I wonder why we're not rating Waluigi today as well?
Daisy
Chance: 10%
Daisy does indeed have fans and is popular amongst the female fanbase. I don't neccessarily see her as a clone since the spinoffs have given her many, many different flower based abilities as well as showcasing her to be more of a brawler type than Peach or Rosalina. Strikers also gave her crystal based abilities so there's some potential to differ from Peach.
Unfortunately Daisy's main quality is she's been in every sports game and thus would likely represent the Mario Sports side of the spinoffs. In that area she faces fierce competition in Waluigi, a character whom was known for debuting in Mario Tennis, arguably the most popular Mario sport series outside of Kart. Waluigi over the years, much like Daisy, has gained a large fanbase due to his larger than life personality and I can't really decide who is more likely to rep Mario sports, if indeed we are to get a Mario sports based character to begin with.
The only thing she has over Waluigi is appearing in Super Mario Land in Peach's role, but really she's less connected to the mainline games at this point than even Pauline who had a similar role in Mario's very first appearance so I'm not entirely sure if that's a massive point in her favour or not.
Add to that fierce competition from Captain Toad and Paper Mario, characters who have their own dedicated spinoff games in recent years and the likes of oddball popular pick Geno, and to a lesser extent Nabbit(whom at least is playable in a mainline Mario game on the last generation's console) and it's hard to really give Daisy above 10% for me personally.
Want: 30%
Here's the thing; I personally want Captain Toad(or heck Toad) in first. Not gonna lie, it's in my name and he's been my number one desire since Smash 64.
However once he's in, Daisy and Waluigi are going to be boosted somewhat since I'm always hungry for new Mario fighters. As of right now however, Daisy's in a weird situation as I cannot pick between her and Waluigi for my second Mario support for the game and am hoping we get two new Mario characters in this iteration too.
Paper Mario
Chance: 35%
There weren't many Nintendo IPs on the Wii U, but amongst them was Paper Mario getting a whole new game. He has plenty of moveset potential being made of paper, had a game on the Wii U AND a crossover game since Smash Bros. 4 plus is one of the more popular choices for a new Smash fighter from the Mario franchise.
On the flipside(ha, flip. He's paper...okay I'll see myself out...) he's been around since the 64 and has failed to become a playable character during his first three far more popular games.
Color Splash was hit with overwhelming(and unfair) negative responses upon it's reveal after Sticker Star pretty much destroyed poor Paper Mario's previous squeaky clean record.
Want: 20%
It's not that I don't see Paper Mario's potential, it's that for me Paper Mario's appeal in The Thousand Year Door/64 was the use of partner characters, which were sadly dropped after Super. I imagine a Paper Mario fighter now would not have the likes of Goombella, Kooper, Lady Bow or Vivian to draw from in a moveset and the idea of a Paper Mario without these abilities is a character not living up to it's full potential.
On a lesser note, whilst Dr. Mario is still in the game, the last thing I want is a third Mario whilst the likes of Toad, Waluigi and Daisy don't get a look in edgeways. We've had three Links, but should we have had Link, Toon and Young Link in Smash together I think a lot of fans would raise an eyebrow.
That said, Paper Mario STAGES is something I want 100%. To date the Glitz Pit is my dream stage.
Predictions
Young Link: 2%
Pichu: 4.5%
Nominations:
Concept: Zelda Newcomer X 5