Hey, all. I haven't really been keeping up with this thread much as I've been dedicating quite literally all my free time lately to playing Ultimate, and I gotta say it's a blast. Completely blows Smash 4 out of the water in every way, in my book. Whether we get Geno by the end of all this or not, I must say I'm immensely satisfied with the product we got.
I'm not quite sure how we're all feeling regarding Geno's chances, but I'm just gonna throw it out there that even if his chances peaked with the base roster in my eyes, I'm not giving up on Geno until we see that SE rep at the end of the tunnel. A SE character of some kind is all but guaranteed by this point, and the absolute dearth of SMRPG content in the game as is will never not be suspicious to me. That said, if we do get BTFO'd yet again, I'm not sure I'll be able to bring myself to stick around next time. Simply put, the speculation game is a stressful one, what with all these divergent fanbases competing for their chance in the spotlight, and I'm not gonna keep playing much longer, not even for the only character I've ever really wanted to see get in. As much as I hate to say it, it really feels like this is Geno's last chance bar the possibility of a full-scale revival of SMRPG as a series, and frankly, the only way I see myself definitely coming back for another round of speculation is if Nintendo explicitly reaches out to the fans again a la the Smash Ballot, in which case we all need to do our part and make sure Nintendo knows we're not dead.
Don't take that as me giving up on Geno now, though; I am still feeling good about things going forward, and I believe that Geno's still the frontrunner in the Legend of the Seven Squares™ by default due to the legal and logistical gymnastics necessitated by everyone else in the race. Call me crazy, but I severely doubt the higher-ups at Nintendo have no idea how widely requested Geno is (especially given that they presumably still have the results of the Smash Ballot in their possession), and if Sakurai really knew there were no plans for him, I seriously feel we would have gotten an AT in the base game, or a recycled Mii Costume, or at least a few tunes from SMRPG considering Yoko's on board. It's not like it's just some quaint RPG nobody played; quite the contrary, it's widely regarded as a classic and I have a hard time believing it would be totally passed over in this ultimate celebration of gaming history outside of a couple recycled renders. Besides, if nothing else, Nintendo and SE's current relationship bodes well for the possibility of any future collabs like SMRPG, and all of SMRPG's original assets, which includes Geno, are just sorta collecting dust without Nintendo. Food for thought...
So yeah, TL;DR, I'm remaining cautiously optimistic about Geno, though I recognize that it's probably now or never at this point.