Okay, so it's finally here, let's see what I can drudge up from this.
Please do not skip this!
Sora
Chance: 50%
I was originally gonna give him a 25% chance due to his decrease in popularity after the first few days of the ballot, but that changed after I noticed that support was being inspired from the KH3 trailer, so it shall remain at 50%. Now for the rest of my argument, I'm gonna post the most popular arguments being used against Sora and promptly prove why they are all false and change my rating accordingly, should anybody find proper counter arguments against my own( opinionated arguments will obviously not be factored in):
"Sora is owned by Square Enix and Disney, even if they weren't strict with their IPs, Nintendo wouldn't want to pay two different organizations for just one character"
- This is a simple enough mistake to make as the Kingdom Hearts series has always been promoted to be a crossover between Disney's multiple franchises and the Final Fantasy series. But Sora is indeed owned by just Disney. Evidence of this are as follows: 1. "© Disney Developed by SQUARE ENIX" a copyright claim that can be found on both the official case for every Kingdom Hearts game( specifically on the back near the bottom) and in all of the official web pages for the series. For those of you who don't know, this simply means that Kingdom Hearts is a series that Square Enix is allowed to develop, but doesn't own( much like how Koie Tecmo and Capcom were allowe to develop Legend of Zelda games). 2. Disney had a Kingdom Hearts game made called "Kingdom Hearts V-cast". This game starred Sora, had no Final Fantasy characters featured, and Square Enix was completely unaware of it's development, further proving that Sora is their character.
"Disney is extremely strict with their IPs, they'd charge alot of money for his inclusion."
- This is an argument that was spawned due to previous transactions involving Disney and their
far more popular characters! In the grand scheme of things, the reasons as to why companies like Disney keeps close tabs on their IPs is because they can make alot of money off of their popularity. To be clear, Sora is fairly popular within the gaming community, but when you compare his popularity to the likes of Mickey Mouse, the little mermaid( a.k.a Ariel), Simba, Tarzan, Alice, Hercules, Aladdin, or even Jack Sparrow( to name a few) then it's simply no contest, he's just not well known to a majority of non-gamers. Anybody who makes this claim is literally making a mountain out of a molehill and to further prove this:
Yes, you're looking at this correctly, Sega was able to get the rights to a lesser known Disney character, and if Sega of all companies can get the rights to use a Disney character in their game, then I'm not putting anything over Nintendo.
"Disney wouldn't wan't any of their characters in a fighting game, they prevented Square Enix from making Kingdom Hearts Dissidia."
-No they didn't, I've thoroughly searched high and low for an article that verifies this and the only one I've ever found that "confirmed" the info sourced another article that didn't make that claim. As it stands, this is just a false statement.
"Kingdom Hearts 3 isn't coming to the Wii U"
- Neither is street fighter V. As of this point Ryu makes this and any other related argument irrelevant.
And those are the 4 biggest arguments( or in my case, obstacles) that most people have used against Sora's chances. All of them were effectively dis-proven.
Want: 100%
He has the potential for a very unique and creative moveset and his franchise brought me into videogaming( as well as my career choice). He's my #1 choice to win the ballot so I'm gonna throw this out here just once : #Sora4smash
Black Mage
Chance: 35%
I've read that he's a pretty popular pick in Japan but I'm not sure about the rest of the world. I guess he'd have a better shot at the roster if Sakurai's team picked a few of the most popular characters from each major country but that's an unlikely scenario.
Want: 85%
A final Fantasy mage? Using Final Fantasy magic?! In Smash bros.?!! I'll take it!
Nomination: Hades x5