Well if it's any consolation, we may know his fate sooner depending on what happens with The Hero's release. If he gets a mini-Direct dropped like Joker did that goes over all of his abilities, stage, and any new features, we may get a batch of Mii fighter costumes with him (Actually, we definitely will get Mii costumes with each character drop, though I don't think they necessarily have to be related to the company releasing the character). August would be the tale end of possibilities, so I think it's possible we may see them sometime next month... But I've been wrong about that before with Joker and having him properly debut much later than I expected. Also, bold of you to assume that I haven't already taking up drinking:
(I actually don't drink much these days, I got most of that out of my system Junior year of College lol).
On another note, this may sound a little bit weird, but today actually quite inspired my faith in Geno having a real shot, but not quite for the same reason as everyone else. Yes, Banjo Kazooie on their own is a win for all the other "irrelevant" characters out there for sure and it shows Nintendo and Sakurai are not going to be absolutely blind to fan desires during this Fighter's Pass. They also showed us that Nintendo and Sakurai are willing to go to larger lengths to make certain characters happen that are desired from the third party perspective (I AM interested to hear what Sakurai comments about Dragon Quest in Smash and if there was a situation like Castlevania where a number of votes showed up across the board for Dragon Quest in general leading to The Hero's development, but we'll have to wait and see and there well may not be).
But it was actually how they handled The Hero that gave me the most hope for Geno. They could have absolutely done the bare minimum for Dragon Quest in Smash and just have gone with Luminary like I was expecting during his reveal trailer. They could have also just given him a single alt in Erdrick and called it a day to represent old and new Dragon Quest. They could have done a number of other moves for his Final Smash. But they didn't. Sakurai decided to include four of the most popular characters across the series as playable alts for one another. He actually seems to have come up with an inspired move set based upon MP that could really make the difference in making the character stand out. Sakurai also made sure The Hero's Final Smash included every single Dragon Quest main hero to date. And finally, he also made one of the most beautifully done trailers in Smash that we've seen so far (That CGI was the badass type everyone wanted from World of Light proper I think, which I have another theory on actually as to why certain decisions may have been made with regards to content in Smash if people are interested, but that's another conversation for another time).
He did all that to please any fan of Dragon Quest he could reach and to try to sale these characters to detractors as well. He gave another series the absolute royal treatment as he has for every third party newcomer in Ultimate, and this time he didn't need to even go half as far as he did. The Hero, Banjo Kazooie, and Joker all feel like gifts given to the fan base with astounding small details and attention paid to them. The Fighter's Pass feels like it's being treated as absolute premium content for the game and made to appeal to a wide variety of players and fans. If he's paying this much attention to a character like The Hero, and he's also paying enough attention to bring us Banjo Kazooie, then I don't think there isn't any way he isn't paying enough attention to try to bring us Geno before Ultimate sees the end of its DLC. Our three current DLC characters all feel like almost feel like Sakurai is going for a big bang finale on his Smash career, much in the same way that base Ultimate was a big bang of its own for the Smash series. If he's going this far with everything, I think there's a real chance he will try to make Geno happen. Maybe not in the Fighter's Pass itself (and maybe this is just part of the bargaining stage, but **** it), but as a standalone character outside of the Fighter's Pass to conclude the legacy of Smash. His final goodbye to the hardcore Smash fans is to return to us a character we said goodbye to 23 years ago. I know I'm not always the most positive on his chances, but there's just something magical about what Smash seems to have accomplished today that makes me feel such positive ideas seem more possible. I'd really love to be right on this, I really would.