Sometimes, I wonder why things had to go this way when it came to Pokemon newcomer speculation.
We started out with predicting Decidueye, then we gradually supported and better Lycanroc based on the research of promotion and anime prominence the Pokemon got, and now we gotta stick to Incineroar. And all that the other ones (not predicting Lycanroc) betting on a Pokemon newcomer had to do was simply transition to Incineroar to get a prediction right without putting much thought into it because of Verge being reliable.
It almost feels kinda unfair with the majority opinion taking the win without doing much, but I guess it is my fault for not thinking more openly about Incineroar. I guess not everything goes your way. :L
That's typical Smash speculation for you: most people seem to gravitate toward whoever they think is a "lock" at any given moment. It's like an inverse sour grapes effect, with them deciding they want who they think they're going to be stuck with.
Though for what it's worth, this
has had shades of Chrom four years ago already. I may have overestimated the bandwagoning we'd see--seems like Incineroar's falling under the same situation of "expected, but not really wanted due to feeling too similar to what we already have".
Is there some way we can take advantage of that unease and spread word about us further? In the event that we're still well in the running even
if we're not in the base roster? Would be nice to feel like we've personally accomplished something and convinced more people to actually give this character a fair shake.
Besides, we logically did the best we could based on the information we had regarding Pokemon selection in Smash. The fact Incineroar could be on the table contradicts the idea that Pokemon need to be promoted and explore new ground in their play style to be part of Smash Bros. He's still relatively under represented in the anime and merch, and he hits many of the same points that Bowser and Charizard already do (Big, slow character that hits like a truck, emphasis on his grab game, a fire aesthetic, etc.).
And that's the baffling thing here, because it just seems like an...un-Sakurai-like choice. I don't doubt Incineroar's personality, but that alone can't carry someone if their overall character concept doesn't offer much thematically or mechanically that we don't already have. I've been talking to an acquaintance with more experience with traditional fighting games, and after analyzing how different archetypes differ between those games and platform fighters, we're realizing that even the whole grappler angle may not hold up.
Something for its own post in a couple days, I guess.
Here's a question for the thread:
In the event Lycanroc is not playable, would you rather have him as a Pokeball or not in the game at all?
If that were to happen, I'm hoping at least the Dusk form is MIA for the base game. It'd give us a potential way in for the first year of DLC until Gen 8 hits shelves at the end of 2019. Even if we ran out of time, there'd still be the option to get added as a Poké Ball summon whenever Smash 6 happens--pretty sure Lycanroc's big enough now for
that to not be a reach even several years down the line.
Guys, if Sakurai chose Incineroar, do you think it would've been because he has a cat and/or Incineroar would fit with Greninja?
No. Newcomers aren't chosen for their identity alone, and Sakurai's even said he tries not to let his personal preferences mar the selection process.
Besides, Mewtwo's technically a feline. Just a...genetically enhanced artificial psychic demigod cat...thing.