Whaaaa, what do you mean
![Pikachu :ultpikachu: :ultpikachu:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
doesn't go 90:10 against
![Ganondorf :ultganondorf: :ultganondorf:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
or
![Donkey Kong :ultdk: :ultdk:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
? Come on, don't be crazy (so much for Ultimate being balanced kappa).
Jokes aside, I did notice we're talking about Game and Watch, soooooo....
To clear things up a bit first:
1. I wouldn't really consider Smash Vertex to be a very reliably reference, considering how poorly Maister played against Yei (ust look at how he played around
![Meta Knight :ultmetaknight: :ultmetaknight:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
's FSmash, it looked about as bad as how people played around G&W's USmash in the past) and Chag to a lesser extent.
2. The last time Blade fought Maister was nearly 9 months ago. I'm not sure how this became a thing, but Maister never fought Blade recently, let alone lose to him (again, he lost to Chag and Yei). The only time they fought was at ChiliHouse, and there, Maister convincingly 3-1'd his
![Byleth :ultbyleth: :ultbyleth:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
(who apparently "wrecks" G&W). That is, unless I'm missing some recent tournament that happened where the two fought.
3. MKLeo definitely knows the match-up like the back of his hand, but his and Maister's scuffles together feel more like Salem-Dark Wizzy scenario rather than a MU thing. In other words, MKLeo has Maister figured out, more than any other player currently. Based on what I've seen, Maister could've brought out anyone at Frostbite, and MKLeo STILL would've mopped the floor with him (which we saw to an extent with the
![Pichu :ultpichu: :ultpichu:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
switch, who is his most invested character after G&W).
4. Maister got the runbacks against both Tweek and Dabuz, two players that had a perfect record against him last season, and also won ChiliHouse. It's true that lot of players are still pretty bad at the MU, and I noticed this most with a good chunk of Japan's players (the crew battle between Team Frostbite and Ray Road Gaming is a testament to that, no offense to Gackt or Etsuji), but at the same times it's not really as simple as "just learn the MU".
With that out of the way, I can see the arguments for him being top tier, as well as the arguments for him teetering more on the borderline/edge. The Discord chat summed it up best:
Barring the questionable "very few true losing match-ups" bit, the two big takeaways that I think are spot on are:
1. GnW struggles most when the opponent decides to just disengage (i.e. play passive and watch the G&W flail around like a spaz). As we've seen
![Zero Suit Samus :ultzss: :ultzss:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
does this best against him and as a result, is arguably G&W's worst MU.
2. How big of a struggle the first point is, as SolidSense pointed out, is kind of overblown. NAir/Dash attack chases, BAir/Chef spacing, Bucketing (depending on the MU), and FAir/UAir suffocation are more than enough to get the job done in most circumstances, if Maister's pervasive success is of any indication (so far, he's top 8'd every S Tier he's been to and even won himself a nice Mexican C-Tier along the way). What helps is that 1. He transitions into advantage very well due to his attacks either throwing the opponent offstage (Fire) or high up towards the ceiling (Air puffs), and 2. He's very good at pressing his advantage due to a combination of lingering disjointed hitboxes (NAir, BAir, UAir, Sausages) and surprise burst options (Dash attack, Fire). Because of that, he doesn't have to win neutral a lot of times in most cases.
With everything said, however, the biggest question now surrounding this character is that
is everything he has going for him enough to keep him in top tier while having an approach, that - to be honest - is kind of mediocre by top tier standards? It's one flaw, but it's a flaw that's much harder to shrug off compared to some other flaw that's nearly not as game-changing (i.e. being light). At that point, I think that question depends on who you ask and how much they weigh his strengths against his weaknesses.
I currently have him in the bottom of top tier/Top 15, so in my opinion, yes. To me, Maister's continuous success - this late into the game no less - is proof of that. At the same time, really strong characters attract strong players. And while zackray has dabbled in him from time to time, G&W is admittedly hurt the most in terms of viability if you took away his best player, versus almost every other top tier.
That said,
![Mr. Game & Watch :ultgnw: :ultgnw:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
isn't nearly as hard carried as
![Pikachu :ultpikachu: :ultpikachu:](data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7)
. At least other G&W mains win a C-Tier and/or get Top 32 at an S Tier.
Also, yes yes yes yes,
is a hidden boss in this game, I'm glad people are FINALLY realizing this.