I know Blaze's day is over, but being a Sonic fan I'm gonna give her an evaluation anyway alongside the Arle one!
Blaze the Cat, of the Sol Dimension
Chance: 0.5% - As cool as Blaze is, she faces incredibly steep competition from both fellow SEGA characters and characters from her own franchise. If SEGA gets another rep, it'll likely be someone like Arle or Aiai, and if we get another Sonic character (which to be honest Sonic more than deserves!) it'll be someone like Tails, Eggman, Knuckles, or Amy. Furthermore, while she appears regularly in spinoffs, Blaze's main games, the Sonic Rush series, hasn't seen a new entry since 2007, so relevancy isn't in her favor either. She'd have unique moveset potential but I don't see Sakurai or Nintendo choosing her.
Want: 40% - Being a Sonic fan, I really want to see another Sonic rep in the game. Sonic's the only third party with perfect attendance since Brawl, and he has so many iconic characters to bring into the fray. His faranchise is iconic, even if controversial, and if Castlevania can get an echo at debut, then I think Sonic deserves another slot by now. That being said, I've never played the Rush games, so I don't have as much of a connection to Blaze as I do to other Sonic characters. If I were to choose another Sonic rep, I'd choose Tails, Robotnik, Knuckles, Amy, or even the Chaotix. Still, if Blaze got in, then I'd still be very happy to see her!
Arle Nadja
Chance: 12.92% - Arle's got a decent amount of momentum going for her right now. She has legacy, Puyo Puyo's iconic in Japan, and Puyo Puyo Tetris has given it a lot of positive exposure in the west. She continues to grow in popularity! Plus puzzle games aren't really represented well, and I can see Sakurai going for a quirky character like her. That said, I don't yet see SEGA double dipping into DLC, at least not yet. Furthermore, a lot of people know Puyo Puyo but not Arle herself, and in the modern games she has a lot of other characters to compete with (at least from what I can see). So Arle definitely has a solid chance but I wouldn't bet on her yet.
Want: 10% - Arle has a cute design and would make for a very unique newcomer. Though if we're going to get another SEGA rep, another Sonic rep would be my first choice by far. I 'm a big fan of the Sonic games and have little to no experience or attachment to Puyo Puyo. And if SEGA wants to bring in a new series instead then I think someone like Aiai from Super Monkey Ball would be an ideal pick. He appears in several SEGA crossovers front and near center while Arle is nowhere to be seen a lot of the time (though admittingly a good chunk of them are made in the west where she isn't too popular). He also has almost his entire series on Nintendo systems. Still, Arle would make for a novel character and I wouldn't mind seeing her in the game.
Nominations:
[Rerate] Prince of All Cosmos x10
Predictions:
Valve Rep - 0.72%
Also a quick question! I missed the previous day and decided to do the analysis for that day's character in this post. Would I be able to add the nominations I would've gotten to my total for today or would it be too late?