how are you july?
I'm aiight, feeling...wall-y.
Haha it's just an entrance post. I would like you to answer my questions though? Especially why the town role is lame? You just claimed in your post after this that you're happy with being town, so I don't understand your pregame post.
BW
BSL
July
How long have each of you worked as a guard?
Ever since the 1990s...good times, good times.
July: I still can't read you :D
This usually means you just try and lynch me -_-
also the nature of this game allows full reads list and expressing town reads to be beneficial and protown so id appreciate it if everyone keeps their reads pretty open and updated frequently
What about the nature of this game makes full read lists and expressing town reads more beneficial/protown than usual?
OS' first post literally gives advice to scum, but he'd probably do that as any alignment.
This game should be a Kingmaker setup
We don't vote for people anymore, but rather decide who we should allow to decide who we lynch with impunity. That means they lynch someone and we allow them.
Why Kingmaker?
Because it flips the odds in town's favor.
If we arbitrarily choose someone to be kingmaker, there is a 66% chance they are town. This also leaves a very obvious, open trail as to who was going for who AND reduces SK's influence as to who should be lynched. The odds of picking the SK for King are 1/9 and the SK isn't going to be able to worm people towards others or away from himself in this situation. He's just gotta go with the flow.
Now there are 8 possibilities for being lynched on D1, giving us the worst odds we will ever get for catching the SK... and it's 5/8 if we hit a townie with the king.
But what if we make mafia king?
We have a 1/4 chance of making mafia king. This will mean that of the 8 players only SEVEN will be up for a lynch. King won't lynch himself, King won't lynch his mafia partner.
6/7 chance of hitting town but 0% chance of hitting mafia and 1/7 chance of hitting SK.
If we get town, we have a 5/8 chance of hitting town (lower), 2/8 chance of hitting mafia (higher), and a 1/8 chance of hitting SK (lower).
The moment the SK dies, kingmaker no longer makes sense, but until then the odds only get better for a kingmaker approach.
Thoughts?
I've never played kingmaker style mafia, but it seems like it basically places the onus of the lynch on one person and allows for everyone else's opinions to either 1) not exist, 2) be disingenuous. For example, if you have a scum read on the person who is currently kingmaker, there's a good chance you'll be less vocal so they don't lynch you for for your read on them, I'm sure there are other ways not having an active part in the lynch would also promote people being disingenuous, and 3) even people who are open about their reads are likely to be less vocal because they know that they have less power than someone else and that's usually not a good feeling, especially when you may doubt that person, either thinking they or scum or doubting their decision-making/scumhunting in general.
So I understand that Kingmaker might seem better from a mathematical point of view, but I think it would have an impact on play which would be detrimental and make scumhunting harder, which is important no matter what.
Can we wait until I get some reads first? Once I decide who I think is mafia/SK, then you can lynch me and use my reads.
This is very fatalist, and it comes across as very intentionally so...it throws up a red flag for me because I've seen this done by scum (and done it myself in a "If my lynch is for the good, then I understand" kind of way) to show how they totally aren't focused on survival even though obviously are.
**** guys, ignore that scumslip.
I know I'm town, too, I just didn't consider myself a choice. Still Soup even though I am selectable. If I had a gun, I'd shoot BW.
I'm attempting to pressure BW. I picked him randomly from a list (using a series of coinflips), and I am trying to bait him into thinking I'm serious.
RVS stuff.
Stating that what you did just a few posts prior to this one was simply for pressure and saying that you are (actively) trying to bait him into thinking you are serious defeats your purpose, he now knows quite well what you are doing so his reaction to you is null.
@Mod Is july in prod range yet?
July? Hello paging July sup witchu July?
What's your thoughts on
Kingmaker
Zen
OS
How good I look in flannels
IN THAT ORDER
I feel so loved, everyone waiting to hear from me and all.
Already talked about the Kingmaker idea, the gist of it is I'm not a fan.
Zen is null town for me right now, I'd actually like to see a read list from him , but I liked his early interactions with OS where he said talked about looking at intention behind posts.
OS is null, most of his posts have been either analysis/mechanics or responding to criticisms of his posts.
Is flannel the same as plaid? Because I like plaid if that's what we are talking about.
If kuz is indy this game is ****ed.
Don't even say that, freaking angst from scumKuz too many times, not again.
Reads:
Soup- Leaning town. He's been active, scumhunting, not playing the cautious game I think he would as scum.
Kuz- Leaning town. Always cautious with my read on this one but his current playstyle has been open; I feel like with the exception of Badwolf who actually posted a reads list, I have a better idea of his reads than anyone else because he's been pretty active in discussion.
Zen- Null Town. I like some of the points he's made this game and his early interactions with OS, but I'd like to hear more about his reads/get a read list from him.
OS- Null, so much analysis and mechanics, really limited interactions so far and most of them are just reactions to comments/critiques of his game plan so far.
KevinM- Null, he's been mostly interacting and agreeing with OS on mechanics stuff.
Badwolf- Null, I remember a vague reads list but from my experience with Badwolf, the more he posts the easier it is to read him so just need more posting from him.
Gorf- Null scum, has 27 posts apparently and all I remember is the big (as in font size) post about Soup and BSL, which actually I forgot but I wanted to comment on. He says "Soup thinks BSL is scum and is scumhunting", which I read as Soup thinks BSL is scum and thinks BSL is scumhunting, and that's the point he's trying to get across? Isn't that a null point because everyone in the game is scumhunting including scum for sk and sk for scum...So what stands out is his BSL-Soup connection which seems weak to me, other than that he seems like he's been pretty background this game.
BSL- The fatalist statement I pointed out earlier really seems like a scum move to me, and his responses about pressuring badwolf seem like he was covering his butt once people started questioning his intent. My strongest scumread so far, but I have to admit he's not striking me as indy, so
FoS but my vote won't be going here.
Vote: Gorf