camo-man
Smash Cadet
*takes stick and prods people*
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camo-man
Smash Cadet
Day 6: Vote Count:
ZMan – 2
Ligolski, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
Way to keep it active!
ZMan – 2
Ligolski, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
Way to keep it active!
fatpower1337
Smash Apprentice
190. when ur prom date wears a pink dress and a crown and u wear a red cap, shirt, and blue overalls.
191. when u see a guy dressed in a turtle costume and try to take their shell and throw it at people.
192. when u take a white or yellow sheet, hit someone with it, and try to turn them completely around.
193. u succeed.
194. u fall off a stage and try to get back on b4 u hit the ground
195. u succeed.
191. when u see a guy dressed in a turtle costume and try to take their shell and throw it at people.
192. when u take a white or yellow sheet, hit someone with it, and try to turn them completely around.
193. u succeed.
194. u fall off a stage and try to get back on b4 u hit the ground
195. u succeed.
DiamondFalcon
Smash Journeyman
We're waiting for you to vote camo-man.
Ok here is frozens list but i have to make a few changes...
Bahamut-??? (talked to ligolski and he said he was town)
ZMan-town (Just cleared)
(deleted ronike already dead and he was town who was said to be town by zman AND me)
Radnortuws-Town (TahjMach)
Lance87- ???
pezaddict-Town(TahjMach)
ixnayonthehombre- ???
Frozenflame751- ??? (talked to ligolski)
Marshigio- ??? (was targeted for a voteblock by agentli/chill, probably town)
ligolski- town (because i know i am town AND I have been targeted like almost every night)
Okurama-???
Ih8jamesbond- town (marshigio)
TahjMach-??? (has claimed, probably town > giving us hints on who is who)
Sinz-???
There are the changes made just compare to the other list to figure out what i changed
Well good job frozen for reminding me/us about these instances and connecting them...I figured he was niave but wasn't positive... unvote: zman
I think we should look into the inactives who were claimed to be town by zman...people like ixnayonthehombre, pezzaddict, ect...
So... vote: ixnayonthehombre And remember about the controversy day 1 we had with him...
sry couple more things to add...
So that leaves 3 people unconfirmed with two mafia dead! that means these have to be the last mafia!!!! So ixnayonthehombre, sinz and okurama must be MAFIA
So lets do this town and win!
If you don't believe these quotes then look at camo-man's openner post and read the night scenes!!!
i wonder if we could mass lynch...??? hehe
This proves lance is town because he was targeted except he got switched...
This proves bahamut town because he was targeted one of the nights but he lived...
And this proves marshigio to be town because he was going to be kidnapped by the mafia but chill died (due to frozenflame/gotmink) before he could do anthing
So that leaves 3 people unconfirmed with two mafia dead! that means these have to be the last mafia!!!! So ixnayonthehombre, sinz and okurama must be MAFIA
So lets do this town and win!
If you don't believe these quotes then look at camo-man's openner post and read the night scenes!!!
i wonder if we could mass lynch...??? hehe
Wow thats some really nice work there ligolski. I'd just like to point out one thing.
In any event, I beleive the three people ligolski has come up with are very strong possibilities. None of them have been particularly active, sinz being the biggest lurker of the three. I'm really quite content with lynching any of them, so I'll go with ligolski on this one and Vote: ixnayonthehombre
Unfortunately, this attempt on Bahamut's life does not clear him. I am very inclined to beleive that this attempt was made as a result of Okurama's abilty which he had revealed earlier.
Notice how he says it has only worked once. Has there ever been an attack like this before? Furthermore, the attack failed, just like Okurama said his ability often does, which is to be expected with only 25% chance of a hit. Also, I'm pretty sure that the mafia is attacking with an axeman, so this attack couldn't have been mafia work.Okurama said:
In any event, I beleive the three people ligolski has come up with are very strong possibilities. None of them have been particularly active, sinz being the biggest lurker of the three. I'm really quite content with lynching any of them, so I'll go with ligolski on this one and Vote: ixnayonthehombre
awesome catch frozen!
okuarma must be town then because his description matches what has actually happenned
therefore bahamut lied to me and he must be mafia along with sinz and ixnayonthehobre
So these must be the last 3 mafia!!!
okuarma must be town then because his description matches what has actually happenned
therefore bahamut lied to me and he must be mafia along with sinz and ixnayonthehobre
So these must be the last 3 mafia!!!
Bahamut and Lance aren't proven town because how do we know they were the first ones targeted? Maybe the roleswitcher wanted one of them died, so switched them out. Either way, I think Lance is town mainly because he's been posting recently.
We might as well try this plan,Vote:Ixnayonthehombre
We might as well try this plan,Vote:Ixnayonthehombre
Okurama
Smash Journeyman
and i though my ability was not worth posting
pretty much i got nothing important to post
, but well if there is nothing else to do i'll.vote: ixnayonthehombre
umm, i wonder what would happend if ixnay is town, should we go and lytch the other dudes or thinked it out.
camo-man
Smash Cadet
Oh.... we're not giving him a chance to defend himself?
camo-man
Smash Cadet
Vote Count:
ZMan – 1
Lance87
Ixnay – 4
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama
It takes 7 to lynch.
ZMan – 1
Lance87
Ixnay – 4
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama
It takes 7 to lynch.
Randall00
Propitious Plumber
Hurt only Jungle Japes.
Pustulio
Smash Ace
Dingleberry
Assume that this drawing were perfect. By that I mean, everything is lined up and all things are centered as they appear.
This is a profile veiw of a school bus. Which way is it driving? (not a trick question, and the answer isn't "neither")
This is a profile veiw of a school bus. Which way is it driving? (not a trick question, and the answer isn't "neither")
cowboyardee
Smash Journeyman
answer to Rye's riddle:
Assuming that's an American school bus, it's going to the left, because otherwise, we'd see the door.
And since it seems people have given up, my answer to my riddle -- the Ken and Isai 4 room problem (remember, I could be wrong):
Doraki was pretty close. Let's label the rooms
43
12
with ken and Isai starting in rooms 1 and 2 respectively.
Isai has no incentive to stay in room 2, so he will wait behind the door to room 3 and leave as soon as the starting light flashes. Ken, having figured this out and having an imperative not to be lapped, will wait on the opposite side of the room from the door to 2 until the light flashes, and then proceed directly into room 2 (he might even open the door to room 3 and close it just to simulate the time taken for Isai to open and close the door).
Isai will keep right on going into room 4 and, knowing that Ken has left room 1 almost immediately, continue into room 1. There he will stop because...
Ken has continued moving right along through rooms 2 and 3 (he will likely walk a circle in room 2 before continuing just to be safe) and move into room 4 where he will stop. Once he is in room 4, he cannot be lapped and his imperative changes to not catching up with Isai. He will wait in room 4 for as long as he can safely estimate that the hour is not up before finally continuing to room 1 and ending in room 2. That is why it is a better riddle if Ken has the watch (which is otherwise a red herring). It takes the guesswork out of Ken's job -- he can wait till 58 minutes are up and then continue. He can still do it without the watch, but he'll have to leave early enough to be safe.
Isai meanwhile has stopped in room 1 and knows that ken will not continue past room 4 for quite some time. Just to be on the safe side, he'll walk around the room a few times, scratch himself a little, yawn, and then continue on to room 2 and finish in room 3 with almost the entire hour to spare.
Assuming that's an American school bus, it's going to the left, because otherwise, we'd see the door.
And since it seems people have given up, my answer to my riddle -- the Ken and Isai 4 room problem (remember, I could be wrong):
Doraki was pretty close. Let's label the rooms
43
12
with ken and Isai starting in rooms 1 and 2 respectively.
Isai has no incentive to stay in room 2, so he will wait behind the door to room 3 and leave as soon as the starting light flashes. Ken, having figured this out and having an imperative not to be lapped, will wait on the opposite side of the room from the door to 2 until the light flashes, and then proceed directly into room 2 (he might even open the door to room 3 and close it just to simulate the time taken for Isai to open and close the door).
Isai will keep right on going into room 4 and, knowing that Ken has left room 1 almost immediately, continue into room 1. There he will stop because...
Ken has continued moving right along through rooms 2 and 3 (he will likely walk a circle in room 2 before continuing just to be safe) and move into room 4 where he will stop. Once he is in room 4, he cannot be lapped and his imperative changes to not catching up with Isai. He will wait in room 4 for as long as he can safely estimate that the hour is not up before finally continuing to room 1 and ending in room 2. That is why it is a better riddle if Ken has the watch (which is otherwise a red herring). It takes the guesswork out of Ken's job -- he can wait till 58 minutes are up and then continue. He can still do it without the watch, but he'll have to leave early enough to be safe.
Isai meanwhile has stopped in room 1 and knows that ken will not continue past room 4 for quite some time. Just to be on the safe side, he'll walk around the room a few times, scratch himself a little, yawn, and then continue on to room 2 and finish in room 3 with almost the entire hour to spare.
cowboyardee
Smash Journeyman
And here's another riddle.
(sorry to double post, but the last one was long enough and this one is unrelated)
You're about to get on a tour bus with 50 seats. There are 49 other passengers and you're the last one in line to get on. Everyone has an assigned seat marked on their ticket, but the first guy in line is drunk, so when he enters the bus, he takes a seat at random. One at a time, everyone else gets on the bus after him, and looks to go to their assigned seat. If their seat is open, they take it, but if their seat is occupied, they take another seat at random. Lucky you, being the last one on.
What are the exact odds of you getting your original assigned seat?
(sorry to double post, but the last one was long enough and this one is unrelated)
You're about to get on a tour bus with 50 seats. There are 49 other passengers and you're the last one in line to get on. Everyone has an assigned seat marked on their ticket, but the first guy in line is drunk, so when he enters the bus, he takes a seat at random. One at a time, everyone else gets on the bus after him, and looks to go to their assigned seat. If their seat is open, they take it, but if their seat is occupied, they take another seat at random. Lucky you, being the last one on.
What are the exact odds of you getting your original assigned seat?
flaco
The Terminator
Assume that this drawing were perfect. By that I mean, everything is lined up and all things are centered as they appear.
This is a profile veiw of a school bus. Which way is it driving? (not a trick question, and the answer isn't "neither")
[/QUOT no where becuase is in a complete stop i think
1:50 because every person before you has the chance to take your seat and including you that's 50.
For Ryu's riddle, I think he is going to the left because the door where people get in are always on the right. Since you can't see that door it must mean that the driver is on the left and if you exclude the possibility for the bus to stand still then he would be driving to the left.
Da Man
Smash Lord
Looks like the game is coming back alive.
Hurt only Vemon
.Hurt only Vemon
Yes the bus is moving left (if it's american). The door is the key.
I have a feeling it'll end up being less than 1:50, but not because it's simple like that.
The drunk guy has a 1:50 chance of stealing your seat, but he has an EQUAL chance that he'll steal his own seat (messing up nothing). He als has a 1 to 50 chance of stealing #2's seat. Then #2 gets ANOTHER chance to steal your seat or even #3's seat which will create ANOTHER opportunity to have your seat stolen. So initially it's 1:50, then if he steals #2's seat it becomes 1:50 + 1:2450 and so on and so forth. You keep adding tiny probabilities that don't affect the probability much lower than 1:50.
So each time that the person steals the NEXT person's seat, it creates a MUCH lower chance of creating a slightly higher chance of success. So maybe it's less than 1:50? maybe like 1:2500 or something much higher.
There becomes a lesser probability that a GREATER probability will happen, which leads me to believe that it might simplify down to something less than 1:50. I forget how to work this with math, but that's how I work it with logic.
like, it's astronomically improbable that 47 people steal each others seats CONSECUTIVELY, but if they do, it'll lead to a GREAT probability (1:1) that the last passenger before you will steal your seat. A 1:1 probability might offset a larger improbability a lot.. im not sure though because I've forgotten how to do this with math
Another scenario I hadn't thought of is what if the drunkard steals #49's seat? that's a 1:100 chance (1:50 he'll steal it and 50% chance that #49 steals your seat)
But that's a sweet riddle. I'd like to hear the answer (or at least the formula) today. It might be 1:50, but that would be boring.
I have a feeling it'll end up being less than 1:50, but not because it's simple like that.
The drunk guy has a 1:50 chance of stealing your seat, but he has an EQUAL chance that he'll steal his own seat (messing up nothing). He als has a 1 to 50 chance of stealing #2's seat. Then #2 gets ANOTHER chance to steal your seat or even #3's seat which will create ANOTHER opportunity to have your seat stolen. So initially it's 1:50, then if he steals #2's seat it becomes 1:50 + 1:2450 and so on and so forth. You keep adding tiny probabilities that don't affect the probability much lower than 1:50.
So each time that the person steals the NEXT person's seat, it creates a MUCH lower chance of creating a slightly higher chance of success. So maybe it's less than 1:50? maybe like 1:2500 or something much higher.
There becomes a lesser probability that a GREATER probability will happen, which leads me to believe that it might simplify down to something less than 1:50. I forget how to work this with math, but that's how I work it with logic.
like, it's astronomically improbable that 47 people steal each others seats CONSECUTIVELY, but if they do, it'll lead to a GREAT probability (1:1) that the last passenger before you will steal your seat. A 1:1 probability might offset a larger improbability a lot.. im not sure though because I've forgotten how to do this with math
Another scenario I hadn't thought of is what if the drunkard steals #49's seat? that's a 1:100 chance (1:50 he'll steal it and 50% chance that #49 steals your seat)
But that's a sweet riddle. I'd like to hear the answer (or at least the formula) today. It might be 1:50, but that would be boring.
Kragen
Smash Ace
man #1 has a 1:49 chance to steal your seat (he can't steal his own)
man #2 has a 1:48 chance to steal your seat (he can't steal his own, #1 has taken 1 seat)
man #3 has a 1:47 chance to steal your seat
....
man #49 has a 1:1 chance to steal your seat.
so 49+48+47....+1= 1225
so a chance of 1:1225
Probably wrong XD
man #2 has a 1:48 chance to steal your seat (he can't steal his own, #1 has taken 1 seat)
man #3 has a 1:47 chance to steal your seat
....
man #49 has a 1:1 chance to steal your seat.
so 49+48+47....+1= 1225
so a chance of 1:1225
Probably wrong XD
...............................................
Lance87
Smash Lord
A lot has happened since I last checked here...
first of all unvote: ZMan
I was targeted by agentli/chill on night 2. That night somebody must have switched me with ZMan to protect ZMan from a mafia kill and have me dead instead.
Anyways, ixnay is a good choice and the (active members) of the town seem to concur.
vote: ixnay
first of all unvote: ZMan
@Marshigio- It says ZMan is picked up and whoever it was (I think it was Agentli/chill because that's what his ability was-a giant wyvern who kidnaps dudes) was looking for me but got ZMan instead because it says "What the?! This isn't Lance87!"
I was targeted by agentli/chill on night 2. That night somebody must have switched me with ZMan to protect ZMan from a mafia kill and have me dead instead.
Anyways, ixnay is a good choice and the (active members) of the town seem to concur.
vote: ixnay
cowboyardee
Smash Journeyman
none of the answers to the tour bus seat riddle as of yet have been correct
I'm gonna give this one some more time to see if anyone can figure it out.
I'm not sure if I can think of any good hints that will help without giving the answer away, but I'll try to think of something if people want.
I'm gonna give this one some more time to see if anyone can figure it out.
I'm not sure if I can think of any good hints that will help without giving the answer away, but I'll try to think of something if people want.
camo-man
Smash Cadet
Ok. Vote: Bahamut
Now it's kirbyphreak's turn. He should be prodding people by now....
Maybe apoint a secondary mod, kirby?
Now it's kirbyphreak's turn. He should be prodding people by now....
Maybe apoint a secondary mod, kirby?
camo-man
Smash Cadet
Vote Count:
Ixnay – 5
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
Ixnay – 5
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
I'm starting to second guess myself about some of ways I thought I proved some of you town..because of something I caught...
Therefor we can not justify someone town using the wyvern...or okurama's tried kill...
This is very interesting because it looks to me as if agentli had his wyvern "kidnap" himself to make him look town but we all know he was mafia
And due to this lance87 can not be confirmed town because of this> because it could be the mafia trying to trick us, kidnapping one of their own again...I believe Bahamut may be town or mafia> not really sure and I just thought of Okurama migt be playing us like a fiddle...and just because he has a killing role and has confessed doesn't make him town; he could still be mafia
Therefor we can not justify someone town using the wyvern...or okurama's tried kill...
camo-man
Smash Cadet
Vote Count:
Ixnay – 5
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
BE ACTIVE!!!!
Ixnay – 5
Ligolski, frozenflame751, Marshigio, Okurama, Lance87
It takes 7 to lynch.
BE ACTIVE!!!!
Lance87
Smash Lord
I didn't even notice that agentli tried to kidnap himself...
Where is tahjmach? Everyone who's active has already voted.
Where is tahjmach? Everyone who's active has already voted.
That's a good point. Just because agnetli tried to kidnap lance doesn't clear him, he could have easily been capturing lance to make him look innocent when they were relaly scumbuddies, just like how he kidnapped himself.
I think we jumped to conclusions a bit to quickly. I think I'll Unvote: ixnayonthehombre for now and think this over a little bit.
I beleive that's a lynch right? Kirby where you at dog? 
gigayoshi
Smash Journeyman
Sorry, I've gotten interested in mario tennis and spend my internet time at neopets. Wait till brawl comes out, then I'll come here more often.
http://www.neopets.com/refer.phtml?username=gigayoshi_2_2_2
EDIT: Nah, just until the Wii comes out.
http://www.neopets.com/refer.phtml?username=gigayoshi_2_2_2
EDIT: Nah, just until the Wii comes out.
Doraki
Smash Lord
1 chance out of 2
when person #x takes is seat, the seats of persons #2 to #x are taken, and also 1 other random seat is occupied among the seats of person #1 and persons from #(x+1) to #50.
So, when you're about to take your seat, the seats #2 to #49 are taken, the 2 seats left are #1 and #50, and 1 of them is occupied at random by someone.
So it's 1/2
when person #x takes is seat, the seats of persons #2 to #x are taken, and also 1 other random seat is occupied among the seats of person #1 and persons from #(x+1) to #50.
So, when you're about to take your seat, the seats #2 to #49 are taken, the 2 seats left are #1 and #50, and 1 of them is occupied at random by someone.
So it's 1/2
kirbyphreak
Smash Apprentice
Bahamut-6 (DiamondFalcon, Ronike, frozenflame751, Kujirudo, Lance87, camo-man)
6 to lynch.
You all decide that Bahamut is the evilest person among you, and promptly smack him with spatulas until his head falls off. After checking his restaurant, you are saddened to see that he was Ming Tree, Message Sender.
It is now Night 3. Get those actions in!
6 to lynch.
You all decide that Bahamut is the evilest person among you, and promptly smack him with spatulas until his head falls off. After checking his restaurant, you are saddened to see that he was Ming Tree, Message Sender.
It is now Night 3. Get those actions in!
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