...Actually, the bonus thing being another stage sounds a lot more realistic than a fighter. We've had bonus stages before, even if it's just an edit of another one(Battlefield), but this fits within Sakurai's hard statements of these being the final two packs. Besides, if more were coming, he wouldn't constantly being noting that still over the months. He can't see more are coming either, but he does have a limit to what he can say by Nintendo as well. His words have a lot of power, so he can't outright hint/reveal stuff till Nintendo is okay with it, as they're his contractor. That's why the reveals are so spread out, cause Nintendo wants is that way.
I'm still thinking one reveal at E3 even then, since we're on the subject. I don't, as I said before, buy we were going to have a double at last year's E3(if it direct happened). Maybe Steve/Alex was there, but not Min Min. She was pretty clearly going to be revealed way earlier, but she had to be delayed for gameplay reasons. Then there's the whole point of the guessing game, to actually give us something to chew on while the character took a lot longer to release than Nintendo would've realized(since they chose her at least about a year before her final release. No way they magically thought of a guessing game yet, meaning they actually had to play things by ear, and not just cause of COVID). Steve/Alex being delayed didn't help, but they if they weren't E3, a distinct possibility, they were only delayed by a month or two at most, and then they were held back to simply coincide with Minecon. To me, I think they were meant for August from the start. Min Min also was likely going to be E3 if she wasn't earlier than May, since delaying it for the big event is a better promotional reason.
It's possible they thought of revealing both at E3, but canned that for various reasons. Quite quickly, since things could not work out. They can easily schedule the various "You got this" messages in advance, sure, but they can't plan beyond that due to all kinds of possible delays.
- Steve/Alex's gameplay delays are a huge deal and take way longer. It's possible they couldn't be ready by August either, but that seems the earliest to me plausible. Especially since Sephiroth came out very fast after the blocky duo. That's 2-3 months of waiting on them. It did not go that well for Banjo fans, but they were just happy he was in the game. This isn't good enough for even bigger gaming icons. It's not as niche of a fanbase, but a way bigger one. It's more risky to pull that.
- There's also gameplay factors. That's going to take a while.
- We don't know if the trailers were even ready by E3 as is.
- Obviously with the gameplay delays, Minecon was just a better place to reveal it around. Strike while the iron's hot.
- It's very easy to change the order of release cause of planned messages. Those messages are not that important and just an internal thing that is subject to change. It just means "they will eventually arrive".
- Min Min's gameplay delay possibly affected Steve/Alex's too. If they're being worked on at the same time, as generally is told to us, that means that one delay affects another. Both were big gameplay factors, unlike Sephiroth(who was likely not much affected). Note that I am part of a team of an SSB fangame, so I do see these things in action. There's priorities/orders of stuff to do, and it depends the crew you have as well. Smash's own team obviously has a far bigger employee base and can get more done at once, but there's still Sakurai who oversees things. How he divides it up and what he directly tries to help with also matter. He might've been involved with both characters, causing delay for Steve/Alex too, for all we know. I'm not saying this is definitely the case
But yeah, overall I'm still going with "one reveal" and the last one throughout fall. It'd be cool if that isn't the case, but then it leaves nothing left for the rest of the year to chew on. It's pretty clear we're not getting any decent updates to a Mode(and we know new modes aren't happening. Which to be fair, is why Boss Rush being tied to Sephiroth only isn't that odd in hindsight. Sucky, though), which is about the only thing left to show off now besides patches down the line(which you don't need a showcase for. Just a quick tweet. Especially as Nintendo releases all the notes we need). Even when we had 6 total characters in one year(though technically with Piranha Plant, that was more a year and 1/3 added to the entire DLC cycle, when adding the development time, assuming it was started in September), but one was a bonus, and they had no plans for a second pass remotely yet. That came about after Joker as is, which also means they had no idea how it should be spread out carefully. It wasn't spread out even that well, feeling kind of random when to drop. This time they chose 2 years and have mostly distributed them rather evenly, with the exception of delay issues. And even then, they weren't spread out too terribly. It's only Min Min that had issues at best, enough it took practically half a year for her to release. Everything always seemed rather on schedule to me, about 2-3 months per character release, a nice steady thing to keep everyone in hype as much as they can.
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That said, for a Guessing Game, Pokemon Gen VIII actually would be interesting. Since they're multiple viable candidates. Even ARMS at least got some good discussion overall. Hype did die down fast, mind you, but they were using the Guessing Game pretty much to put ARMS back in the spotlight(it didn't really work that well. If they gave the game more updates, it would've, but it was just "let's get more sales" without the extra stuff that helps. Promoting is half the battle). Pokemon doesn't need a spotlight, but they do love promoting it and being a way more popular series, actually would get even more discussion. That doesn't mean it's a good idea at all, but it is the only franchise that they can easily pull it off with little risk. Gen VIII is still relevant right now due to the anime(not as much the games, which finished releasing everything. I don't know of any spin-offs coming soon).