I did read, like I said I was rushed to respond because I had class. Here's the rest of the points I was going to make/ response to your newer post.
In polling a greater number of votes does not equal more accuracy. You could ask 100 or 1,000 body builders about their personal fitness trainers but it doesn't make it any more right when trying to understand "How healthy Americans are".
In a way fan polls on Smash sites are exactly like that. Unless we can get all people who voted, they are never going to be accurate. And if Melee and Brawl are anything to go by, then they will never release the official data.
The truth of the matter is most of us will buy whoever they release. They need to cater to the lowest denomitor. Roy and Lucas makes sense as people are already familiar with them. Ryu makes sense because most people are aware of who he is. K Rool? People might not know who he is. Looking at how many mentions K Rool or any other character have on "greatest characters ever" lists in the recent years will tell us if they are on the public conscious. Seeing how much fan art they have outside of the hardcore Smash community is another good indicator. I'm just afraid that we are getting so wrapped up in our Smash world that we are ignoring the bigger picture. I really enjoy this debate with you Swampasaur, so I hope you aren't taking it personal at all. DMurr and I had a similar debate over the course of the last few days and it's something that's been on my mind.
To piggyback off of this, I think we have to realize that popularity among the general community is a huge factor in DLC. Just by the nature of DLC, they need to make characters that people will want to buy. Mewtwo, Roy and Lucas are popular characters from previous games, so the people who played those games will be likely to buy them (which isn't a small number). Ryu is quite popular among the gaming community in general, and is sure to get a lot of sales as well.
Which is exactly why we have the ballot. While I'm sure popularity isn't the
only factor, it's definitely a big one. K Rool may be popular among the Smash community, but the gaming community as a whole doesn't care for him too much, as you said. He hasn't even been in a game for years, if we get a DK newcomer at all Dixie is the most popular by far. Characters who are only popular among the Smash community like Isaac, as much as I would
love to see them, have next to no chance for DLC. They need iconic characters that almost everybody will recognize and want to play as, in addition to veterans of course. If we're going to determine which characters are likely, we have to look at which characters are popular in the gaming/Nintendo community at large.
Though also remember that the ballot carries over to Smash 5, which isn't limited by sales in nearly the same way. Characters like King K. Rool actually have a chance there, especially after the ballot has shown just how popular they are among the Smash community. I think that characters which are given costumes are pretty likely to be included in Smash 5 (depending on the character and their reason for getting a costume, of course). Though I still think that we can't be sure that the K. Rool costume is tied to the ballot.