Yes but, very strangely, both believe in the same character but one believes they will be 5 and the other believes they will be 6. That's the big debate. "6" has been argued to be 5 by a good number of people and seen as the last character of the pass. What's interesting about this viewpoint is that it kind of leads to the same conclusion I've been making for months that Geno has a strong chance of being 6 or 7. To me personally, "7" makes more sense for a lot more reasons then just the cheekiness of it and I'll go into that in my big ass essay during my Christmas break.
So, just for clarification, and to sum things up (please correct me if I’m wrong)-
Old NoA source, who has leaked a number of very big things, and has direct knowledge of the Nintendo Legal team’s happenings, has explicitly stated they believe Cacomallow is fake because Nintendo’s legal team hasn’t made a stink about it at all. Old NoA believes character 5 is X and we don’t know what they believe 6 to be.
New source, who also leaked a number of big things (some the same as Old NoA) and who is the one behind the Mii Costume Leak, is described by A Certain Insider to be a “notorious troll,” but is still clearly connected. New source believes Character 5 is Y and that Character 6 is X.
Specifically, in this instance, character Y is a 3rd Party Western Rep that would be “controversial” as it would implicitly deconfirm a highly requested character.
However, New Source’s beliefs on the characters, if true, would somehow nearly confirm Cacomallow being real, or at least by some metric would be seriously good for Geno’s chances.
So with that in mind, I have a few questions (all pertaining to Geno cuz that’s all that matters to me and I’m not tryna get reported lmao):
-I want to believe the Mii Costume leak, but given that Geno fans are essentially the smash speculation fanbase’s easy punching bag, it would certainly not be impossible for a malicious insider to take a list of legitimate info and slide in false things to mess with Geno supporters. Since New Source has been described as a troll, can you point to any instances of them leaking false info?
-On Character X and Character Y: are they both generally accepted to be our next two characters in some order? Or are they merely the top choices of two reliable sources but not really settled on by more than that? And with that in mind, What is it about New Source’s belief that Character Y is 5 and Character X is 6 specifically speaks well for Geno? Since Old NoA Source doesn’t seem to believe in Character Y, is it just that Character Y would assumedly confirm Cacomallow with its Mii Costumes? Or is it that Character X being #6 that makes you think, in some form, Cacomallow would be confirmed?
-In the past you’ve said insider-speculator confidence on Geno is high; I forget exactly what you said, but it was something like at the lowest like half of them believe Geno is in. Given all the ruckus in the leaker-speculative community recently, where do people stand now and why? Is it just based off sources hearing his name from other sources in passing? Cacomallow possibilities? Or have people began to lean one way or the other based off other info?
Sorry this is a lot mate- whether or not you feel like answering I appreciate the hope you give. I’d be lying if my jaded self doesn’t really know what or who to believe at this point, but your optimism on the matter is a real positive driving force for Geno supporters, whether or not what you believe comes true. So thank you.
