ranmaru
Smash Legend
- Joined
- Feb 10, 2008
- Messages
- 13,297
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- SW-0654 7794 0698
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Pretty unlikely, given your explanation. I should have been more clear.how likely do you think that is?
What I'm wondering is why he didn't immediately claim result if that happened.
im literally not going to entertain the idea that you are a vanilla townie until UP posts again and then after that probably not either. UP claim tracker as non-tracker (scum or town) makes no sense to me. UP getting a bingo on your and floppin that **** on the table ASAP instead of waiting does make sense to me.I swear to god Tom, if I die this phase, I'll see you lynched for it
but he ****ing didntUP getting a bingo on your and floppin that **** on the table ASAP instead of waiting does make sense to me.
This is not an open ended scenario. There is a Counterclaim here that saves me, but I dont want it if it's JOAT with a vig available. If no one CCs then we will be lynching not me or UP until after we see if there's a second double kill.im literally not going to entertain the idea that you are a vanilla townie until UP posts again and then after that probably not either. UP claim tracker as non-tracker (scum or town) makes no sense to me. UP getting a bingo on your and floppin that **** on the table ASAP instead of waiting does make sense to me.
Lore it seems to me that he wanted to catch ryker lying about something and fought off the urge to drop his claim as long as possible but couldn't contain it. correct me if anyone disagrees with this perception. i have no idea if scum vig can shoot two people in one night. but i doubt that happened too.
Because I’m west coast time. It’s early.I am curious why Pythag and Rockin are not saying as much now.
lol ok ryker you know you can't live?Okay, so set-up analysis time for counterclaim scenario.
Possible teams are
Tracker, Inno Child, Bodyguard vs NinJOAT, 1-shot Vig
Inno Child, JOAT vs NinJOAT, 1-shot vig
Inno Child, JOAT vs Jailer, 1-shot vig
The first is the world that UP is claiming we live in.
The last is a world we could be living in where scum know all the power roles.
Town JOAT should not CC him if we exist in one of those worlds and mafia is the one who took the second shot. Town JOAT should be shooting someone with their vig ability and when we have a third kill go off, we know that UP is lying.
Town Tracker should CC immediately if we live in that world. Bodyguard will give you another phase and we have nailed a second scumbag.
If no one CCs, we should go one more day to see if another player turns up dead, THEN lynch Poyzin.
Double check me.
did he not? what i mean is that he did not wait until late in the day for wagons/having to claim and definitely didn't wait until day 3. Day started on Monday and he claimed that same day. am i mischaracterizing this?but he ****ing didnt
yeah. #1628 is a fairly convincing case against rockin in that he was all about doop vocally but then did not vote that way. pythag i personally felt looked pretty clear after doop's flip.Tom can you respond to me.
i don't understand this. tom's take here seems correct and obvious to meThis is not an open ended scenario. There is a Counterclaim here that saves me, but I dont want it if it's JOAT with a vig available. If no one CCs then we will be lynching not me or UP until after we see if there's a second double kill.
i see... hm ok there's some semblance of logic hereMac, look at it again from VT Ryker.
If there is a JOAT and he shoots someone, it proves that UP is lying WITHOUT outing who the JOAT is
Then JOAT claims and we're in the same place, but upside is waaaaay higher than downside.but then again that plan doesn't work 100% because a scum jailer / BP could easily **** that up
Yes, in which case, JOAT claims.hey so is it possible that there were 3 shots yesterday and one was blocked?
oofThis is not an open ended scenario. There is a Counterclaim here that saves me, but I dont want it if it's JOAT with a vig available. If no one CCs then we will be lynching not me or UP until after we see if there's a second double kill.
If you're not willing to work with me until then, I'm not gonna have one of those "Sorry buddy, I'll win this one for you," posts.
His claim looks like **** because it is **** and I'm not getting 1 for 1'd.
right the reality of town!Ryker is slim to none but if its real its a big ol scum gambit to somehow out a town joat. which seems really unlikely.lol ok ryker you know you can't live?
there's very few possibilities here:
- UP is town and tracked scumRyker to a dead body yesterday
- UP is scum and is pulling a gambit to get ryker killed for w/e reason I can maaaybe see scum pulling this gambit if Ryker was a PR (specifically a vig/joat or something) and they're tryna cause a mislynch in exchange for UP's life
- UP is newb town non tracker and he's just lying for some reason... doubt this is the case (esp after goign back and lookign at UP's posts earlier toDay) also i don't think you can be that bad to throw the game this way
- UP is newb town tracker and ****ed up somehow... this isn't really possible though. cuz idk how you can mess that up. i was thinking that maybe townRyker could be bodyguard and that's what UP saw... but you'd be dead if you were tracked to a body
the only possibility that really makes sense is the first
actually though now that I've laid these out, option 2 isn't THAT farfetched, since it's pretty powerful to trade newbScum in exchange for one of the most townie players that has a PR. buttt that's still a ****ing stretch
Ryker i don't understand how your plan makes any sense, what does keeping you alive give us... it just pushes this same situation off till tomorrow
if town joat shot someone night 1, he cannot shoot again until night 4. he has to use his other two powers before he shoots again. so this would NOT work.lMac, look at it again from VT Ryker.
If there is a JOAT and he shoots someone, it proves that UP is lying WITHOUT outing who the JOAT is
Tom, do you know what the roles in this game do?
If Town JOAT shot Night 1 they can't shoot again until Night 4. Am I wrong?You lynch nothing without a chance for every player to CC and you SHOULD wait for a JOAT to shoot if no one does.
NO I DONTryker ya still gotta die
im not gonna focus too much on this anymore cuz it's a distraction. just gonna wait for UP
ran gonna take a look at your stuff now