Alright, this is my matchup list constructed from theory craft and experience
Advantage 60:40 and above:
Slight advantage 55:45:
Disadvantage 40:60 and below:
Slight disadvantage 45:55 :
Even:
Unsure:
Hopefully this will start discussion
EDIT: thought some matchups through a little more.
I know putting lucario in the advantage list seems asinine, but I feel the one thing holding us back in this matchup is our kill power. However, with the new bell tricks we have learned from fromundaman, it's been really easy to kill at early percentages. This allows us to blast lucario to smithereens before he gets the upper hand. Also, the apple, usmash, and power pac jump custom work wonders in this matchup.
I also moved link to even because of how we can destroy him once we are in, but it's hard to get there. (Reminds me of the G&W matchup vs link back in brawl. We crushed him...once we made it past the wall) seems 55:45 in our favor. However, toon link lacks the range that link has over us, and is much easier to approach due to his inferior projectiles. He has to rely on bombs to get his combos going, but every bomb he throws clashes or loses to our fruit. It's an uphill battle for him, but isn't all bad considering he still has a deadly Usmash.
Also I moved wario. I used to dislike fighting him because he could eat my fruit and stop some of them with his bike, but now I realize how well this matchup goes for us. Wario's air approaches are outsped by ours and more or less match ours in range. His ground options are slower than ours (bar dtilt) and as long as you don't try to camp him out, you can apply pressure in the mid range. Just watch out for the waft.
Villager was next to move to advantage because we shut down his camp game, and traps. His fair and bair have low priority and lose to nair, his slow side B is evaporated by PP, and his nuetral is just overall inferior to ours (slower tilts, less range on tilts) just don't let him pocket your fruit. If he does, immediately charge yours. Villager can only stop your ability to charge fruit if he has your fruit in his hand, you can still charge it when it's in his pocket. His bowling ball over the edge also doesn't scare me because side B can power through it with super armor, or up B clashes with it. Just watch out for tree over the edge ( too bad it takes years to set up)