Twitchybanana
Smash Cadet
- Joined
- Oct 17, 2015
- Messages
- 70
Wow a lot happened over night. I'll address everything on this page, then continue my reread.
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I was tunneling Polish hard yesterday, leading me to ignore mist's scumminess. I thought about it, realized I was incorrect, and changed my read. That should be commonplace in mafia. It just sort of... came to me.That's all it took? Also, I'm not sure what detail would show your change, since that happened after the day started. You had a town read on him from the beginning of the day, which doesn't make sense without some *spark*. Have you ever given a read or mentioned Morosemist yesterday at all?
...Here he states that Morose is missing Twitch's point, which should show that he wants people to be convinced of his 'case' on Polish. Yet that's the last you hear of him talking to others about it. This feels more like a feint, to seem like he is irritated and urging others to follow through, but never does.
I'm not going to speak in absolutes when not appropriate. Ran's vote on Polish was a bad vote in a worse post, considering the circumstances. The formally null player doing something a tad scummy makes me more ok with lynching him. Perfectly reasonable, wouldn't you say?He is keeping his options open by saying that Ran made it easier for him to swallow a policy lynch of him. Yet still arguing against it. Not keeping a hard stance.
...This comes out of left field. Never did he have an interaction that may make him change his mind, and never did he say anything to that liking. This is the most damning piece of evidence against him. This is the epitome of faking.
Likely-Ish? 60-80%? If you flip scum I'll gloat a bit, before re-reading and analyzing your interactions. If you flip town I'll be salty for a bit, before re-reading and analyzing your interactions and defending myself against the inevitable sea of votes aimed at me.
(This discussion is helping your rep in my book, for the record.)
The deadline is fast approaching and I don't want a mislynch. If anyone thinks I'm wrong and can prove it, please speak now. There are 4 people viewing the thread. If any of those wonderful individuals can show me a fallacy I've made, I will change my vote accordingly. I'm admittedly tunneling a bit, and I don't want the confirmation bias that comes with it to cloud my vision.
Except I have stated I have hard reads. Furthermore, even if I didn't, it wouldn't be a real point against me. I'm not going to go around saying [player] is mod confirmed obviscum, unless my read is really that hard. I'm showing my thought process, instead of dealing in absolutes. Only the Sith do that.Here, he states he strongly dislikes my conclusions, without having no strong conclusions himself. This is really an odd thing to say, unless you already have a differing opinion. He never intended to genuinely push Polish.
lelSecondly, he states I am Null town, or may be clever scum. I feel this is scum who is threatened by my presence, and has to add that to seed doubt on my slot.
It's almost as if I only completely trust myself and my own reads in a mafia game! How unheard of!He says this because he simply disagrees with me. He states that as if he is the one who has good reads above all...
I'd rather go places in life than be prompt in a mafia game. Besides, I delivered the reread.
You're suffering from confirmation bias, friend. For this to be a valid argument, we must work from the assumption that myself and Polish are the scum team.Here, Polish makes his move, on Morosemist. He also gives a reads list above, and changes his read on me from nulltown to town, without any note in between. Odd to make that jump so suddenly, as if to appease me.
#239
Twitch finally comes back, and follows through. It reeks of waiting for Polish to make a move so he can 1+ him. Never did he build up to this, and never did he even try to read or interact with Morosemist.
...This is all it took to convince him to do a 180 on Polish. There was no interaction, and no show of him changing his mind in thread. As you can see in his argument against him, he does not talk about that again. What makes his original argument invalid, now that he sees him as town? Well, you can be sure he did not think of that, since he isn't thinking about it. He dropped it and gave Polish his full support for no rational reason.
Likely-Ish? 60-80%? If you flip scum I'll gloat a bit, before re-reading and analyzing your interactions. If you flip town I'll be salty for a bit, before re-reading and analyzing your interactions and defending myself against the inevitable sea of votes aimed at me.
(This discussion is helping your rep in my book, for the record.)
Corps, this is a really bad post/push. I'm going to continue reading, but that was scummy as all hell.The deadline is fast approaching and I don't want a mislynch. If anyone thinks I'm wrong and can prove it, please speak now. There are 4 people viewing the thread. If any of those wonderful individuals can show me a fallacy I've made, I will change my vote accordingly. I'm admittedly tunneling a bit, and I don't want the confirmation bias that comes with it to cloud my vision.
No. He has explained why he sees it as scummy. His reasoning, while flawed, has been sufficiently communicated.We have already explained that stating mafia could not determine whether or not he was VT is not providing reasonable doubt for his claim. You chose to ignore it. Likewise, I am confused why you intended to dissect the claim. It is a Vanilla Town claim, the most basic role in existence. There is no specific deciphering of this role, merely whether or not you believe the player making the claim is town. It is the role equivalent of saying, "I am town, don't lynch me." Your intention to decipher it makes you seem far more focused on roles and less on the alignment of the players behind it. As a result, I would like to see more about the intentions behind the action. I will not accept any defaulting to "this is scummy because I say so." You have failed in explaining why.
I explained this in my big post. Please, read the thread.Here, we have a similar read change that had no impetus to cause him to change. (None that I remember seeing)
Yes, my opinions changed upon reread/reconsideration.Yeah, I can see where you're coming from. It just is a little much, and selectively so.
The underlined here are exact opposites of the opinions Twitchy claimed to have at the time of the events in each case just a few pages ago in D1, and arguably each is an outright defense of the slot. Enough of an extreme switch that I'd actually consider maybe something happened in the night if it weren't for the existence of this quote:
making that seem less plausible.
Either way, something here is wrong and needs to be addressed either in Twitchy's own play or those around him, so I'll help you try and solve it.
Vote: TwitchyBanana
No, I don't think it's likely.Do you still stand by this theory, or do you no longer think it is likely?
Considering he failed to visit the thread at all after this, what part of his content seemed null?Ran did a random vote post-RVS to prevent himself from being modkilled or replaced, left for another couple days, seemed miffed that nobody was defending his slot when he got back, kneejerked Polish for a completely garbage reason, implied a scumteam between Polish and Aquarious (without giving a reason), said Pro and BarMaven were fine (without giving a reason), and ignored my questioning of his post afterwards. I think he's the scummiest at this point. Who do you think we should lynch, Twitchy?
I do not believe the underlined. It would be more believable if you gave a read on Morosemist, which you never cared to do.I was tunneling Polish hard yesterday, leading me to ignore mist's scumminess. I thought about it, realized I was incorrect, and changed my read. That should be commonplace in mafia. It just sort of... came to me.
You never followed up with Morosemist about him commenting on your case. If you really cared you'd ask him to do so the next time.I pushed Polish's lynch hard the entire day. What are you talking about?
The fact remains that you were keeping your options open.I'm not going to speak in absolutes when not appropriate. Ran's vote on Polish was a bad vote in a worse post, considering the circumstances. The formally null player doing something a tad scummy makes me more ok with lynching him. Perfectly reasonable, wouldn't you say?
If you had hard reads you would have pushed Morosemist from the start, yet you had to re-read to be able to do it. I asked you who you'd want to push and you didn't have an answer until re-reading. Not even a gut read.Except I have stated I have hard reads.
This would make sense if you had reads in the beginning to show, which you didn't have. You had to re-read to get your scumread on Morose, you didn't have it before that point, which still makes your strong disagreement with me odd.It's almost as if I only completely trust myself and my own reads in a mafia game! How unheard of!
I go places too. It doesn't invalidate that you had been stalling to delay content.I'd rather go places in life than be prompt in a mafia game. Besides, I delivered the reread.
1. You stalled.You're suffering from confirmation bias, friend. For this to be a valid argument, we must work from the assumption that myself and Polish are the scum team.
This post shows you were feeling Morosemist was genuine yet you still vote him.I'd already have voted Mist if this post didn't make it frighteningly possible he's just a misguided townie. This seems genuine, but it's also almost completely falsified.
Yet you don't explain why you liked him better D1. The posts you said were townie of Orange started on page 3, before you posted the vote on Polish. Doesn't make sense for you to not comment on it and then only state it's townie in a second glance on Day 2.I explained this in my big post. Please, read the thread.
Elaborate.No, I don't think it's likely.
You never followed up with Morosemist about him commenting on your case. If you really cared you'd ask him to do so the next time.
You mean this? I didn't directly apply to it because this sentiment was covered in later posts.I was addressing Aquariusboy, not you, with respect to Polishnapkin.
I will address your argument though. I have to look it over, but my initial impression was not to think it was scum team play setting up for thread control. I don't think it's impossible though, but it's very risky considering there is probably only 2 scum in a 9 man game. I don't really see it happening no matter how confident they might think they are in their own play. I am confused as to why you think they are paired at the moment. Also, the Orange half seemed a bit more invested in trying to figure out who Polishnapkin is and it seemed all wrong if it was meant to be a power play
Believe what you want.I do not believe the underlined. It would be more believable if you gave a read on Morosemist, which you never cared to do.
...Sure, because I wasn't entirely sure of myself.The fact remains that you were keeping your options open.
Right. Because unlike some people, I make my pushes based off of information and analysis I attain through reading.you had hard reads you would have pushed Morosemist from the start, yet you had to re-read to be able to do it. I asked you who you'd want to push and you didn't have an answer until re-reading. Not even a gut read.
The strong disagreement I was referring to was with aqua and polish.This would make sense if you had reads in the beginning to show, which you didn't have. You had to re-read to get your scumread on Morose, you didn't have it before that point, which still makes your strong disagreement with me odd.
You assume mal-intent to prove mal-intent.I go places too. It doesn't invalidate that you had been stalling to delay content.
1. "Stalling" assumes mal-intent.1. You stalled.
2. You never interacted with Morosemist or tried to develop a read on him before.
3. You vote him, a post after Polish. (Which can be shown to be sheeping)
4. You change your read on me from nulltown to town without a reason to note that change.
I voted him because the rather objective scumminess outweighs my paranoia.This post shows you were feeling Morosemist was genuine yet you still vote him.
This is also wishy washy.
Again, my reads changed upon reread. It's not a difficult concept to grasp, Phoenix.Yet you don't explain why you liked him better D1. The posts you said were townie of Orange started on page 3, before you posted the vote on Polish. Doesn't make sense for you to not comment on it and then only state it's townie in a second glance on Day 2.
The arguments have already been hashed out. I'm not going to spend 30 minutes writing a wall that wouldn't contain anything new. The information is there for you, in the thread.Elaborate.
You don't need to. You can just summarize it into 1-2 sentences. If you can't it shows you are faking it. Explain it now.The arguments have already been hashed out. I'm not going to spend 30 minutes writing a wall that wouldn't contain anything new. The information is there for you, in the thread.
I still think policy lynches are bad. However, I realized that promoting bad policy does not automatically make you scummy. Further, I believe that Polish's willingness to actually communicate with me about it shows town intent. Finally, I think it's a fair wager that I was biased against polish because I dislike/d his leviathan bull****. I thought about all of this during the three IRL day night.You don't need to. You can just summarize it into 1-2 sentences. If you can't it shows you are faking it. Explain it now.
If you are cop, why make such an obvious read change here?@Polishnapkin I don't intend to push your slot toDay, and hopefully we can work together.
Why not mist? Weren't you ready to lynch him a few posts ago?I am not role cop. Everyone else should respond if they are or are not role cop.
Also, I do not understand how a role cop can get an alignment... You'd find out his role, not his alignment. Please clarify.
If you are truly role cop, I'd look into Orange/Barman, who have said the least, or haven't even been around.
When did I say this?Why not mist? Weren't you ready to lynch him a few posts ago?
Is this all still true, or a lie to hide behind your result? Just wondering.I still think policy lynches are bad. However, I realized that promoting bad policy does not automatically make you scummy. Further, I believe that Polish's willingness to actually communicate with me about it shows town intent. Finally, I think it's a fair wager that I was biased against polish because I dislike/d his leviathan bull****. I thought about all of this during the three IRL day night.
On mobile rn. Let me just answer the first question until i can get the quote. I claimed early because I think the risk vs reward makes sense. I get NK'd tonight in exchange forIf a player is a godfather you'd get a vt result. I still think that is a bit risky to open with as a cop.
Why did you claim early?
When did I say this?
Here, he states this. For one thing, I don't know why this would be the case. Plus, a PR might not actually commit risky moves like that, so I don't think this would be the case. Occam's Razor.2. Mafia can't know if I'm really a vanilla townie or a PR whose just claiming to be one, therefore this discussion can't really narrow anything down
Here too. It would actually be better to run with the claim a little bit longer, so implying he may or may not be VT shows he may prefer less backlash. This shows a survival mindset.Like, you claim VT to get us out of RVS, then say that Mafia can't know if you're really VT. You're implying here that you might actually not be VT and that your claim is suspect. There is literally no further point in discussing the prospects of whether or not you are VT at this juncture.
The red is the important factor here that everyone seems to be missing. He may spark discussion, but the fact remains he may had done so to look pro-town, while helping town at the same time. By itself it would be little, but alongside a lackluster play it would make sense.No, he obviously did not hurt Town, you buffoon. I am displaying how he did not follow through with his intent. Ergo, he is scummy, because now it's a question of whether or not he was simply trying to look like he was doing something pro-town.
If you haven't noticed, the only discussion that has occurred is whether or not he is scummy for backtracking on his claim, not the initial claim to begin with. I figured a clever banana such as yourself would have noticed that by now.
The discussion is only a side effect of his actions. It worked but it doesn't change his original intention.I would agree with you, except he claimed to do it to generate discussion: which is currently working.
I'll simply re-post what I said earlier:I'm a bit suspicious of Protateus since he's frantically throwing shade on literally every slot that has posted thus far. Some of the pressure just doesn't make sense (like Barman "not calling me out" where the only thing I did at the point of his last post was a random vote).
Wait, this makes me think he was on edge thinking Polish copped him. The underlined seems suspicious, trying to pin doubt on Polish's claim. Orange, can you explain Polish being 'any faction' by the way it is worded?What do you mean "true name"? Is that our true identity, or our role? In either scenario, I would ask of you the same question that you have asked me. If you get my identity correct, that means you have already claimed and that claim has been confirmed, which could possibly put you in the hot seat for the rest of the game. If you can correctly guess the name of my role, that confirms you as the cop and you more will likely be the target of NKs. If the true name is my true identity, that would confirm your role but we still couldn't be sure if the role is town (the way it's worded, it seems the Leviathan could be any faction).
Either way, I have nothing to hide. I will allow you to decide.
Possibly because he knows he can't be screwed over, because he is scum. I ask you to re-visit this line of thinking.Even if there isn't a negative aspect of remaining hidden, we can't be sure, so we may as well stay hidden while we are at it. To that end, I am not sure why Orange is so confident that he won't be screwed over by the mechanics of the game.
Good post.You,. my Illuminated Illuminati have impossibly intruded upon an intellectual point I was intent on making. Here stands Orange, incoherent and an impostor to our band of illustrious townies. For his intelligence to jump to such an in depth and intrinsically interesting assumption that his role had been imparted upon by the ever impractical Leviathon, or even to think that Ingenuity had struck that self same man, to worry about his influence and appearance to the point of thinking Leviathon knew of his illegitimacy and be worried about it, certainly implies he has something worth hiding
Both good posts. Underlined, I agree that it seems like he reacted in a way that shows he has something to hide, and that he shouldn't care about it if he's town. Instead of trying to observe Polish, Orange instead was seeding doubt into him "If you truly know my true name, we can't be sure if your role is town." (That is a paraphrase) Yet, what is that supposed to mean? Only in the case if the person has a result on him, he might not be sure Polish is town or not? He is reacting when Polish had yet to give a result.Also, i agree with your point on Orange, looked like light fishing and a bit of a backhanded threat to Leviathan about revealing his role, also his reaction made it seem like his role was something he didn't want to have revealed and if he's town he really shouldn't care if leviathans gonna oust that he's town. He can argue it'd be dumb, which it would be, but he still at the end of the day shouldn't care
The wishy washiness I have spoken about. He agrees that Barman is scummy, yet never touches him. Here is also the weird logic that he uses to stay off Maven. He states that if there may be a myslynch, that he'd go towards Barman. Yet, Ran was myslynched. How could he have known? He has a iffy response to me stating this. (Which I ask about again below)I tend to agree with this. Mavman seems a tad scummy, but I'm not willing to go as far as to lynch him off of it yet unless there is about to be a mislynch. In addition, if anyone votes for him at this point, he'll be at L-1 with 2 days to go in the phase; if he's town, scum could take advantage of that and get an easy mislynch. Then, the hammerman would state that they killed him to "advance a slowly-moving game" and they "thought he was scummy" (probably just reciting Moro's reasoning instead of using their own) to get off scot-free.
On the other hand, Ranivorous has been in-thread literally one time since the game started, put in a random vote (as we were exiting RVS and had content to make a more informed vote upon), and went right back into his hole. He has had almost a full 24 hours to respond to Aquarius, and yet has failed to do so. He's not the only one who has completely and utterly failed at being active in this game, but he's definitely the worst offender. As we get further into the game, an inactive and uninformed slot will hurt us a LOT as he could be easily manipulated and will slow down conversation more than it has already slowed.
I'm going to Vote: @Ranivorousbeast until he actually gets his butt in here and does something.
1. There is no 'wifom' that will stop people from guessing a person is lying about their role or not. It's the same as any standard game. If this were true, no one would know to consider a town cop claim to be genuine or not. Why would Twitchy consider that he may be night killed if 'scum might not know if he's a pr or not'. Frankly, Maven's claim that scum won't know is bull****. Orange stating he believes this, is bull, especially after one post.1. I went back to re-read (shortest D1 re-read of my life lol) and realized that I misunderstood the situation. Upon the re-read, I saw that you claimed VT, then immediately after, you said that there was literally no way to know if you were actually VT. This created a WIFOM that would have never created conversation in a normal game of Mafia and would have been called out as a garbage play, but instead, it created a grand total of a page and a half of content over the past 4 days (as opposed to the page and a quarter over the first 3 days).
2. That in of itself isn't scummy, but intentionally trying to make yourself look better for the rest of the thread could have more scummy intent behind it than townie intent. This isn't a point anymore, though, because you have kept your claim for VT despite pressure.
3. I completely agree. Neatness and thought collection isn't exactly great on 1% battery on Mobile Firefox SWF. I usually use Chrome as my main browser, but that has my main account logged in right now, so whatever.
More wishy washiness. He states a barman flip may be valuable, yet never comes back to this.With that said, Mavman is still providing decently useful content and I really don't want to lynch off of only 4 pages of a game and non-decisive evidence. I think that we should go for Raniverous so that we have more time to get stronger reads, but then again, a Barman flip could give us valuable info to actually start conversation.
At this point, he is unsure besides Ran. That's it.Quite honestly, I don't feel very comfortable with anyone being lynched off of 4 pages of content other than Ran based on level of commitment and generally bad play. Ran did a random vote post-RVS to prevent himself from being modkilled or replaced, left for another couple days, seemed miffed that nobody was defending his slot when he got back, kneejerked Polish for a completely garbage reason, implied a scumteam between Polish and Aquarious (without giving a reason), said Pro and BarMaven were fine (without giving a reason), and ignored my questioning of his post afterwards. I think he's the scummiest at this point. Who do you think we should lynch, Twitchy?
Still unsure. He never really gets an answer.I'm not sure right now. I was planning on perusing Pro today, but that's obviously not an option. I'll have an answer when I have enough of a workload break to do a re-read.
Starts off with a good read and reaction after Orange responds to Polish 'knowing his name'. He doesn't do much with it later on though. Never really conversed much with Prota about it, and never really explained why he was 'cool' with Orange later on in the day. Has he forgotten this due to having to defend his claim for a good chunk of time? Wait...Or did this guy really just think he got outed as mafia already? Why would he assume the other role was a cop and immediately think the Leviathan stuff was real and relating to it?
I have a theory, that Barman claimed (a very risky move) to distract from discussion between Polish and Orange. Orange agrees that Barman's move successfully changed the topic from Polish v Orange to "To be VT or not VT; that is the question." I would guess that if a scumpartner has witnessed his partner react to a guilty gambit, he'd do whatever he can to salvage the situation. This is what I think happened here. I have evidence to support his push on Orange is not genuine as well.I'm really not ok with the way this game has been going, first I really doubt that's Leviathan and more then that who cares?
The anonymity looks like it's going to really hurt RVS so I'm going to roleclaim. I'm Vanilla townie
This seems pretty weak. It seems like Barman had something at the start, and made sense. Protateus also made alot of sense, yet Barman never conversed with him further about that, only asking him to clarify his Vendetta speaking tendencies. Instead, he focues on defending himself, and not much more. He does like Barman's post talking about Orange hiding something.Don't like how wishy washy the post ended up, but with deadline 14 hours away I'm forced to agree to lynching Raniverous. There's not really another option, hopefully converstion will really pick up day 2.
Vote: Raniverous
It seems odd for Barman to be alright with Orange after having a 'useful avenue' to push, which he hadn't really pushed.We cool
I agree that Ran needs to get lynched today, I don't think anyone has done anything scummy enough to override someone not posting at all
I think he argues this to convince Twitch to lynch Ran. Scum want a mislynch, and the town is pretty lazy, so they have to work hard to achieve it. I feel this is the most effort I have seen Barman pull to achieve something, which came to a myslynch.With just that, the only thing left would be a no lynch (horrible), or we lynch someone who hasn't posted a thing. The later gives us some information, and with nothing scummy being done it's the best option.
I think anyone would have suggested a policy lynch at this point, and I don't think we should jump on Polish for being the one to do so. If it wasn't him it'd be someone else.
More of the same thing.Problem is that it is between lynching him or a mislynch. There's not another option. You're suggesting we lynch the person who suggested that, but that's something anyone would suggest. Pretend no one said that. Who would you want lynched in that scenario?
It was un-prompted, if he was townie. This is different because it seems like he's doing so to distract from the 'meaningless discussion' happening on page 2. Also because of my theory I have explained in the Barman spoiler.How is this different from any other time any player has claimed VT in all other mafia games?
I want to address this post for Twitchy. His point wasn't that the vague vt claim didn't actually create discussion. The point was regardless of the positive of his action, his intent was to post that claim to appear pro-town while creating discussion as a side-effect. (Yet I have a different idea of why he did it, please read the Barman spoiler to find out what it is)Vote: BarmanUK
I don't like that he claimed to be VT under the pretenses of 'trying to start discussion', then claimed that he 'may not actually be VT and was trying to cause more wifom for scum.' He didn't accomplish much with this approach and ultimately fell flat on his face when asked why he did it. The attempt seems not so genuine since there was no follow-through.
I think you are very wrong. Even I can be wrong (and just was), and I do not fault you or Twitchy for it. I think Orange's 'townieness' has sunk as his post count did. He hasn't been as present as he was earlier game. He also has no direction today, and when he did post, he was posting a re-read, and never quick comments on current events. I implore you to re-consider, look at my case on him.I also do not buy any Orange angles that exist or hold over from the previous phase: I still believe he is one of the towniest slots alive. I cited his post count being the highest in the game and that he has not shied away from addressing major points yesterday; that still rings true. I also want to note that on two seperate occasions, he realized that the angle he was attacking was wrong and left it alone instantly. This occurred both on page 2 when he attacked my claims of being Leviathan as well as Page 4 when he realized the bartender lynch was rather weak and dropped that as well. I also do not believe that a member of the mafioso makes this claim:
Lastly, I still stand by my claims that the Bartender is likely town due to the unlikeliness that mafia would claim VT on D1 to get the game going. That said, I am not personally fond of his attachment to the armchair and I would prefer for him to become more involved in the game as of now. His inertia may simply be a product of the lack of effort exerted by the rest of the game but that is only an assumption I can make, not necessarily fact.
I dislike this argument. It's scummy, but only if you're really looking to find something scummy. It's odd, I suppose, but not of much significance imo.I'll simply re-post what I said earlier:
Orange has misrepped Prota in the beginning, instead of observing his actions in a natural manner. I would expect a townie to react to things naturally, but instead he just stated "RVS is slow..." when he could have talked about prota.
Again, this could be looked at as scummy, but it's not much. It's not a good argument to lynch someone on.Wait, this makes me think he was on edge thinking Polish copped him. The underlined seems suspicious, trying to pin doubt on Polish's claim. Orange, can you explain Polish being 'any faction' by the way it is worded?
How would being scum make him know that? Unless scum are fully informed of the intricacies of the games' mechanics, scum would be in the same boat.Possibly because he knows he can't be screwed over, because he is scum. I ask you to re-visit this line of thinking.
Mmmmm. We all have something to hide -- our true identities and roles. Not inherently scummy.Good post.
Bad argument. Regardless of role and alignment, we don't want our information revealed. Regarding the doubt-seed thing this is, again, confirmation bias. Yes you could argue it's planting a seed of doubt, but the doubt-planting statement is objectively correct, and thus a not inherently scummy point to make.Both good posts. Underlined, I agree that it seems like he reacted in a way that shows he has something to hide, and that he shouldn't care about it if he's town. Instead of trying to observe Polish, Orange instead was seeding doubt into him "If you truly know my true name, we can't be sure if your role is town." (That is a paraphrase) Yet, what is that supposed to mean? Only in the case if the person has a result on him, he might not be sure Polish is town or not? He is reacting when Polish had yet to give a result.
Wishy-washiness, or a townie being unsure of his reads because of inactivity. Again, for your argument to make any sense, you have to assume orange is up to no good.The wishy washiness I have spoken about. He agrees that Barman is scummy, yet never touches him. Here is also the weird logic that he uses to stay off Maven. He states that if there may be a myslynch, that he'd go towards Barman. Yet, Ran was myslynched. How could he have known? He has a iffy response to me stating this. (Which I ask about again below)
1. Fair enough.1. There is no 'wifom' that will stop people from guessing a person is lying about their role or not. It's the same as any standard game. If this were true, no one would know to consider a town cop claim to be genuine or not. Why would Twitchy consider that he may be night killed if 'scum might not know if he's a pr or not'. Frankly, Maven's claim that scum won't know is bull****. Orange stating he believes this, is bull, especially after one post.
2. He backpedals immediately. He doesn't try to run with it long either. His change of stance is not believable. It might make sense if it takes a while, but he backs down as if he has no back bone.
3. I do not understand why the underlined would influence his wishy washiness on Barman and Ran. Seems like back talk.
Perhaps, but why would he need to restate it later?More wishy washiness. He states a barman flip may be valuable, yet never comes back to this.
Which is a completely fair and reasonable position based on content up to that point.At this point, he is unsure besides Ran. That's it.
This is all fair.Page 5
#186: Page 5, Orange isn't around as much as he was in page 4. He only replies to respond to Prota stating Orange should be lynched, and throws in an agreement with Polish.
Still unsure. He never really gets an answer.
Page 7
#278: His post seems like a re-read, but doesn't seem like it leads anywhere, no actual conclusion. He also doesn't comment on current events. It's only a re-read. He also re-enforces his Barman townread
This is so... Insubstantial. It's plausible, but it could just be sloppy town (a plight I know all too well) or some other causality. Your theory of mafia teamwork can't be part of the reason you think someone is mafia. You have to scum read them in a vacuum, then look at possible correlation with other players, etc.Starts off with a good read and reaction after Orange responds to Polish 'knowing his name'. He doesn't do much with it later on though. Never really conversed much with Prota about it, and never really explained why he was 'cool' with Orange later on in the day. Has he forgotten this due to having to defend his claim for a good chunk of time? Wait...
I have a theory, that Barman claimed (a very risky move) to distract from discussion between Polish and Orange. Orange agrees that Barman's move successfully changed the topic from Polish v Orange to "To be VT or not VT; that is the question." I would guess that if a scumpartner has witnessed his partner react to a guilty gambit, he'd do whatever he can to salvage the situation. This is what I think happened here. I have evidence to support his push on Orange is not genuine as well.
...I guess this is correct? Technically? All your pushes feel like you're reading too much into human tendencies.This seems pretty weak. It seems like Barman had something at the start, and made sense. Protateus also made alot of sense, yet Barman never conversed with him further about that, only asking him to clarify his Vendetta speaking tendencies. Instead, he focues on defending himself, and not much more. He does like Barman's post talking about Orange hiding something.
He states he feels Orange is being wishy washy there to ease the transition from Orange to Ran, as if to make it genuine, when he hasn't really genuinely pushed it as far as he could, because he had plenty of ammo.
This is a good point, and worth pursuing. However, we can't hold someone accountable for a D1 ML to the point of lynching them, because D1 MLs are things that happen.It seems odd for Barman to be alright with Orange after having a 'useful avenue' to push, which he hadn't really pushed.
#159: Here, he argues that if Polish and himself didn't do anything, there'd be no content to find anyone.
I think he argues this to convince Twitch to lynch Ran. Scum want a mislynch, and the town is pretty lazy, so they have to work hard to achieve it. I feel this is the most effort I have seen Barman pull to achieve something, which came to a myslynch.
Fair enough.I want to address this post for Twitchy. His point wasn't that the vague vt claim didn't actually create discussion. The point was regardless of the positive of his action, his intent was to post that claim to appear pro-town while creating discussion as a side-effect. (Yet I have a different idea of why he did it, please read the Barman spoiler to find out what it is)
I'd have to reread to answer that with any confidence. That said, ANY OTHER lynch REGARDLESS of outcome puts town in a better position than a ran lynch. Pushing a ran lynch is inherently anti-town, if not directly scummy.
Why did you neglect to vote Ran, then? Aquarius finally hammered 4 minutes after the end of the phase.Good *** question. @Ranivorousbeast I'm boutta hammer you if you don't commit to being active. It's better than a no lynch.
That's a bit odd to request replacement, seeing as I don't recall him being one of the most inactive slots in the last phase.Mod: Request replacement on Morosemist, since he outted a while ago, before I was replaced
This is an interesting PoV... I've never considered this before.If you want to claim VT and cause discussion to occur as a result of claiming VT, you don't provide reasonable doubt for the legitimacy of your claim. You sit on the claim and wait for actual discussion to occur. All he accomplished was explaining why what he did was being pro-town while not accomplishing anything with the claim because he immediately provided for reasonable doubt.
No one, as far as I can remember, actually discussed the legitimacy of his claim to any serious degree except for me, because he immediately dismantled the potential for discussion by providing reasonable doubt.
It's like a player who claims a gun, then in the exact next post says he actually might not have a gun, but claimed as such to get discussion going. You're never going to look good for making that kind of play, ever, regardless of what your intentions may have been, but if you're going to make that play, it makes sense to stick to your proverbial guns and wait until actual discussion has occurred before providing reasonable doubt.
I've already explained this concept before, so your confidence is amusing at best.
He's also interacted with Barman, and the reason he hasn't interacted with them much is probably because we have been the main topics of conversation for the game thus far (other than Aqua). You hadn't become the driving force that you are right now.Summary for those who skim:
1. He never interacts with Morose or others, only with Polish, and gives reads on Polish, Orange, and Aqua.
Post # please? I'm just quickly going through this because I only have 10 minutes.2. He keeps his options open on Ran, while arguing against it in the same token.
A re-read, good night's sleep, and re-thinking the slot from a different PoV is enough of a reason.3. His #205 comes out of left field, and 180s on his strong stance of Polish without any notice or good reason.
His opposition of your conclusions is a strong conclusion, plus I could point out a few places where he's stuck his neck out opposing thread sentiment.4. His #210 States he strongly dislikes my conclusions without having any strong conclusions himself.
Haven't seen much stalling from him, but the second point is fair enough.5. Stalls many times, and hides behind Polish's push to support it, and votes Morose. (Who he had not even interacted with to develop a read)
You literally just re-stated two of your points in a sixth point.6. His stalling and weak reasons to support his switch seem like lying, and I can see through it and I think others can too.
By themselves, it is not enough. Yet alongside the rest of his play, it makes sense. He's not even reading. He just replied to my case on you before you claimed cop. That's just redundant. He is sort of present, but not really, as he's only around to 're-read' and never can stay for a conversation. It's taking him until one day before deadline, to actually have a conclusion. That's a bit too long.I was conceding that I was wrong. Also, I came back and re-read after dinner and watching the Peanuts Movie with my family, and I can see where you're coming from.
I actually want you respond to this again. Your first answer wasn't suitable, actually.How can you know 'there is about to be a mislynch' in the first place? Guess what, there was a mislynch in Raniverus, why didn't you move to Barman then?
I don't care what you think is suitable or not, my first answer is true.I actually want you respond to this again. Your first answer wasn't suitable, actually.
Actually, I was genuinely curious about the nature of the claim. "True Name" could refer to our normal accounts or our role IDs, and if I were Mafia, would I have really given Polish the opportunity to reveal my identity? The whole "he may or may not be town" bit was so that people wouldn't auto-confirm him if I corroborated that is ability is real.T Twitchybanana :
Actually, that was my first observation upon replacing. So it's not something I would 'look for', and I think you have agreed with it before. When someone claims 'they know our name' we don't jump to the conclusion that person has a cop result on us. Townies will simply assume just about the name. There is no need to add in the 'he may or may not be town' bit. Only scum will worry about a person having their 'true name' because the person would know he's a mafia whatever. A person would not come out with a result so early unless it was a worth while result. (Not innocent) He did backtrack, (concede) and he admitted here:
I replied to your case on him because I was trying to figure out your reasoning at the time and hadn't gotten to the new part yet. I've been perpetually behind this phase because I've had a APCS Final Project to work on, an APCS Test, a CET quiz, a bunch of CET worksheets, three AP Stats quizzes and a test (all of these things in the space of 3 days), two full-length parades, a friend's birthday party, church, Christmas caroling, and 3-hour marching band practices pretty much every day after school this week. I dunno about you, but I'm pretty happy that I've gotten to read everything up to the last page with the unexpected workload this week/weekend. I'll be reading up so that I don't post uninformed garbage about newer stuff than I have read up on, but if you have any more direct questions for me, I'll be around for a little bit.By themselves, it is not enough. Yet alongside the rest of his play, it makes sense. He's not even reading. He just replied to my case on you before you claimed cop. That's just redundant. He is sort of present, but not really, as he's only around to 're-read' and never can stay for a conversation. It's taking him until one day before deadline, to actually have a conclusion. That's a bit too long.