With Reggie's comments, I can imagine that Chief has a non-zero chance, maybe even a decent one. Obviously Nintendo and Microsoft have to be working together on something. And they said fighters would be unexpected. Steve and Banjo have racked up a ton of popularity and were heavily speculated for the base game, a lot more than Chief (and Doomslayer, for that matter). To be fair, I feel like Chief has great chance as an unexpected pick. Besides, what better way to make fun on Sony again than to put the figurehead of Microsoft in Smash before Crash or Spyro?