Disfunkshunal
Manners Maketh Man
Made it halfway through the thread last night/this afternoon. Will post thoughts within the next few hours.
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That's the super mechanical answer and in a vacuum I'd agree with you, but I think Ryker's town, I know I'm town, and I think either Kantrip or Poke volunteering to go into the pit would be suicide. I wouldn't be surprised if we're all town in the end.Voting phase today is essentially a crap shoot, I feel that there's little room to really benefit from this phase especially early on, because all scum has to do is stack the deck with townies due to inflated numbers. The reason I believe there's at least one scum in there is that if scum were smart they'd realize that stacking the deck does not always work in their favor, and while in a hypothetical scenario we could ML regardless in this instance, the later phases votes could be analyzed accordingly based on who was picked.
How's the two wagons looking in terms of scum equity? I'll answer my own thoughts after you #HBC | LaundryResults:
- Shishœ: 5 (Pokechu, Laundry, KY Joey, Fire Emblemier, Kantrip)
- Thirdkoopa: 1 (ѕoup)
- Fire Emblemier: 4 (Nabe, Thirdkoopa, Shishœ, Ryker)
- Kantrip: 1 (Z25)
Not voting: n/a
Protector
Holy knights sworn to guard others with their lives. Their shields are invaluable tools for surviving the Labyrinth.
Weapons: Swords, Shields
Defence specialists of the front line.
You are the party's Protector! Arguably the mascot of the series, and as the game's tank class, a staple of most players' parties in each game. Use your shield to save your allies from certain doom... though with how difficult these games are, your doom will probably remain certain anyway.
== Party Member ==
- You have no special abilities of your own - only your voice and your vote.
- Note that on even-numbered days, you can only vote for the players nominated by the FOEs, who will be named by the host at the start of those days.
- You are aligned with the Party.
- You win when all threats to the party have been defeated.
----------------------------------------------------
End of the 1st Stratum (Day 1).
The game will resume 24 hours from now (10pm UTC, November 13th).
@Shishœ #HBC | Ryker Dooms @Thirdkoopa #HBC | ѕoup Fire Emblemier #HBC | Laundry Pokechu Z25 Kantrip #HBC | Nabe
I've considered this, hence I said if scum were smartThat's the super mechanical answer and in a vacuum I'd agree with you, but I think Ryker's town, I know I'm town, and I think either Kantrip or Poke volunteering to go into the pit would be suicide. I wouldn't be surprised if we're all town in the end.
Define equity in this instance for me, I don't quite get your meaning.How's the two wagons looking in terms of scum equity? I'll answer my own thoughts after you #HBC | Laundry
Which wagon has the likelist to hold scumDefine equity in this instance for me, I don't quite get your meaning.
I’m less inclined to buy that pokechu is scum.Ryker and I being in the pit doesn't surprise me. Poke and Kantrip are the fun choices.
#HBC | Ryker Talk to me about Kantrip, why did you find him so scummy and what did you think about his EoD performance?
Z25 Why is Pokechu scum? Did anything from last phase change your mind? @#HBC | icanttagyour****ingnamebutsoup can answer this question too.
Pokechu Where is your head now that Shish flipped town? What are your reads? Content, yip yip.
#HBC | Nabe You had Soup and Fire as lynch candidates yesterday. Can you show me the math behind those choices now that we have more time again?
Kantrip Play ball and give me literally anybody other than Z as mafia. My memory of your play from yesterday boils down to "I think Z is scum because he's noncommittal".
Dooms Analyze the Shish wagon for me pls.
Fire Emblemier Content, yip yip.
His behavior is null to me, need to see a flip with more influence on his part to determine alignment.Also something to add, I don’t see Ryker being scum. He came in here like a blazing fire yesterday making himself known hitting people with questions and facts and all kinds of opinions on where things are going.
With how good of a player he is, I don’t think he’s throwing himself into the line of Fire like that. Plus it would make sense for scum to put out one of their biggest threats and hope to get rid of him.
I don't really think so. Putting up purely nebulous slots shrinks mafia's space to hide, either because they're making it easier for town to read/process them or they **** up and get lynched and make the nebulous slots look better by default. I also don't think there's much danger in putting up hardtown slots either. At worst, nobody's read is impacted and at best a miracle happens and one of them gets lynched. It's not like they're lynching them on a normal day anyway, right?If scum were really stacking the deck, they could've easily picked Me, Nabe, Pokechu, and Kantrip. Those are picks that would go through regardless, and I agree with you, it's pretty much suicide to volunteer yourself like that, how does this influence your read on those two?
Short answer: Fire's. Shishoe's has 3/4 of the pit and one of my townreads on it. I'm gonna chew on this answer though, there's some ****ery going on between my reads, my perception of the pit, and this wagon that doesn't quite mesh well.Which wagon has the likelist to hold scum
It's not universal as he's a competent enough player to manipulate meta but he coasts harder as scum than town and prefers a backseat role where he pushes things at exact moments rather than taking a dominant position in the thread.Laundry, what does scum Ryker look like?
It still is strange you have the opinion that 3/4 of the pit are scummy. Prioritize your list from scummiest to least scummy for me?Btw, I doubt all of my scum leans are actually scum, especially given the voting choices today. At most I'd say two but I think only one is the most likely scenario.
Hey you asked me for my thoughts on the wagons, your turn.I think if the consensus that I hard defended Z25 is the consensus they are not really reading into what I've been saying about him, because under no circumstance did I ever proclaim that I felt Z25 was town, I just felt there were better options. The startling reality of it all is that I really only have one or two strong townreads and the rest of you elude me
It still is strange you have the opinion that 3/4 of the pit are scummy. Prioritize your list from scummiest to least scummy for me?
I swear I can read.If I had a gun to his head, I'd shoot Kantrip out of all the people in the hot seat today. My order would be Kant > Ryker > Poke > Laundry. Ryker and Pokechu are pretty interchangeable here tbh though. I do find it weird that Kantrip and Pokechu, two players who were on a lot of others' radars, made it into the choices today. That gives me pause but I still feel most comfortable with Kantrip if I had to make a decision right this second. I think it's unlikely that all four are town but I wouldn't discount the possibility. If all four are town, nabe/soup would be next choices but I wouldn't hard commit without seeing more from them.
I dunno man:I think if the consensus that I hard defended Z25 is the consensus they are not really reading into what I've been saying about him, because under no circumstance did I ever proclaim that I felt Z25 was town, I just felt there were better options. The startling reality of it all is that I really only have one or two strong townreads and the rest of you elude me
Decent for now. I think perhaps that could change over the course of the game because I initially wasn't too impressed by his content, but then I realized that I haven't really been impressed by most people as they're simply not here to be judged. I don't know if scum makes themselves so transparent without any pressure to post yknow?
Not trying to be Z25's crusader but he's fodder in the grander scale of things. He just seems like a very reactionary dude. What I said before to me holds relevance in that I feel this is a case of too obvious to be obvious, but in that same regard I've been keeping tabs on Pokechu wherein this behavior is far more intentional for Pokechu and Z25 is just acting out of intuition. I also can't see an active daychat between mates telling them 'vote the random RVS wagon and we'll call it a day'
Thoughts? Kantrip Dooms
If the vote came down to Z I wouldn't try and save him, but right now my conf bias leans ML waiting to happen.
I did a double-take on Z25 from PYP in relation to what you highlighted about him Kantrip and I think the disrepancies are there, certainly. However, I also don't think it's possible to play 1:1 with yourself in every game, because different environments inhibit different responses, therefore I don't know why word modifiers as you put it are indicative of scum. The argument I posed earlier was at the crux of things: S25 says he has never flipped scum and frankly I'm not sure if I see scum trying to be at the helm of the discussion yet alone make such obtuse plays such as justifying an obvious RVS wagon for awkward reasons. Like..I get it. I get why that's scummy so I don't fault You/Joey for seeing it that way, I just don't feel it's the right option right now. If you want me to partake in some theory of my own I think in the event of Z25 being scum I would consider Pokechu to become more likely, so this is not as seperate as you think. Can a Z25/3K/Pokechu team exist? Possibly, but I'm not going to come in here and state my overbearing confidence in those 3, I'm just going to say that I feel it is likely we have scum in there.
My summarized stance in S25 is that I understand why he's scummy but find that due to circumstance he might not actually be scum. If it comes down to it though I will vote him though I am sort of worried more about those pushing him as well and that gives me pause overall
..Alright fine yes ma'am
The long of Z25 is a bit complicated. I came into it reading Z25 as inherently scummy but finding myself realizing that despite his content being stretched out, I don't see the necessity of doing so as scum. You could chalk it up to inexperience, nervousness, but I personally gave him benefit of the doubt due to interests being elsewhere (Thirdkoopa). I think that everyone who has goaded Z25 is fairly reasonable, but at some point there's another realization is that if Z25 has mates they'd had to interacted somewhere, and I kept this to myself but I found early votes (Joey especially) not to be of bussing intent, so you'd have to wonder how his mates are gonna try to save him, and really I don't see that happening. Maybe they're leaving him dry due to the mistake, who knows. The brunt of my argument is that timing is important, and I actually agree with you not liking Kantrip and felt his dissection of Z25 to be understated and less about reading into his intent. I can't lie to you and say that Kantrip pushing him in this regard and me generally feeling like he's not being bussed is a greater factor in why I remain on 3K instead.
My gut is telling me Z25 is a ML waiting to happen and there are greater threats out there yet to be unveiled
My mind tells me that Z25 is scummy, and no matter how you slice it you lynch scum and worry about details later. I don't think Z25/Pokechu/3K are all scum and I think I'm wrong on one perhaps even two. Deadline is nearing and I will probably switch my vote on Z25, but I also really wanted to look into what Laundry said about Shish cause it interests me
Yellow is chosen by scumShishœ: 5 (Pokechu, Laundry, KY Joey, Fire Emblemier, Kantrip)
Thirdkoopa: 1 (ѕoup)
Fire Emblemier: 4 (Nabe, Thirdkoopa, Shishœ, Ryker)
Kantrip: 1 (Z25)
I'm not, it just seems like the most likely situation at the moment.Tell me: how hard are you convinced they're all town?
I can understand you using occam's razor, I don't think this phase is meant to be beneficial for us. You said you think Fire's wagon has the scum so does this make Nabe/3K the main culprits like I am thinking? I'm pretty sure you've made it clear you believe Ryker is town.I'm not, it just seems like the most likely situation at the moment.
By PoE, yes. It opens up a lot of interesting observations though once you consider Fire's alignment such as:I can understand you using occam's razor, I don't think this phase is meant to be beneficial for us. You said you think Fire's wagon has the scum so does this make Nabe/3K the main culprits like I am thinking? I'm pretty sure you've made it clear you believe Ryker is town.
Quoting this because it's easier than tagging you.I can understand you using occam's razor, I don't think this phase is meant to be beneficial for us. You said you think Fire's wagon has the scum so does this make Nabe/3K the main culprits like I am thinking? I'm pretty sure you've made it clear you believe Ryker is town.
I need to go over his EOD. That's one of the major things I wanted to do this phase was reread the entirety of EOD. I learned from my qualifier how valuable an EOD where your vote really matters is because of how it causes your true colors to show when you can actually influence something. Every option we had was pretty much a crapshoot, so mostly I wanna know who went where and who REFUSED to go where. I'll cover Kantrip with my EOD read at the end of this quick catch-up.Ryker and I being in the pit doesn't surprise me. Poke and Kantrip are the fun choices.
#HBC | Ryker Talk to me about Kantrip, why did you find him so scummy and what did you think about his EoD performance?
Z25 Why is Pokechu scum? Did anything from last phase change your mind? @#HBC | icanttagyour****ingnamebutsoup can answer this question too.
Pokechu Where is your head now that Shish flipped town? What are your reads? Content, yip yip.
#HBC | Nabe You had Soup and Fire as lynch candidates yesterday. Can you show me the math behind those choices now that we have more time again?
Kantrip Play ball and give me literally anybody other than Z as mafia. My memory of your play from yesterday boils down to "I think Z is scum because he's noncommittal".
Dooms Analyze the Shish wagon for me pls.
Fire Emblemier Content, yip yip.