Dixie Kong is one of my most wanted newcomers. She has a lot going for her but she also has many things going against her as well. Dixie Kong is one of the most requested females alongside other well known female characters. She has also appeared in various Donkey Kong games and, recently, in Mario spinoff games. She is also the third most popular (playable) Kong; after Donkey and Diddy. Additionally, she has the capability to have a fairly unique move set involving her ponytail. Including Dixie Kong could also bolster the DK franchise, bring in fans of both old school and new school Donkey Kong. This could pull in some fans.
However, Dixie really has only one competition and it's mammoth sized. King K. Rool is unarguably the most wanted and expected DK newcomer and, possibly, Smash 4 newcomer overall. He ranks very high in most polls or contests. If DK gets a new rep, there is a high chance that King K. Rool will get that spot. However, Nintendo has recently passed over King K. Rool in both the revival of the DKC series and various Mario spinoff games with the exception of Sluggers. Given that trend, Sakurai and Nintendo may decide to pass up on the King despite all the things he can bring into Smash. Dixie Kong may be a more safer choice due to her familiarity within Nintendos history and those unaware of the DK franchise. However, I believe the King deserves the 3rd DK slot with Dixie Kong afterwards. Sakurai and Nintendo calls the shots in the end.
Then again, DK could get a fourth slot albeit slightly unlikely. If that's the case, we will see both of them in. I don't consider any of the other Kongs as competition.
I find the clone argument to be very counter-productive to discussion. On one hand, a character can be unique and have a potential move set.
However, on the other hand, a character could be a clone or semi-clone. Its kind of a moot point really. Dixie Kong has the ability to be both unique or a clone. The same can go for other characters as well. King K. Rool has the possibility to become a semi-clone of King Dedede, Ridley could be a semi-clone of Charizard, Palutena could be a semi-clone of Zelda, etc. So the debate between clone or non-clone really goes nowhere since a character can become unique or a clone. Of course, some characters such as Isaac or Saki have the potential to be entirely unique. So, yes, Dixie can be either a clone or a unique character.
I agree that using the F7 is a double edged sword. On one hand, it shows Dixie Kong was considered a playable character. However, it also shows she was cut and didn't quite make the grade. Additionally, she was originally planned to be paired up with Diddy but this obviously didn't pan out well so it was scrapped. However, Sakurai was able to make Diddy Kong into a separate character effectively so I believe the same can be said for Dixie.
In short, Dixie Kong is an iconic character within DK and Nintendo, has the potential to be unique or a semi-clone, and has a growing fan base. She us also highly requested but not as much as King K. Rool who overshadows her. That being said, I feel that if DK gets two new character slots, we will see both get in. I am putting my money on King K. Rool as playable but I believe Dixie to be a possible contender for the King.
For Dixie;
Want:
5
Likeliness: 2.50
Ray's Prediction:
2.05
Nomis:
Nightmare (SC) x2
Andy x1
Lip x1
Mach Rider x1