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Official Next Smash - Speculation & Discussion Thread

Verde Coeden Scalesworth

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Pichu, Young Link, Pichu, Dr. Mario, Roy, Corrin, Piranha Plant, Incineroar and Sepiroth are my main cut guesses/predictions.
If development time problems arise then i think Wii Fit Trainer, Squirtle, Yvsaur, Lucas, Min Min, Bowser Jr and Palutena could also be in consideration for cut.
Dr. Mario was meant to be in Brawl. He's a fairly unlikely cut. If Roy goes, Chrom is done for too, since they're intentionally tied together. Palutena is pretty unlikely to be cut as is, as she's the name of the franchise in Japan. Not impossible, mind you.

Wii Fit Trainer doesn't really have a particular reason to be cut, though? Not even with development time. She's not a time sink in the same way Pokemon Trainer is. Sephiroth is not really likely to be cut unless Cloud is at this point. SE views them as both pretty important characters. It's not too likely they wouldn't want both to be added as a "all or nothing" deal nowadays. It's not that Sakurai can't try to get Cloud only, but with both being massively pushed, SE might attempt persuasion. And considering stuff like "more spirits, etc." can sweeten the deal, both coming back has a strong chance(or both cut, respectively). Unlike other franchises, FFVII is given quite a huge amount of attention and are very very big in itself. In most cases, a single game isn't that big out of a full franchises either. That's a key difference. FFVII has its own sub-franchise in itself, which is a biiiiiig deal. And it's the biggest one compared to any other spin-off(or otherwise) of a specific mainline entry. While we do have other sub-franchises(Tactics, for instance), they're not in the same ballpark. I'd expect honestly both or neither at this point with that in mind. That doesn't mean it's impossible to only get Cloud, though.
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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He has a high likelihood of falling victim to the dreaded "time constraints" due to how much work goes into him. He's essentially 3x the work of a standard fighter.
Yeah, but that doesn't really faze me.

I mean, it could happen, but honestly, the 3DS limitations were the main reason why he was cut in Smash 4. I don't see time constraints and much else stopping him from returning.

I don't mean this in a rude way, but the only characters I see less likely to come back than Plant are like Corrin or Young Link.

Plant was a fun character, but was also stated to be Sakurai's attempt at challenging himself in terms of moveset, maybe since there were already so many iconic characters on the roster. It was pretty telling that aside from echoes like Daisy, Dark Samus, and Chrome, Piranha Plant was the only full fledged character not given a cinematic reveal.

With Sakurai mentioning in advance some cuts next game are likely, I honestly highly doubt the preorder bonus challenge character he made is high on the list next to all the necessary vets, fan favorites, third party icons, etc.

Obviously I can't see the future, and given nobody would've thought Pichu was coming back before Ultimate, so you can't really count anything out in the end. Still, this post is just a really long way to say I agree with Plants placement being 'rip bozo'
Well, yeah, but I don't think the lack of a cinematic reveal contributes to him getting cut. I mean, people thought Ike would be cut in Smash 4, and he was in it. Now, I know Piranha Plant is probably not in the same situation as a Fire Emblem character. However, not only does he still have some iconicness, but I think his chances of being cut are being overestimated, like how some Fire Emblem characters were overestimated at a basic level. Now, I am sure Roy was cut from Brawl for different reasons other than being redundant with Ike appearing in that game. I can see that being redundant or whatever similar reason won't get Piranha Plant cut so easily. What I am saying is, fans have been wrong before, so I would not be surprised if Piranha Plant returns despite the many people saying he will be cut.
 

BrawlX10

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People just have diferent opinion in which characters are higher priority than others, some people just think Pokemon Trainer is just not hight priority same with Plant while others do, at the end of the day it's just speculation and we're all guessing, for all we know Sakurai plans to make Plant a mainstay behind doors.
It's the same thing with the Mario Kart Tracks, i personally do think Tour tracks like Ninja Hideaway have a chance to return in MK9 base game and others do not.
 
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SuperSonicFlyer

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People just have diferent opinion in which characters are higher priority than others, some people just think Pokemon Trainer is just not hight priority same with Plant while others do, at the end of the day it's just speculation and we're all guessing, for all we know Sakurai plans to make Plant a mainstay behind doors.
It's the same thing with the Mario Kart Tracks, i personally do think Tour tracks like Ninja Hideaway have a chance to return in MK9 base game and others do not.
Very well true. Still, not to sound arrogant, at all, but I think I kind of understand how Sakurai cuts characters to a good extent, and it is not in line with what most people think will happen in the end. I think Sakurai's process of cutting characters is different from what fans think, opinion or not.
 

Watuna4343

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Ultimate had no retro rep base game, though, i think a retro rep is not a for sure thing anymore like it was pre-Ult.
I like Astral Chain, but i don't see why Nintendo would pick it over Ring Fit, a new IP that sold like crazy, like Ring Fit sold over 15 million copies, more likely scenario is that we get both or only Ring Fit.
I could see Ayumi Tatchibana (or Emio), as the series had a remake and a new entry recently so the series is active right now. I am not sure why you disagree with Oatchi, though, Pikmin 4 is the best selling Pikmin game and Oatchi is pretty popular and distinct from other potential Pikmin reps, he seems like a fitting smash choice.
In regards to the retro characters, you have to keep in mind that Ultimate didn't have almost any room for newcomers (I mean half of the newcomers were clones to some degree), so there wasn't really much room and retro characters don't make sense for DLC. But Sakurai is clearly keen on the concept, I am very sure that retro picks will be back come next Smash. And Astral Chain for as much as it was overshadowed, is the best choice for a 'new IP' given that Ring Fit is more of a sequel, also the Howards have potential for a far more interesting moveset. And Oatchi... I mean, it would be a very odd choice over other newcomers, animal sidekicks have never become Smash Fighters before and I can see Sakurai being more interested in other newcomers
 

Watuna4343

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Dr. Mario was meant to be in Brawl. He's a fairly unlikely cut. If Roy goes, Chrom is done for too, since they're intentionally tied together. Palutena is pretty unlikely to be cut as is, as she's the name of the franchise in Japan. Not impossible, mind you.

Wii Fit Trainer doesn't really have a particular reason to be cut, though? Not even with development time. She's not a time sink in the same way Pokemon Trainer is. Sephiroth is not really likely to be cut unless Cloud is at this point. SE views them as both pretty important characters. It's not too likely they wouldn't want both to be added as a "all or nothing" deal nowadays. It's not that Sakurai can't try to get Cloud only, but with both being massively pushed, SE might attempt persuasion. And considering stuff like "more spirits, etc." can sweeten the deal, both coming back has a strong chance(or both cut, respectively). Unlike other franchises, FFVII is given quite a huge amount of attention and are very very big in itself. In most cases, a single game isn't that big out of a full franchises either. That's a key difference. FFVII has its own sub-franchise in itself, which is a biiiiiig deal. And it's the biggest one compared to any other spin-off(or otherwise) of a specific mainline entry. While we do have other sub-franchises(Tactics, for instance), they're not in the same ballpark. I'd expect honestly both or neither at this point with that in mind. That doesn't mean it's impossible to only get Cloud, though.
I really disagree about Dr. Mario. The Mario series not only has a lot of reps but will almost certainly get a new fighter as well, cuts are bound to happen in that series and I don't see how Dr. Mario survives the cut, being an alternate version of a character and all that. Palutena is a case where I think Sakurai will try his best to save her from being cut, however, the fact of the matter is that a point will inevitably come when it will be increasingly harder to justify keeping her over other characters who just offer a lot more. And 3rd party characters are simply cases of... It's hard to see Nintendo prioritizing keeping 3rd party fighters over their own properties so if character cuts are to happen (which they will) it's hard to see how Sephiroth will be that sought after when 3rd parties like Sonic, Mega Man, Pac Man or Ryu are already going to be in the game. Wii Fit Trainer is a question mark. She's undoubtedly unique but Nintendo has very obviously moved on from the Wii era and is leaving pretty much all traces of it behind. I think that overall she's 50/50 on whether she stays or goes.
 

Thegameandwatch

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Very well true. Still, not to sound arrogant, at all, but I think I kind of understand how Sakurai cuts characters to a good extent, and it is not in line with what most people think will happen in the end. I think Sakurai's process of cutting characters is different from what fans think, opinion or not.
It’s probably going to be different since the ones that were cut in Brawl and Smash 4 aren’t the same methodology. Brawl mostly just cut clones and Mewtwo while Smash 4 only had Snake, Wolf and Lucas (pre-DLC) as cuts that weren’t because of the 3DS.

My prediction is that there will be a character that is popular but will get cut regardless. Like what happened to Mewtwo in Brawl which got so much backlash that it overshadowed two characters (Lucario and Greninja).
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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It’s probably going to be different since the ones that were cut in Brawl and Smash 4 aren’t the same methodology. Brawl mostly just cut clones and Mewtwo while Smash 4 only had Snake, Wolf and Lucas (pre-DLC) as cuts that weren’t because of the 3DS.

My prediction is that there will be a character that is popular but will get cut regardless. Like what happened to Mewtwo in Brawl which got so much backlash that it overshadowed two characters (Lucario and Greninja).
I didn't say it would be the same methodology. I think I did not really mention Smash 4 at all, or much to begin with. Still, I can't say you are wrong. Not to mention, there were no cuts between Smash 4 and Ultimate, so who knows what could change in the realm of character cuts?

Regardless, I do stand by what I said. I mean, I was mostly talking about Piranha Plant, not much other characters. It can still apply to any character, though, and I still don't see Piranha Plant getting cut that easily. Other characters may be a different story. I don't see Pichu and Young Link coming back.

BUT what if Pichu and Young Link did return and fans were wrong about them not coming back? Unlikely, I know, but still...
 
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Kirbeh

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If we can move away from cuts/Ult. DX for the idk-how-many-eth time, let's talk characters that have been gone for a while. Not "retro" characters specifically, but any smaller/one-off character/franchise that's been gone for 10+ years.

What are some characters who you'd like to make a comeback with a redesign like Pit did in Brawl? How would you go about redesigning them?

I think this'll differ pretty wildly from person to person, so I think it'd make for a fun topic.

For me, I'd like to see characters like Muddy Mole and the Prince of Sable, but I'd actually keep their looks as faithful as possible.

Characters who I would change would be the Urban Champion and Barbara the Bat. For UC, I'd much prefer they make an interpretation based on his sprite rather than the key art for the game. For Barbara, I'd probably update her face/hairstyle and give more bat-like features like large ears and bat wings since she lacks them. The latter of which also serving in game play to give her multiple jumps.
 
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LiveStudioAudience

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I was thinking about Deluxe Mii Costumes the other and I was thinking how much more could they do with them in terms of features. We've seen music as part of DLC, color customization and generally head shapes/bodies that are beyond just helmets/outfits. Would having one unique move/special (that isn't just an aesthetic version of a preexisting Mii fighter attack) be practical or at that point they might as well just be actual fighters?
 

Verde Coeden Scalesworth

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I really disagree about Dr. Mario. The Mario series not only has a lot of reps but will almost certainly get a new fighter as well, cuts are bound to happen in that series and I don't see how Dr. Mario survives the cut, being an alternate version of a character and all that. Palutena is a case where I think Sakurai will try his best to save her from being cut, however, the fact of the matter is that a point will inevitably come when it will be increasingly harder to justify keeping her over other characters who just offer a lot more. And 3rd party characters are simply cases of... It's hard to see Nintendo prioritizing keeping 3rd party fighters over their own properties so if character cuts are to happen (which they will) it's hard to see how Sephiroth will be that sought after when 3rd parties like Sonic, Mega Man, Pac Man or Ryu are already going to be in the game. Wii Fit Trainer is a question mark. She's undoubtedly unique but Nintendo has very obviously moved on from the Wii era and is leaving pretty much all traces of it behind. I think that overall she's 50/50 on whether she stays or goes.
That doesn't matter about the Mario franchise. He's an easy clone to make and was never intended to be cut. That's all that matters in development at that point. He's just an unlikely cut cause he's easy to put in. He'd only be cut for time constraints(which is the sole reason he got cut in Brawl). Keep in mind he was in the same position as Mewtwo and Roy for returning characters. Only Roy out of all them were considered lower priority for 4 anyway(and came back too). Sure, Dr. Mario got into 4 a bit easier due to a lucky situation with "at the end of development", but that's the thing; he's easy to do that every time. It's really only useful to throw Dr. Mario into unlikely as long as Mewtwo and Roy are there too, since they were intended to be in the same situation. Besides that, Dr. Mario has out prioritized them too, funnily enough. ...Which is only cause he's the easiest of the three to make. Least amount of testing. Least amount of animation factors. Bar a roster reboot, he's one of the safer clones. Sadly Lucas and Wolf are... not. The Echoes are(bar their counterpart being cut, though Simon and Richter are definitely in a unique situation since 3rd parties can go either way. But since Richter is relevant again, he's pretty safe as long as Simon is kept. That, and both are easy to make as a team anyway).

As I said for Palutena, she's an unlikely cut to begin with, but not impossible. Time constraints aren't really a reason to cut her, though. She's popular and important to the franchise. She'd be higher priority. Unless it's an extreme case of something like a rebooted roster, she has no real reason to leave in itself.

Sephiroth is an extremely popular character(just like Cloud) that is highly relevant and pretty easy to license. SE wants him in the spotlight. Not just Cloud. That matters a lot. Would SE easily say yes to only Cloud? We don't know. But the factor remains that they do care about their characters, and we also have rumors of them almost not letting Cloud into Smash Ultimate's base game, which shows how much they really do care about extra content. There's even a fair chance both might be DLC only this time. Cloud was gotten near the time Ultimate's base game was being figured out. He was likely able to be licensed for both at the same time. Which is also why there's so little FF7 Content in base Ultimate too. Sakurai couldn't get much at the time. Hell, not even the Chocobo Costume survived into base Ultimate. SE quite clearly prefers stuff as DLC. And at that point, why would they not agree to both as DLC if it gets them more money, etc? As well as better deals for getting way more content into Smash 6.

...There's nothing questionable about Wii Fit Trainer. There's nothing to put her on time constraints. You didn't give any actual reason for it. The Wii Era was left ages ago when they made it impossible to download anything on the Wii U. That has nothing to do with her returning. She was put in there because she was a choice that was unexpected(and from an extremely well-selling game). I can't remember the exact wording(others might), but more importantly, characters aren't there solely to rep an entire era.
 
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LiveStudioAudience

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If we can move away from cuts/Ult. DX for the idk-how-many-eth time, let's talk characters that have been gone for a while. Not "retro" characters specifically, but any smaller/one-off character/franchise that's been gone for 10+ years.

What are some characters who you'd like to make a comeback with a redesign like Pit did in Brawl? How would you go about redesigning them?

I think this'll differ pretty wildly from person to person, so I think it'd make for a fun topic.

For me, I'd like to see characters like Muddy Mole and the Prince of Sable, but I'd actually keep their looks as faithful as possible.

Characters who I would change would be the Urban Champion and Barbara the Bat. For UC, I'd much prefer they make an interpretation based on his sprite rather than the key art for the game. For Barbara, I'd probably update her face/hairstyle and give more bat-like features like large ears and bat wings since she lacks them. The latter of which also serving in game play to give her multiple jumps.
I doubt there's all that much in Wrecking Crew (or even in the 98 game) to make a moveset of, but given Foreman Spike got a spotlight in the Mario movie, I wouldn't object to him popping up with some sort of hammer oriented playstyle.
 

SMAASH! Puppy

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Wii Fit Trainer doesn't really have a particular reason to be cut, though? Not even with development time. She's not a time sink in the same way Pokemon Trainer is.
Yeah the only reason why people think Wii Fit Trainer is likely to get cut is because they think Ring Fit Trainee is likely to be added, and the character's appeal is extremely similar so it's easy to logic that one could effectively replace the other (as much as Smash characters kind of but not really do this).

On the other hand, in terms of the character's "theme" it's very easy to make them super different. I don't think we know what Wii Fit Trainer's theme was, and it could have been something like "fights with fitness/yoga", but I think it's likely to instead have something to do with her strange hitboxes that hit at weird angles, and often on both sides of them. In the same vein Ring Fit Trainee could have "chargeable normal attacks" or "being active makes you stronger" instead of "fights with fitness/Pilates".

There is definitely a world in which we have both, especially since Sakurai doesn't really find characters expendable like we tend to.
 
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SuperSonicFlyer

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So, I take it Wii Fit Trainer would get cut because Ring Fit Trainee would replace that character?

I mean, I wonder what happened to the "Characters don't replace other characters" thing that was discussed a while ago? I mean, some say Roy and Mewtwo were replaced by Ike and Lucario respectively in Brawl, but I am pretty sure, as what may have been discussed before, that was not the case. I am sure Roy and Mewtwo were cut for different reasons, too.
 
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Verde Coeden Scalesworth

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So, I take it Wii Fit Trainer would get cut because Ring Fit Trainer would replace that character?

I mean, I wonder what happened to the "Characters don't replace other characters" thing that was discussed a while ago? I mean, some say Roy and Mewtwo were replaced by Ike and Lucario respectively in Brawl, but I am pretty sure, as what may have been discussed before, that was not the case. I am sure Roy and Mewtwo were cut for different reasons, too.
People like to compare "similarish" characters and use that as a reason. When it's not related at all. Only Toon Link replaced Young Link, while the rest were completely unrelated. Ike was a new popular Lord. Roy was meant to come back, but outprioritized by newcomers in general. Same with Mewtwo. And Dr. Mario. Yes, Ike's moveset does feel like it molds after Roy(when they share barely any moves), same with Mewtwo and Lucario(their theme of energy strikes makes them a tad more similar than Roy and Ike, but that doesn't actually mean anything).

Wii Fit Trainer and Ring Fit Trainer are extremely different characters with only so much as a loose genre of similarity. The comparison never made any real sense. Ring Fit Trainer is in a good position to be added. Wii Fit Trainer is not a likely cut for the sake of it.
 

SMAASH! Puppy

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So, I take it Wii Fit Trainer would get cut because Ring Fit Trainer would replace that character?

I mean, I wonder what happened to the "Characters don't replace other characters" thing that was discussed a while ago? I mean, some say Roy and Mewtwo were replaced by Ike and Lucario respectively in Brawl, but I am pretty sure, as what may have been discussed before, that was not the case. I am sure Roy and Mewtwo were cut for different reasons, too.
To be clear, I didn't say that Ring Fit Trainee would actually replace Wii Fit Trainer. In fact if we did get Trainee and not Trainer, I'd go as far as to wager it wouldn't be for any particular reason.
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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People like to compare "similarish" characters and use that as a reason. When it's not related at all. Only Toon Link replaced Young Link, while the rest were completely unrelated. Ike was a new popular Lord. Roy was meant to come back, but outprioritized by newcomers in general. Same with Mewtwo. And Dr. Mario. Yes, Ike's moveset does feel like it molds after Roy(when they share barely any moves), same with Mewtwo and Lucario(their theme of energy strikes makes them a tad more similar than Roy and Ike, but that doesn't actually mean anything).

Wii Fit Trainer and Ring Fit Trainer are extremely different characters with only so much as a loose genre of similarity. The comparison never made any real sense. Ring Fit Trainer is in a good position to be added. Wii Fit Trainer is not a likely cut for the sake of it.
Yeah, no where in Brawl's files was Young Link indicated to come back, was he?

But yeah, even aside from Young Link and Toon Link, I don't think fans realize how replacing really works in Smash Bros. I mean, that is why I think personally that Sakurai's way of cutting characters is not in line with the fans. I mean characters have different reasons for cuts, and it is not always in terms of replacing like with Young Link and Toon Link. I don't think that Sakurai makes those kind of cuts that easily, and while I could be wrong, I don't think fans are always right on the reasons as to why characters are cut or assumed to be replaced.

.....Did I unintentionally start this character cutting discussion again a page back, or on this page, whatever?
 

Laniv

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Pichu, Young Link, Dr. Mario, Roy, Corrin, Piranha Plant, Incineroar and Sepiroth are my main cut guesses/predictions.
If development time problems arise then i think Wii Fit Trainer, Squirtle, Yvsaur, Lucas, Min Min, Bowser Jr and Palutena could also be in consideration for cut.
Not Sora? I like him and all, but he feels like a "we couldn't get him" like Snake in Smash 4
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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To be clear, I didn't say that Ring Fit Trainee would actually replace Wii Fit Trainer. In fact if we did get Trainee and not Trainer, I'd go as far as to wager it wouldn't be for any particular reason.
True, but I honestly was not talking about you, or not just you, either way. I was talking about the fans that you probably mentioned who said things like that.

Anyhow, an observation I made: With what Verde Coeden Scalesworth Verde Coeden Scalesworth said about Young Link, who was not in Brawl's files, Mewtwo and Roy were, so if they were truly replaced by Ike and Lucario, they would not have been planned in the game and be planned to be playable before being cut. Their being "replaced" was more coincidence based if anything, if you know what I mean.
 

SMAASH! Puppy

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Yeah, no where in Brawl's files was Young Link indicated to come back, was he?
IIRC Young Link, Jigglypuff, and (probably) Pichu were the only veterans not on the initial project plan. Young Link was the only replaced character to date, Jigglypuff squeaked by due to a delay, and Pichu was (probably) going to be replaced with Plussle and Minun.
 

DarthEnderX

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Unfortunately, if I am reading this right, saying "I want more content" does not equate to saying "It's not gonna happen". Even if we take into account your thing about "Oh yeah, that is probably going to happen" as sarcasm from the hypothetical guy, you did not directly specify who said that. You did not mention or provide a source on who said that, so you did not provide a good example here.
...what?

The circumstances of the Booster Course Pass are entirely unique in a way that can't be justified for Ultimate.

For Ultimate to get anything remotely similar, you need a mobile gacha spin-off.
I see what you're saying...

Smash Bros. Go confirmed!

Well yeah, for starters how is this Lock-On Technology™ supposed to work with people who bought either game on the Eshop?
Digitally.

That is exactly something I have tried to say recently; the binging back all characters over more content thing. I mean, bringing back all characters and adding more new content would be easier said and done, would it?
Not if you did Ulimate Deluxe. The characters are already all back. You can spend all your dev on newcomers and content.

Sakurai straight up threatened NB and said that he wouldn't add Pac-Man at all if he wasn't allowed to use the classic design. I think that he would keep DK's Rare design.
Assuming he doesn't like the new design.

Also, Sakurai can say no to Namco. He can't say no to Nintendo.

I was thinking about Deluxe Mii Costumes the other and I was thinking how much more could they do with them in terms of features. We've seen music as part of DLC, color customization and generally head shapes/bodies that are beyond just helmets/outfits. Would having one unique move/special (that isn't just an aesthetic version of a preexisting Mii fighter attack) be practical or at that point they might as well just be actual fighters?
As long as the move isn't locked to that specific costume, and is instead added to the list of custom moves.
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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IIRC Young Link, Jigglypuff, and (probably) Pichu were the only veterans not on the initial project plan. Young Link was the only replaced character to date, Jigglypuff squeaked by due to a delay, and Pichu was (probably) going to be replaced with Plussle and Minun.
Um, is that Pra_Mai or whatever that name was in the files? Do we have evidence that it was Pulssle and Minun? I ask because I don't think that was them.
 

SubspaceJigglypuff

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Um, is that Pra_Mai or whatever that name was in the files? Do we have evidence that it was Pulssle and Minun? I ask because I don't think that was them.
We have no hard evidence, it's just a common assumption. We'll probably never know who he/she/they were.

Personally I believe it, but y'know, just a guess.
 
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Watuna4343

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That doesn't matter about the Mario franchise... but more importantly, characters aren't there solely to rep an entire era.

But that's the thing with Doctor Mario though. Ease of development is not all that gets a character in, and him being briefly considered for Brawl (and we know he was only briefly considered because out of the trio of him, Mewtwo and Roy, it's him who has the least amount of content, only Mewtwo out of the 3 can be considered to be cut for 'time constraints', the other 2 were simply lower priority with Doctor Mario being the first one left behind and Roy a bit after). After all cloned characters make up the majority of cut characters, so that is another point against his favor + the fact that even if he is easy to develop so are other characters and it's hard to imagine why they'd use resources and time creating Doctor Mario over other cloned characters old and new. Again he's part of a very repped franchise and is an alternate version of an already pre-existing character, even among clones there's no reason to bring him back over others.

And I just don't think you got my point about Sephiroth. Being 3rd party characters already puts them in a prime position to get cut especially since they aren't Sonic, Mega Man or Pac Man. I am not talking about negotiations here, it's simply an issue of priority that comes with being a 3rd party. And DLC is just not an enticing argument, If we get DLC in the next Smash, why have Cloud and Sephiroth be DLC again? Why not have someone else? A point comes where both fans and Nintendo realize that you pay for the same characters over and over again.

Neither is Palutena being important to Kid Icarus a reason for her staying because Kid Icarus is a dormant franchise with no foreseeable future ahead. That it even has 3 reps is already pushing it when franchises like Pikmin and Animal Crossing have less. Add the fact that she is not the most unique addition to the roster and all she has is being a well-liked character created by Sakurai. Again, Sakurai will try to not cut her but if there's so much room for veterans, it will be hard to justify bringing Palutena back over other characters that offer more.

And I did give a reason for the Wii Fit but you kinda didn't get it? That the Wii U was leaving the Wii behind is simply not true. The Wii U era was heavily based on the Wii and heck it leaned specifically on the Wii, everything about the Wii U era (including Smash 4) was a heavy, heavy nod to the Wii. In the Switch era... not at all. There's no comparison on that front. But as I said, it's absolutely not impossible for Wii Fit to return, just that I don't think she'd be that high a priority (not to mention that characters are added to rep an era. That's what the Ice Climbers and Mr. Game & Watch do after all)
 

SMAASH! Puppy

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Um, is that Pra_Mai or whatever that name was in the files? Do we have evidence that it was Pulssle and Minun? I ask because I don't think that was them.
The evidence is that of what we were able to come up with:
  • Pra_Mai are truncated versions of Plussle and Minun's Japanese names.
    • This is inconsistent with how other Pokémon are named in the files and Minun isn't even spelled right.
  • It stands for "every player" which means it's probably the random slot.
    • IIRC the problem with this is that random isn't a slot, and it's kind of a stretch anyway.
  • It stands for "every player" which means it's probably Miis.
    • IIRC, Sakurai said he decided against adding Miis in Brawl because he couldn't see how they'd fight as he did with Pac-Man and Villager. Like the previous conclusion, it's also a pretty big stretch.
Of the options that don't make any sense, I think Plussle and Minun make the most sense.
 

BrawlX10

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Paper Mario wants to put a stop to the cut talk.
Anyways, to change subject, what do you guys think about Paper Mario's chances? Also imagine if we got a pair of scissors as a boss lol.
 

SuperSonicFlyer

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Paper Mario wants to put a stop to the cut talk.
Anyways, to change subject, what do you guys think about Paper Mario's chances? Also imagine if we got a pair of scissors as a boss lol.
First off, sorry about the cuts discussion. It might have been my fault.

Second, I am not sure of the exact percentage, but less than 50 percent.
 

LiveStudioAudience

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Paper Mario wants to put a stop to the cut talk.
Anyways, to change subject, what do you guys think about Paper Mario's chances? Also imagine if we got a pair of scissors as a boss lol.
With Paper Mario I wonder if potential inclusion has gone back and forth because Sakurai and/or Nintendo have debated on how stand out he'd be as a fighter. My honest preference would be his uniqueness coming from partner moves, but I'm also aware that "character/reference pulled out of nowhere for attacks" has become semi-controversial outside characters like Game & Watch, so I'd imagine a PM that leaned closer to Hammer and Jump based offense would be the preferred style for some.
 
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Verde Coeden Scalesworth

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Let's put it this way;

-Ike was added to be a big burly swordsman.
-Roy was added cause it was an easy clone addition from an upcoming game.

-Lucario was added to help promote Gen 4 and because it's a major character from a recent movie. It had timing.
-Mewtwo was added because it's a super popular Pokemon in general(as well as was considered for Smash 64).

-Young Link was added as an easy clone and to be a Child Link.
-Toon Link was added to keep the tradition of the same type of clone(using similar moves) and to be a Child Link. Not coincidentally, he uses Young Link's assets as well.

If Pra_Mai was Plusle & Minun, they would've used Pichu's assets to help create. However, their addition wouldn't be the same reasoning necessarily. While they are a gimmick Pokemon, they wouldn't be able to be the same kind of gimmick nor an actual clone proper due to having two at once. Which doesn't mean they'd be like Ice Climbers either. It's impossible to tell how they'd have played.

Other notes is that Dixie Kong was not made playable because the particular team function Sakurai wanted with Diddy did not work at that time. Or possibly at any other point. Toon Zelda and Toon Sheik are quite obviously clones of the original, but using a Toon concept(especially with Toon Sheik).

But that's the thing with Doctor Mario though. Ease of development is not all that gets a character in, and him being briefly considered for Brawl (and we know he was only briefly considered because out of the trio of him, Mewtwo and Roy, it's him who has the least amount of content, only Mewtwo out of the 3 can be considered to be cut for 'time constraints', the other 2 were simply lower priority with Doctor Mario being the first one left behind and Roy a bit after). After all cloned characters make up the majority of cut characters, so that is another point against his favor + the fact that even if he is easy to develop so are other characters and it's hard to imagine why they'd use resources and time creating Doctor Mario over other cloned characters old and new. Again he's part of a very repped franchise and is an alternate version of an already pre-existing character, even among clones there's no reason to bring him back over others.
Except that's not what happened. Sakurai didn't have development time for 7 planned characters, who were more than briefly considered. Having files in the game meant they were outright planned to be in. That makes a massive difference. Only 4 of those never became playable at any point(Dixie Kong, Toon Zelda, Toon Sheik, and whatever Pra_Mai was).

And I just don't think you got my point about Sephiroth. Being 3rd party characters already puts them in a prime position to get cut especially since they aren't Sonic, Mega Man or Pac Man. I am not talking about negotiations here, it's simply an issue of priority that comes with being a 3rd party. And DLC is just not an enticing argument, If we get DLC in the next Smash, why have Cloud and Sephiroth be DLC again? Why not have someone else? A point comes where both fans and Nintendo realize that you pay for the same characters over and over again.
Did you not read about how Cloud was fairly lucky to even be base at the time? He costs a lot to get. And we got barely any other SE content too. Actually less than last time during 4's DLC period. Combining him with Sephiroth makes a big difference because both companies get more bang for their buck. SE actually does prefer DLC, as we've known for ages.

How is Cloud so easy to keep if Sephiroth is not? They're pretty much in the same boat at this point. Cloud was never easy to keep in the first place. Hell, nobody from SE is in an easy position. Also, that's not how it works. Negotiations are extremely important. If Sakurai can't get them as base, he can't get them as base. If it's DLC or nothing, it'll be nothing until DLC becomes greenlit and he tries negotiations for again(which describes the 3rd Party Mii Costumes super well since they couldn't possibly all be negotiated for Ultimate's base at the same time as 4's DLC. Only a tiny few at most, and considering they aren't in base Ultimate, it's far more likely SE etc. said "Nope" at that time. Spirits obviously they were fine with, but we can clearly tell some stuff they definitely want as DLC-only(as does other companies, though how many isn't that clear. Sega most likely too, considering when Bayonetta was negotiated for. Anybody who was negotiated for among the Mii Costumes that are 3rd party from the Cloud/Corrin/Bayonetta packs would've been possible to be in Smash Ultimate's base but... weren't. Seems like Sakurai couldn't get them, which ties into my point. Clearly he can't get everything for base)).

And I do agree that Sora would be more likely for base too(as another user said). He's actually cheaper due to less total content, and is a massive deal on his own, being the number 1 on the ballot worldwide. He only barely got in due to luck with Sakurai wanting him, but had to actually meet with a person randomly just in time. It was actually a contrived coincidence that got him in. Even then, him being DLC again is also very likely, same with Hero.

Neither is Palutena being important to Kid Icarus a reason for her staying because Kid Icarus is a dormant franchise with no foreseeable future ahead. That it even has 3 reps is already pushing it when franchises like Pikmin and Animal Crossing have less. Add the fact that she is not the most unique addition to the roster and all she has is being a well-liked character created by Sakurai. Again, Sakurai will try to not cut her but if there's so much room for veterans, it will be hard to justify bringing Palutena back over other characters that offer more.
...That applies equally to Pit as well. They're both just as important, so she's not in some special position over him anyway. Honestly, all 3 are in a great position to return.

And I did give a reason for the Wii Fit but you kinda didn't get it? That the Wii U was leaving the Wii behind is simply not true. The Wii U era was heavily based on the Wii and heck it leaned specifically on the Wii, everything about the Wii U era (including Smash 4) was a heavy, heavy nod to the Wii. In the Switch era... not at all. There's no comparison on that front. But as I said, it's absolutely not impossible for Wii Fit to return, just that I don't think she'd be that high a priority (not to mention that characters are added to rep an era. That's what the Ice Climbers and Mr. Game & Watch do after all)
While kind of true for Ice Climbers, it was more about characters who originated from the NES among a list and could be fun to use. The gimmick played a very important role for IC's getting in. And that "era" was never removed either, outside of literally being impossible to return them due to technical limitations. That's a key factor about their exclusion. It wasn't "era-based". Mr. Game & Watch isn't a Retro character. He's a surprise character, which is the same thing as Piranha Plant, Duck Hunt, and R.O.B. Their era wasn't the actual point behind it, though it certainly helped make them popular to some(and was an easy way to group some together, respectively, for the amiibo. However, that's taking advantage of their existence, not related to why they were added either. Funnily enough, no retro rep even if you include others, were ever removed for being irrelevant, so any "console rep" doesn't apply to that justification either).

Either way, Wii Fit Trainer was not added cause it was a Wii Era character. So it still has no relevance to her being possibly excluded. There's nothing being "moved on from". She doesn't need to necessarily have a game to continue being in. Not anymore than various characters do. In fact, the general reason for the "no longer getting games" was in specific context to clone-ish characters who were not the only character in their franchise. Which coincidentally doesn't apply to Dr. Mario since he's been kept relevant throughout the years(besides that, he's still Mario, heh). It's why cuts for "the same character, but different" aren't very common in Smash either. That's not much of a good reason to ever cut someone.
 
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Gorgonzales

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Paper Mario wants to put a stop to the cut talk.
Anyways, to change subject, what do you guys think about Paper Mario's chances? Also imagine if we got a pair of scissors as a boss lol.
I'd like him. He's got some competition though, and honestly I'd rather see Waluigi and Toad before Paper Mario.
 
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