again because I've honestly have failed to check the whole 180 and thus have failed to form an opinion about it. Don't worry guys, I'll get to it I swear!
Kantrip's entrance was indeed good.
*While I did call the way J defended himself "stubborn" I just want to clarify that despite my negative description of his actions I don't actually think it's a scummy defense, more so just an anti-town defense.
Oh, and Spak. I'm not trying to beat a dead horse and I don't plan to push him but are we ABSOLUTELY sure that he's town guys? I totally understand that brute honesty that went into his defense but right after that was done he's existed in complete "Look, I'm helping!" mode.
Please, just someone reassure me that this is just a normal thing for newbie town's to do and that it has no malicious motive behind it.
This reads post is Dancer playing the "let's sit on the fence and look like I'm doing things and having read's this game!" I'm gonna hone in on certain things real quick so I'm beating a dead horse with the "I dislike Dancer/his reads are balls passive" He starts to lay back heat on me after my wagon starts losing appeal, he gives himself outs to RR/Rosa, but the curious one is WATT where he fails to take a stance on WATT, but with every other read he's got an opinion. Here he says verbatim:
"...and thus have failed to form an opinion about it. Don't worry guys, I'll get to it I swear!"
Then he continues on to almost beg that people keep Spak on the table, but does nothing to push this besides "Come on guys, don't let him get away!" which goes along with my theory that Dancer isn't scum-hunting, but just appealing to the masses. Literally, with all his reads and him saying "idk where to go" but does nothing to further his scum-hunt or anything. He just sits on reads and harps on them when asked.
Another thing that bugs me about Dancer is that he keeps using this phrase which he even has used on D2 which is "I want to lynch J for information" which is a cop out reason to lynch and something I find scummy. Information lynches are fine in my book, but when it is becoming pretty much the only and sole reason to lynch someone on D2, then that is something I find bad. D1 is the day for informational lynches and inactive lynches. D1 I was barely here and using the ploy of my lynch being "informational" was garbage because there were way more slots where everyone had opinions on especially when the mass opinion on me was "J is just being J". So what information was he hoping to obtain from that?
Here's another point to my theory of a WATT/Dancer scum-team:
Dancer said:
I would be okay with a Ryker lynch if only because of policy. Would prefer him to just replace out though.
I literally have no stance on WATT and will only lynch him if the J or Ryker wagon fall flat and we need a lynch.
One lynch is for "information" while the other is a policy lynch. Yet, he continues to say he has no stance on WATT, but by saying this he knows that WATT is up for a lynch. That brings again that disconnect of Dancer not willing to put a solid feel on WATT and distancing himself from that plus offering up "solutions" against his lynch.
Moving on, why does Rosa "like" all of my posts, but then says I'm scummy. I did not get her lol.
Rosa wagon snap did not have much evidence of anything honestly besides just a bunch of quick pile on votes. The only one that stuck out to me was Kantrip's who said "I am voting Rosa because she is one of my scum-reads" rather than everyone who was like "lol deadline" and that actually gives Kanty more town-points in my opinion because I do not feel scum would be that set on saying they were backing a read of theirs if they "knew" it was going to flip unfavorable to their statement.
And those are my notes from D1. I am gonna wrap up this post so I may continue onto D2, but I have been here for a majority of D2 so I am just going to stick to the latter portion where I left off.
Scum: WATT/Dancer
Town: Spak, Laundry, Kanty, Rake
Indy feels: Maven/Fanny
What do: Ryu/Ryker
So I am deadset on the WATT/Dancer train and will be gunning for them for blood at this juncture. I am pretty comfy with my town reads currently and really see no reason to discuss them. Earlier I was talking about Indy feels around Maven and I still stand by that he would be my biggest read for Indy and then I would have Fanny be next in line for that. I do not get the overwhelming town-vibes from Fanny and just a lot of him saying the same thing a lot like a parrot since people have called him town for that earlier. Maven is more because of his explosive lash outs when people call him scum (I.e. Gheb v. Maven), but I do not get scum-team vibes from either. I am also not really looking at indy's because although we have proof that an indy exists in mod-confirmed info and what appears to be their way of killing (poisoning via Laundry claiming it). However, Laundry has claimed to be cured so I the Indy is already having a foot in the ground regarding their kills.
With the What Do category is simply put, I don't know where they go. That's my null pile because I do like quite a bit of what Ryker is posting but I have no clear reason to call him town. Plus I dislike the Rake push so that puts him in a unfavorable light in my eyes, especially with WATT being on it as well. Ryu's claim is janky and also just meh to read and when reading D1, his early play did read as scummy but then near the end he became more genuine and I know scumRyu is much more disgenuine. I am just uneasy to put that slot onto either side. I would lean probably scum on Ryu and town on Ryker on gut though.
I am operating under the idea that with a killing Indy the scum-team would make sense to be a 2 person team with an Indy floating around. So that's why me reads are as such.
Anyways, I'm tired and need to take a breather before moving onto D2 because this post took up a large chunk of my night/morning and it is now the afternoon I am realizing when I started this post at like 5am my time.....lordy...