I could def. see some wildcards thrown in there too. Perhaps with further third party collabs a la Mario and Rabbids / Cadence of Hyrule. I'm not counting on them being the main focus at all - but I wouldn't be surprised if another game or two turned out to be such a collaboration. Keep a keen eye on Tencent here: they've publicly announced their intent to develop console games starring Nintendo characters. Specifically for US / EU audiences at that* (although those plans are subject to Nintendo approving or not - Nintendo holds the cards here and are likely to keep a tight leash on any such projects**). It's worth noting that their main mobile devs TiMi are already developing a mobile Pokemon game.Hey! You can be close to your future father in law!
Yeah, it's almost eerily quiet from Nintendo right now. Obviously, we're coming off an absolutely insane year for Nintendo that is easily one of their best of all time. Seriously, 2019 was probably better than 2017 in my eyes, which I never expected coming off of how good a year that was. 2017 had Breath of the Wild, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Splatoon 2, Super Mario Odyssey, and Xenoblade Chronicles 2... but then 2019 had amazing Smash DLC characters, Super Mario Maker 2, Fire Emblem Three Houses, Astral Chain, Link's Awakening, Luigi's Mansion 3, and Pokemon Sword and Shield (I'm having a blast with them, so, they're definitely a big deal for me). It just feels like Nintendo might need another breather year in the same way 2018 was...
But still, there have to be some more surprises and there are still a handful of obvious ports Nintendo could make such as Pikmin 3 or Super Mario 3D World to fill out the year. And there are still some looming projects like No More Heroes III, Shin Megami Tensei V, Bayonetta 3, and Breath of the Wild 2 that could easily show up. It's also worth pointing out that the last time we went into a year knowing very little about what was coming (2018) we got a Mini Direct in January and a general Direct in March that did a lot of work, so there's some degree of precedent for announcements early in the year from Nintendo when there is otherwise little known about their release schedule. That said, I just don't know how much Nintendo could realistically have left at this point when they've had so many incredible releases back to back and I'm struggling to come up with studios of theirs that would be in a good place to release a new project or content...
And if I may veer into full third party: Another project of interest would be League of Legends: Wild Rift (Mobile / Console version of LoL, natch. Target date 2020). And with Wild Rift's job listing mentioning the Switch, it's very likely going to be a major title.
Also, would count visual novels as being a major factor here. And not just because of the genre's presence in multiple regions, but also since Nintendo's allowing ports of them en masse. Problem is, there's a real lack of a headliner in that category AFAIK. If (and I do mean If) Capcom's working on a new Phoenix Wright / Ace Attorney game that could be a strong title for 2020. AFAIK the series hasn't touched the Switch just yet, so could see that. But again, keyword's if - there's no guarantee it'll happen.
As for Nintendo themselves... yeah I've got nothin' aside from what you said. Metroid Prime 4 looks to be further down the line, whether a Odyssey 2 happens soon is kinda up in the air it seems.
*(Tencent wanting to expand into consoles and US / EU is probably them no longer being able to coast on just China / studios they own - long story there, involving a massive scandal. And the move doesn't exactly signal strength on their end. Not when Tencent said in the same article that they want to learn how to make console games. Also, that article has #QouteOfTheYear:
"Nintendo games are not constructed to make people pay a lot of money" [EDIT: I have literally no comment on this. The comment baffles me even now, one month after first reading it.])
**(I'm fully aware that Ninty's mobile offerings are a lot more microtransacation-y, but as you've said, luckily Nintendo treats mobile more as its own thing and doesn't let the consoles veer the same way for the most part.)
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