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Pokemon had six playable characters in Brawl, and it almost had seven - it getting six playable characters (since Jigglypuff's almost definitely returning) this time around isn't much of a stretch.I would not be surprised if Mewtwo doesn't come back. Melee has Pikachu, Jiggly, Mewtwo and Pichu all which promoted Gen 1 and 2 of pokemon, with Crystal having been released shortly before Melee. Lucario replaced Mewtwo as Gen 4 has just came out and they wanted to promote Diamond and Pearl while Poke Trainer replaced Pichu probably because of FireRed and Leafgreen and possibly the anime. As for Smash 4, Greninja promotes X and Y along with the vets Pikachu and Jiggly. As for why they kept Lucario...no idea. Maybe Lucario was just a popular enough character that they wanted to keep him. Given the popularity of Mewtwo, they *could* bring him back since he's a legendary in X and Y but theres always a chance he wont. I'm also hoping that Mewtwo doesn't return for another reason: Over-representation. Pokemon will have 4 reps already, and while 4 is a fine number to have, there are other series that only have one or two. Like Metroid. and while I know that Mewtwo's inclusion won't exclusively make Ridley, Kraid, Rundas or Dark Samus not be in the game, it would be a huge middle finger to have all these new and returning characters for other series and then just have Samus crying alone because her only friends are dead
TL;DR Theres hope for him, but don't really count on him returning.
Besides, it's not like Mewtwo's inclusion makes a new Metroid character impossible - personally, I think that both Ridley and Mewtwo are likely! (Mewtwo for his sheer popularity, as well as its relevance to the sixth generation seeing as it was the only one of two Pokemon to get multiple Mega Evolutions, and Ridley for reasons that are already discussed in the second post of the Ridley thread so there's no reason for me to bring them up here)