I've been reading the posts in this thread...
and you're all hopeless.
I apologize for my resent cynical attitude, I'm usually optimistic, but I'm looking at this realistically instead of optimistically. Character bias aside,
WE ARE EXAGGERATING KING K. ROOL'S CHANCES.
It's the same with Wolf as well. Like @
PushDustIn
and I have said, we are a minority. We are completely ignoring the casual fanbase. We are the hardcore fanbase. We know Nintendo like the back of our hands. The casual fanbase doesn't know near as much as we do. They don't know what the heck a King K. Rool is, and all they know about Wolf is that he was in Brawl, maybe they know about his appearance in Star Fox 64.
Maybe. All they know about Roy and Lucas is that they were in previous Smash Bros. games. They know Mewtwo, he's that Pokemon from X and Y. They maybe know Ryu as that guy from Fight Street or whatever it was. While the hardcore fanbase has the advantage of organization (in support of x character), the casual fanbase has the advantage of sheer numbers. I can imagine a good number of ballot picks will be ones we didn't see coming due to the casual vote. We'll see characters like the Inklings and other recent characters all the kids have taken too. (I could only come up with Inklings as a recent character that's caught with the casual consumer, but you could replace them with any character that's popular with the casual fanbase) Assuming that King K. Rool's chances are unaffected is ignorant. There's no other way. Thinking any character is a shoe-in is ignorant as well. Especially with the teasing the Nintendo Social Media accounts are conducting. I'm sure a lot of the casual fans have no clue what that joke is until they look at the comments and find out what a K. Rool is.
What I'm conveyingg is that the casual market doesn't know about the same characters as we do, and doesn't support the same characters as we do. They enjoy newer, small-known characters like Shulk and Robin (I enjoyed Marth and Pit in Brawl despite not knowing where they were from), but it's easier to put them in the base game with Mario and Link then it is to let them headline their own DLC Pack meant to be profitable off of the base game.
Also, they know about the ballot. Information spreads fast nowadays. I know many Youtube channels have covered the ballot, and with all the news of it over Miiverse, Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, etc. and on the eShop, it's well known that there's a Smash Ballot, and anyone can vote for anyone.
The casual fanbase is not ignorant or anything, they just know about less characters, and as such support different characters that may seem like odd or bad choices to us.
We don't think of the casual fanbase when talking about the ballot, and that will obviously sway results. Thread views and fan polls are still faulty due to a lack of votes from EVERY fan, which is what the Smash Ballot is about, getting the vote of EVERY Smash fan, not just us.